DUKE Robotics Corp. (DUKR) Fair Value 2026

DUKR · Aerospace & Defense ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

5.9 /10

32 fundamental signals · 5 models active

Value Trap Risk

LOW (28/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-27, DUKE Robotics Corp. (DUKR) trades at $5.50, versus a $10.20 median fair value across its 5 active models — 85.4% above the current price. QOC: 5.9/10. Value Trap Risk: 28/100 (LOW). 5/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
DUKR
Price
$5.50
Quality Score
5.9/10
Value Trap Risk
28/100
Models Active
5/13
Last Updated
Strength: First Chicago suggests +176.6% upside with 53% confidence
Risk: Limited model coverage (5/13) may reduce confidence

Is DUKE Robotics Corp. (DUKR) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 5-model valuation engine, DUKE Robotics Corp. (DUKR) appears undervalued as of : the median of 5 independent fair value estimates is $10.20, 85.4% above the current price of $5.50. Estimates range from $2.10 to $16.20. DUKR scores 5.9/10 on fundamental quality and 28/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -23.7% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,801 rated companies as of 2026-08-27. DUKR’s +85.4% gap is wider than that market norm, and the Aerospace & Defense sector median is -23.9%. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy DUKE Robotics Corp. Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give DUKR?

5 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($5.50)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Ensemble · Low Conviction
 $10.20 +85.4%
Scenario · High Conviction
 $15.21 +176.6%
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What Is DUKR's Fair Value Range?

Spread across 5 independent models · $2.10 to $16.20

CirclFi's 5 active models place DUKE Robotics Corp. (DUKR) between $2.10 and $16.20 per share, a spread of 138% of the median. The median of that range — $10.20 — is the fair value CirclFi publishes for DUKR, against a current price of $5.50.

Low · Dynamic NAVHigh · Sentiment SOTP
$2.10median $10.20$16.20
Where the range comes from
Most bearish modelDynamic NAV$2.10
Most bullish modelSentiment SOTP$16.20
Model agreement4 bullish · 1 bearishwide

A band this wide is itself the finding. When independent methods land far apart, they are reading a business whose value depends heavily on which lens you apply — volatile earnings, heavy reinvestment, or an asset base that cash-flow and asset-based methods score differently. That disagreement is information: it says the choice of method matters more than usual for DUKR. Treat the median as one reading among several and compare the individual models below before acting.

Every figure above is one model's standalone output on DUKR, not a CirclFi price target. How each model works →

What Is DUKE Robotics Corp. (DUKR) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, DUKE Robotics Corp.'s intrinsic value is estimated at a median fair value of $10.20. At a current market price of $5.50, 4 of 5 active valuation models identify upside potential, projecting a median implied return of +85.4%. Notably, Sentiment SOTP sees the most upside at +194.5% (fair value: $16.20), while Dynamic NAV is the most conservative at -61.8% ($2.10). The spread between these extremes — +256.3% — reveals how different analytical frameworks can reach starkly different conclusions.

What Do the Models Say About DUKR?

5 of 13 models are currently active for DUKR. Of these, 4 models suggest upside while 1 model suggests overvaluation. Taken together, their median fair value for DUKR is $10.20 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does DUKR Rank in Aerospace & Defense?

Among 92 Aerospace & Defense stocks, DUKR ranks #55 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 5.9/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 5.9 reflects mixed fundamentals.

See all Most Undervalued Aerospace & Defense Stocks →

DUKE Robotics Corp.'s positioning within the Aerospace & Defense segment means that program execution margin plays an outsized role in fundamental analysis. The sector's unique characteristics — including space and satellite demand — shape both the opportunity set and risk profile.

Is DUKR a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns DUKR a score of 28/100 (LOW). This indicates low risk. The financial profile does not exhibit typical value trap warning signs. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

5 of 13 models are active for DUKE Robotics Corp.. Limited activation may indicate insufficient history. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, DUKE Robotics Corp. earns a quality score of 5.9/10. This respectable rating reflects the company's standing across 32 fundamental signals spanning profitability, growth consistency, balance sheet strength, and capital allocation efficiency.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +256.3% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every DUKR valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across DUKR's 5 active models, average confidence is 32%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy DUKE Robotics Corp. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Aerospace & Defense Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

11 related Aerospace & Defense stocks with 13-model coverage

BETABETA Technologies, Inc.QOC 5.9SATLSatellogic Inc.QOC 5.9MNTSMomentus Inc.QOC 6.1AIRIAir Industries GroupQOC 5.8SIFSIFCO Industries, Inc.QOC 6.2SPAISafe Pro Group Inc.QOC 5.6PHGEBiomX Inc.QOC 4.0HXLHexcel CorporationQOC 8.7LOARLoar Holdings Inc.QOC 7.6BUKSButler National CorporationQOC 9.4HWMHowmet Aerospace Inc.QOC 9.3

Read investment analysis: BETA · SATL · MNTS · AIRI · SIF · SPAI · PHGE · HXL · LOAR · BUKS · HWM

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to DUKR?

7 companies across all industries closest to DUKR’s Quality of Company score of 5.9/10.

MACThe Macerich CompanyQOC 5.9TLRYTilray Brands, Inc.QOC 5.9FNGRFingerMotion, Inc.QOC 5.9HTLMHomesToLife Ltd.QOC 5.9CDTGCDT Environmental Technology Investment Holdings LimitedQOC 5.9WYFIWhiteFiber, Inc.QOC 5.9NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: MAC · TLRY · FNGR · HTLM · CDTG · WYFI · NVDA

Where Does DUKR Sit in CirclFi's Aerospace & Defense Rankings?

DUKR is ranked against every other Aerospace & Defense stock CirclFi covers in each of these screens.

See all Aerospace & Defense stocks ranked →

What Else Do Investors Ask About DUKE Robotics Corp.’s Valuation?

What is DUKE Robotics Corp.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts DUKE Robotics Corp. (DUKR)'s intrinsic value at $10.20 — the median of 5 independent model estimates as of 2026-08-27, ranging from $2.10 to $16.20. The Quality of Company score is 5.9/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is DUKR overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $5.50, 4 of 5 active models suggest DUKR may be undervalued, while 1 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 5 fair value estimates is $10.20, 85.4% above the current price of $5.50 — a consensus view that DUKR is undervalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits DUKE Robotics Corp.'s business model in Aerospace & Defense.

What does a Quality of Company score of 5.9 mean for DUKR?

DUKE Robotics Corp.'s QOC of 5.9/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores between 5-7 reflect moderate fundamentals with areas for improvement.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on DUKR?

CirclFi analyzes DUKR with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 5 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Which valuation models are most bullish and most bearish on DUKR?

Of the 5 models currently active on DUKR, Sentiment SOTP is the most bullish at $16.20 per share, and Dynamic NAV is the most bearish at $2.10. CirclFi's published fair value for DUKR is the median of that range, $10.20, not either extreme. The gap between the two ends equals 138% of the median — a wide spread, meaning the methods genuinely disagree and the median should carry less weight. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Is DUKR a value trap in 2026?

DUKE Robotics Corp.'s Value Trap score is 28/100 (LOW). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap.

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 5-model valuation engine, DUKE Robotics Corp. (DUKR) has a median fair value of $10.20 — 85.4% above the current price of $5.50 — as of 2026-08-27.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/DUKR/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this DUKR valuation
  • Financial statements: DUKE Robotics Corp. 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0001638911) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for DUKR as of ; valuations recomputed .

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