Satellogic Inc. (SATL) Fair Value 2026

SATL · Radio & Tv Broadcasting & Communications Equipment ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

5.5 /10

32 fundamental signals · 8 models active

Value Trap Risk

(—/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-07-15, Satellogic Inc. (SATL) trades at $3.96, approximately 163% above CirclFi’s Bayesian DCF fair value of $1.51. QOC: 5.5/10. 8/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
SATL
Price
$3.96
Quality Score
5.5/10
Value Trap Risk
—/100
Models Active
8/13
Last Updated
Strength: PWERM suggests +14.6% upside with 37% confidence
Risk: Majority of models suggest overvaluation

Is Satellogic Inc. (SATL) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 8-model valuation engine, Satellogic Inc. (SATL) appears overvalued as of : the median of 8 independent fair value estimates is $1.24, 68.8% below the current price of $3.96. Estimates range from $0.16 to $4.54. SATL scores 5.5/10 on fundamental quality and —/100 on value-trap risk.

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy Satellogic Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Valuation Matrix

8 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($3.96)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Bayesian DCF
Low Conviction
$1.51 -62.0%
Earnings Power Value
Medium Conviction
$1.86 -53.1%
CUCE Ensemble
Low Conviction
$1.36 -65.7%
PWERM
Medium Conviction
$4.54 +14.6%

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What Is Satellogic Inc. (SATL) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Satellogic Inc.'s intrinsic value is estimated at $1.49. Trading at its current price of $3.96, the valuation engine raises significant caution: 7 of 8 models flag downside risk, projecting an average implied return of -62.4%. Model dispersion is worth noting: PWERM targets $4.54 (+14.6%), versus ML-RIV at $0.16 (-95.9%). This +110.5% range highlights the importance of multi-model analysis rather than relying on any single methodology.

What Do the Models Say About SATL?

8 of 13 models are currently active for SATL. Of these, 1 model suggests upside while 7 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates SATL's intrinsic value at $1.51, implying -62.0% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does SATL Rank in Radio & Tv Broadcasting & Communications Equipment?

Among 19 Radio & Tv Broadcasting & Communications Equipment stocks, SATL ranks #13 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 5.5/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 5.5 reflects mixed fundamentals.

The Radio & Tv Broadcasting & Communications Equipment sector introduces analytical considerations specific to media and communications company businesses. For Satellogic Inc., metrics like fiber/5G penetration provide important context that general-purpose valuation models may underweight.

Is SATL a Value Trap?

The Value Trap algorithm is not active for SATL. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

8 of 13 models are active for Satellogic Inc.. Moderate coverage provides meaningful perspective. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Satellogic Inc. scores 5.5 out of 10 on our 32-signal quality assessment, a solid rating that maintains reasonable quality metrics with some areas for improvement. The QOC score synthesizes profitability margins, revenue growth reliability, debt management, and capital allocation into a single metric designed to separate durable businesses from statistically cheap ones.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +110.5% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every SATL valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across SATL's 8 active models, average confidence is 19%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Satellogic Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Radio & Tv Broadcasting & Communications Equipment Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

8 related Radio & Tv Broadcasting & Communications Equipment stocks with 13-model coverage

Read investment analysis: BKTI · QCOM · UI · MSI · HLIT

Frequently Asked Questions About Satellogic Inc.

What is Satellogic Inc.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

Based on CirclFi's 13-model analysis, Satellogic Inc. (SATL) has multiple fair value estimates. The Bayesian DCF model runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion to estimate intrinsic value at $1.51. The Quality of Company score is 5.5/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is SATL overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $3.96, 1 of 8 active models suggest SATL may be undervalued, while 7 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 8 fair value estimates is $1.24, 68.8% below the current price of $3.96 — a consensus view that SATL is overvalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Satellogic Inc.'s business model in Radio & Tv Broadcasting & Communications Equipment.

What does a Quality of Company score of 5.5 mean for SATL?

Satellogic Inc.'s QOC of 5.5/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores between 5-7 reflect moderate fundamentals with areas for improvement.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on SATL?

CirclFi analyzes SATL with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 8 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Is SATL a value trap in 2026?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm does not have sufficient data for SATL at this time. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 8-model valuation engine, Satellogic Inc. (SATL) has a median fair value of $1.24 — 68.8% below the current price of $3.96 — as of 2026-07-15.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/SATL/ · Methodology

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