BETA Technologies, Inc. (BETA) Fair Value 2026

BETA · Aerospace & Defense ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

5.9 /10

32 fundamental signals · 2 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (10/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-28, BETA Technologies, Inc. (BETA) trades at $20.16, versus a $3.79 median fair value across its 2 active models — 81.2% below the current price. QOC: 5.9/10. Value Trap Risk: 10/100 (SAFE). 2/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
BETA
Price
$20.16
Quality Score
5.9/10
Value Trap Risk
10/100
Models Active
2/13
Last Updated
Strength: 2 independent models provide multi-angle coverage
Risk: Majority of models suggest overvaluation

Is BETA Technologies, Inc. (BETA) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 2-model valuation engine, BETA Technologies, Inc. (BETA) appears overvalued as of : the median of 2 independent fair value estimates is $3.79, 81.2% below the current price of $20.16. Estimates range from $0.70 to $6.89. BETA scores 5.9/10 on fundamental quality and 10/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -23.4% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,809 rated companies as of 2026-08-28. BETA’s -81.2% gap is wider than that market norm, and the Aerospace & Defense sector median is -32.4%. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy BETA Technologies, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give BETA?

2 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($20.16)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $0.70 -96.5%
Asset-Based · Medium Conviction
 $6.89 -65.8%

All Models Active

All 2 models are displayed above.

What Is BETA Technologies, Inc. (BETA) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, BETA Technologies, Inc.'s intrinsic value is estimated at $3.79. Trading at its current price of $20.16, the valuation engine raises significant caution: 2 of 2 models flag downside risk, projecting a median implied return of -81.2%. Model dispersion is worth noting: Dynamic NAV targets $6.89 (-65.8%), versus ML-RIV at $0.70 (-96.5%). This +30.7% range highlights the importance of multi-model analysis rather than relying on any single methodology.

What Do the Models Say About BETA?

2 of 13 models are currently active for BETA. All 2 active models suggest the stock trades above fair value. Taken together, their median fair value for BETA is $3.79 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does BETA Rank in Aerospace & Defense?

Among 94 Aerospace & Defense stocks, BETA ranks #56 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 5.9/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 5.9 reflects mixed fundamentals.

See all Most Undervalued Aerospace & Defense Stocks →

BETA Technologies, Inc.'s positioning within the Aerospace & Defense segment means that aftermarket revenue growth plays an outsized role in fundamental analysis. The sector's unique characteristics — including commercial aviation recovery — shape both the opportunity set and risk profile.

Is BETA a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns BETA a score of 10/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

2 of 13 models are active for BETA Technologies, Inc.. Limited activation may indicate insufficient history. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, BETA Technologies, Inc. earns a quality score of 5.9/10. This respectable rating reflects the company's standing across 32 fundamental signals spanning profitability, growth consistency, balance sheet strength, and capital allocation efficiency.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +30.7% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every BETA valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across BETA's 2 active models, average confidence is 49%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy BETA Technologies, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Aerospace & Defense Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

11 related Aerospace & Defense stocks with 13-model coverage

MNTSMomentus Inc.QOC 6.1DUKRDUKE Robotics Corp.QOC 5.9SIFSIFCO Industries, Inc.QOC 6.2SATLSatellogic Inc.QOC 5.9FLYFirefly Aerospace Inc.QOC 6.3AIRIAir Industries GroupQOC 5.8CTGLCitrine Global CorpQOC 4.1TDGTransDigm Group IncorporatedQOC 8.7SAROStandardAero, Inc.QOC 7.7BUKSButler National CorporationQOC 9.4HWMHowmet Aerospace Inc.QOC 9.3

Read investment analysis: MNTS · DUKR · SIF · SATL · FLY · AIRI · CTGL · TDG · SARO · BUKS · HWM

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to BETA?

7 companies across all industries closest to BETA’s Quality of Company score of 5.9/10.

IPDNProfessional Diversity Network, Inc.QOC 5.9ARCCAres Capital CorporationQOC 5.9SKILSkillsoft Corp.QOC 5.9SYRASyra Health Corp.QOC 5.9IQSTiQSTEL Inc.QOC 5.9PBSVPharma-Bio Serv, Inc.QOC 5.9NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: IPDN · ARCC · SKIL · SYRA · IQST · PBSV · NVDA

Where Does BETA Sit in CirclFi's Aerospace & Defense Rankings?

BETA is ranked against every other Aerospace & Defense stock CirclFi covers in each of these screens.

See all Aerospace & Defense stocks ranked →

What Else Do Investors Ask About BETA Technologies, Inc.’s Valuation?

What is BETA Technologies, Inc.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts BETA Technologies, Inc. (BETA)'s intrinsic value at $3.79 — the median of 2 independent model estimates as of 2026-08-28, ranging from $0.70 to $6.89. The Quality of Company score is 5.9/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is BETA overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $20.16, 0 of 2 active models suggest BETA may be undervalued, while 2 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 2 fair value estimates is $3.79, 81.2% below the current price of $20.16 — a consensus view that BETA is overvalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits BETA Technologies, Inc.'s business model in Aerospace & Defense.

What does a Quality of Company score of 5.9 mean for BETA?

BETA Technologies, Inc.'s QOC of 5.9/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores between 5-7 reflect moderate fundamentals with areas for improvement.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on BETA?

CirclFi analyzes BETA with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 2 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Is BETA a value trap in 2026?

BETA Technologies, Inc.'s Value Trap score is 10/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 2-model valuation engine, BETA Technologies, Inc. (BETA) has a median fair value of $3.79 — 81.2% below the current price of $20.16 — as of 2026-08-28.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/BETA/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this BETA valuation
  • Financial statements: BETA Technologies, Inc. 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0001784570) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for BETA as of ; valuations recomputed .