Airship AI Holdings, Inc. (AISP) Fair Value 2026

AISP · Software - Infrastructure ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

5.5 /10

32 fundamental signals · 3 models active

Value Trap Risk

DANGER (67/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-27, Airship AI Holdings, Inc. (AISP) trades at $2.18, versus a $6.02 median fair value across its 3 active models — 176.3% above the current price. QOC: 5.5/10. Value Trap Risk: 67/100 (DANGER). 3/13 models active. Within that set, the Bayesian DCF component alone returns $6.02.

Key Facts

Ticker
AISP
Price
$2.18
Quality Score
5.5/10
Value Trap Risk
67/100
Models Active
3/13
Last Updated
Strength: RCMH-DCF suggests +250.0% upside with 24% confidence
Risk: Value Trap score of 67 suggests caution despite apparent undervaluation

Is Airship AI Holdings, Inc. (AISP) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 3-model valuation engine, Airship AI Holdings, Inc. (AISP) appears undervalued as of : the median of 3 independent fair value estimates is $6.02, 176.3% above the current price of $2.18. Estimates range from $1.09 to $7.63. AISP scores 5.5/10 on fundamental quality and 67/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -23.7% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,801 rated companies as of 2026-08-27. AISP’s +176.3% gap is wider than that market norm, and the Software - Infrastructure sector median is -22.1%. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy Airship AI Holdings, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give AISP?

3 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($2.18)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Intrinsic · Low Conviction
 $6.02 +176.3%
Intrinsic · Medium Conviction
 $7.63 +250.0%
Relative · Medium Conviction
 $1.09 -49.9%

All Models Active

All 3 models are displayed above.

What Is AISP's Fair Value Range?

Spread across 3 independent models · $1.09 to $7.63

CirclFi's 3 active models place Airship AI Holdings, Inc. (AISP) between $1.09 and $7.63 per share, a spread of 109% of the median. The median of that range — $6.02 — is the fair value CirclFi publishes for AISP, against a current price of $2.18.

Low · Regime CrossHigh · RCMH-DCF
$1.09median $6.02$7.63
Where the range comes from
Most bearish modelRegime Cross-Sectional$1.09
Most bullish modelRCMH-DCF$7.63
Model agreement2 bullish · 1 bearishwide

A band this wide is itself the finding. When independent methods land far apart, they are reading a business whose value depends heavily on which lens you apply — volatile earnings, heavy reinvestment, or an asset base that cash-flow and asset-based methods score differently. That disagreement is information: it says the choice of method matters more than usual for AISP. Treat the median as one reading among several and compare the individual models below before acting.

Every figure above is one model's standalone output on AISP, not a CirclFi price target. How each model works →

What Is Airship AI Holdings, Inc. (AISP) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Airship AI Holdings, Inc.'s intrinsic value is estimated at a median fair value of $6.02. While the stock appears modestly undervalued at $2.18 (implied upside of +176.3%), our analysis suggests a thinner margin of safety across 2 of 3 bullish models. Notably, RCMH-DCF sees the most upside at +250.0% (fair value: $7.63), while Regime Cross is the most conservative at -49.9% ($1.09). The spread between these extremes — +299.8% — reveals how different analytical frameworks can reach starkly different conclusions.

What Do the Models Say About AISP?

3 of 13 models are currently active for AISP. Of these, 2 models suggest upside while 1 model suggests overvaluation. Taken together, their median fair value for AISP is $6.02 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, returns $6.02 on its own, implying +176.3% upside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does AISP Rank in Software - Infrastructure?

Among 186 Software - Infrastructure stocks, AISP ranks #119 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 5.5/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 5.5 reflects mixed fundamentals.

See all Most Undervalued Software - Infrastructure Stocks →

Within the Software - Infrastructure space, Airship AI Holdings, Inc. competes in an environment where net revenue retention (NRR) often separates market leaders from laggards. Understanding these industry-specific dynamics is essential context for interpreting our model outputs.

Is AISP a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns AISP a score of 67/100 (DANGER). This is a high-risk signal. Deteriorating fundamentals suggest the discount may be justified. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

3 of 13 models are active for Airship AI Holdings, Inc.. Limited activation may indicate insufficient history. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, which evaluates 32 signals including margin stability, revenue growth trajectory, leverage, and free cash flow generation, Airship AI Holdings, Inc. is rated at 5.5/10. This moderate-tier score shows mixed signals across our quality framework with notable weaknesses. Notably, value trap risk is elevated.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +299.8% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every AISP valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across AISP's 3 active models, average confidence is 20%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Airship AI Holdings, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Software - Infrastructure Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

11 related Software - Infrastructure stocks with 13-model coverage

VERIVeritone, Inc.QOC 5.5INTZIntrusion Inc.QOC 5.5LIDRAEye, Inc.QOC 5.5XBPXBP Global Holdings, Inc.QOC 5.4AUIDauthID Inc.QOC 5.5KPLTKatapult Holdings, Inc.QOC 5.4CBDW1606 Corp.QOC 3.6YEXTYext, Inc.QOC 8.5SABRSabre CorporationQOC 6.9FTNTFortinet, Inc.QOC 9.7QLYSQualys, Inc.QOC 9.7

Read investment analysis: VERI · INTZ · LIDR · XBP · AUID · KPLT · CBDW · YEXT · SABR · FTNT · QLYS

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to AISP?

7 companies across all industries closest to AISP’s Quality of Company score of 5.5/10.

MYNDMynd.ai, Inc.QOC 5.5SRRKScholar Rock Holding CorporationQOC 5.5BTOCArmlogi Holding Corp.QOC 5.5VMARVision Marine Technologies Inc.QOC 5.5GNLXGenelux CorporationQOC 5.5FCBMFirst Carolina Financial Services, Inc.QOC 5.5NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: MYND · SRRK · BTOC · VMAR · GNLX · FCBM · NVDA

Where Does AISP Sit in CirclFi's Software - Infrastructure Rankings?

AISP is ranked against every other Software - Infrastructure stock CirclFi covers in each of these screens.

See all Software - Infrastructure stocks ranked →

What Else Do Investors Ask About Airship AI Holdings, Inc.’s Valuation?

What is Airship AI Holdings, Inc.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts Airship AI Holdings, Inc. (AISP)'s intrinsic value at $6.02 — the median of 3 independent model estimates as of 2026-08-27, ranging from $1.09 to $7.63. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion and returns $6.02 on its own. The Quality of Company score is 5.5/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is AISP overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $2.18, 2 of 3 active models suggest AISP may be undervalued, while 1 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 3 fair value estimates is $6.02, 176.3% above the current price of $2.18 — a consensus view that AISP is undervalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Airship AI Holdings, Inc.'s business model in Software - Infrastructure.

What does a Quality of Company score of 5.5 mean for AISP?

Airship AI Holdings, Inc.'s QOC of 5.5/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores between 5-7 reflect moderate fundamentals with areas for improvement.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on AISP?

CirclFi analyzes AISP with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 3 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Which valuation models are most bullish and most bearish on AISP?

Of the 3 models currently active on AISP, RCMH-DCF is the most bullish at $7.63 per share, and Regime Cross-Sectional is the most bearish at $1.09. CirclFi's published fair value for AISP is the median of that range, $6.02, not either extreme. The gap between the two ends equals 109% of the median — a wide spread, meaning the methods genuinely disagree and the median should carry less weight. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Is AISP a value trap in 2026?

Airship AI Holdings, Inc.'s Value Trap score is 67/100 (DANGER). This elevated score suggests the stock may look undervalued but faces deteriorating fundamentals — declining margins, rising debt, or shrinking revenue could make the apparent discount deceptive. Browse our ranked stock lists to compare value-trap scores across industries.

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 3-model valuation engine, Airship AI Holdings, Inc. (AISP) has a median fair value of $6.02 — 176.3% above the current price of $2.18 — as of 2026-08-27.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/AISP/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this AISP valuation
  • Financial statements: Airship AI Holdings, Inc. 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0001842566) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for AISP as of ; valuations recomputed .