C3.ai, Inc. (AI) Fair Value 2026

AI · Software - Infrastructure ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

5.9 /10

32 fundamental signals · 1 models active

Value Trap Risk

LOW (39/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-27, C3.ai, Inc. (AI) trades at $10.33. QOC: 5.9/10. Value Trap Risk: 39/100 (LOW). 1/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
AI
Price
$10.33
Quality Score
5.9/10
Value Trap Risk
39/100
Models Active
1/13
Last Updated
Strength: 1 independent models provide multi-angle coverage
Risk: Majority of models suggest overvaluation

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give AI?

1 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($10.33)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Asset-Based · High Conviction
 $3.19 -69.1%

All Models Active

All 1 models are displayed above.

What Is C3.ai, Inc. (AI) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, C3.ai, Inc.'s intrinsic value is estimated at $3.19. Trading at its current price of $10.33, the valuation engine raises significant caution: 1 of 1 models flag downside risk, projecting a median implied return of -69.1%.

What Do the Models Say About AI?

1 of 13 models are currently active for AI. All 1 active models suggest the stock trades above fair value. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does AI Rank in Software - Infrastructure?

Among 186 Software - Infrastructure stocks, AI ranks #95 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 5.9/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 5.9 reflects mixed fundamentals.

See all Most Undervalued Software - Infrastructure Stocks →

C3.ai, Inc.'s positioning within the Software - Infrastructure segment means that R&D intensity plays an outsized role in fundamental analysis. The sector's unique characteristics — including total addressable market (TAM) expansion — shape both the opportunity set and risk profile.

Is AI a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns AI a score of 39/100 (LOW). This indicates low risk. The financial profile does not exhibit typical value trap warning signs. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

1 of 13 models are active for C3.ai, Inc.. Limited activation may indicate insufficient history. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, C3.ai, Inc. earns a quality score of 5.9/10. This respectable rating reflects the company's standing across 32 fundamental signals spanning profitability, growth consistency, balance sheet strength, and capital allocation efficiency.

CirclFi runs 13 independent models for each stock. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every AI valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across AI's 1 active models, average confidence is 53%. Moderate confidence indicates reasonable fit.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy C3.ai, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Software - Infrastructure Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

10 related Software - Infrastructure stocks with 13-model coverage

AEVAAeva Technologies, Inc.QOC 5.9NTSKNetskope, Inc.QOC 5.9ZSQRZ Squared Inc.QOC 5.9RPAYRepay Holdings CorporationQOC 5.8LSAKLesaka Technologies, Inc.QOC 6.0ATGLAlpha Technology Group LimitedQOC 5.8RPMTRego Payment Architectures, Inc.QOC 5.0QLYSQualys, Inc.QOC 9.7DBXDropbox, Inc.QOC 8.1FTNTFortinet, Inc.QOC 9.7

Read investment analysis: AEVA · NTSK · ZSQR · RPAY · LSAK · ATGL · RPMT · QLYS · DBX · FTNT

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to AI?

7 companies across all industries closest to AI’s Quality of Company score of 5.9/10.

SGSweetgreen, Inc.QOC 5.9GPGIGPGI, Inc.QOC 5.9STUBStubHub Holdings, Inc.QOC 5.9VYXNCR Voyix CorporationQOC 5.9YMTYimutian Inc.QOC 5.9SIShoulder Innovations, Inc.QOC 5.9NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: SG · GPGI · STUB · VYX · YMT · SI · NVDA

Where Does AI Sit in CirclFi's Software - Infrastructure Rankings?

AI is ranked against every other Software - Infrastructure stock CirclFi covers in each of these screens.

See all Software - Infrastructure stocks ranked →

What Else Do Investors Ask About C3.ai, Inc.’s Valuation?

What is C3.ai, Inc.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi does not yet have enough active models to publish a median fair value for C3.ai, Inc. (AI). The Quality of Company score is 5.9/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is AI overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $10.33, 0 of 1 active models suggest AI may be undervalued, while 1 indicate potential overvaluation. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits C3.ai, Inc.'s business model in Software - Infrastructure.

What does a Quality of Company score of 5.9 mean for AI?

C3.ai, Inc.'s QOC of 5.9/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores between 5-7 reflect moderate fundamentals with areas for improvement.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on AI?

CirclFi analyzes AI with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 1 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Is AI a value trap in 2026?

C3.ai, Inc.'s Value Trap score is 39/100 (LOW). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Cite this analysis — “CirclFi assigns C3.ai, Inc. (AI) a Quality of Company score of 5.9/10 across 32 fundamental signals as of 2026-08-27.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/AI/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this AI valuation
  • Financial statements: C3.ai, Inc. 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0001577526) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for AI as of ; valuations recomputed .