Quantum-Si Incorporated (QSI) Fair Value 2026

QSI · Measuring & Controlling Devices, NEC ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

5.0 /10

32 fundamental signals · 11 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (24/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-07-15, Quantum-Si Incorporated (QSI) trades at $0.86, approximately 177% above CirclFi’s Bayesian DCF fair value of $0.31. QOC: 5.0/10. Value Trap Risk: 24/100 (SAFE). 11/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
QSI
Price
$0.86
Quality Score
5.0/10
Value Trap Risk
24/100
Models Active
11/13
Last Updated
Strength: 11 independent models provide multi-angle coverage
Risk: Majority of models suggest overvaluation

Is Quantum-Si Incorporated (QSI) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 11-model valuation engine, Quantum-Si Incorporated (QSI) appears overvalued as of : the median of 11 independent fair value estimates is $0.31, 64.0% below the current price of $0.86. Estimates range from $0.16 to $1.11. QSI scores 5.0/10 on fundamental quality and 24/100 on value-trap risk.

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy Quantum-Si Incorporated Stock in 2026? →

Valuation Matrix

11 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($0.86)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Bayesian DCF
Low Conviction
 $0.31 -64.0%
Earnings Power Value
Medium Conviction
 $0.24 -72.6%
CUCE Ensemble
Low Conviction
 $0.41 -52.6%
First Chicago
Medium Conviction
 $0.25 -70.7%

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What Is Quantum-Si Incorporated (QSI) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, the balance of valuation evidence tilts cautious on Quantum-Si Incorporated at its current price of $0.86. The composite intrinsic value is estimated at $0.48 (-44.1% average return), with 8 models flagging overvaluation risk. The most optimistic model, EROIC, places fair value at $1.11 (+28.4%), while Sentiment SOTP — the most conservative — estimates $0.16 (-81.6%). This +110.0% gap reflects genuine analytical uncertainty about Quantum-Si Incorporated's intrinsic worth.

What Do the Models Say About QSI?

11 of 13 models are currently active for QSI. Of these, 2 models suggest upside while 9 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates QSI's intrinsic value at $0.31, implying -64.0% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does QSI Rank in Measuring & Controlling Devices, NEC?

Among 10 Measuring & Controlling Devices, NEC stocks, QSI ranks #10 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 5.0/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 5.0 reflects mixed fundamentals.

Quantum-Si Incorporated operates in a competitive landscape where fundamental quality metrics are key differentiators for long-term value creation.

Is QSI a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns QSI a score of 24/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

11 of 13 models are active for Quantum-Si Incorporated. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi 32-factor quality framework, Quantum-Si Incorporated's fundamental quality profile registers 5.0/10. This mixed score captures the company's profitability depth, growth consistency, balance sheet resilience, and shareholder return track record.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +110.0% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every QSI valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across QSI's 11 active models, average confidence is 27%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Quantum-Si Incorporated Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Measuring & Controlling Devices, NEC Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

8 related Measuring & Controlling Devices, NEC stocks with 13-model coverage

ONTOOnto Innovation Inc.QOC 10.0TRMBTrimble Inc.QOC 9.3TMOThermo Fisher Scientific IncQOC 8.7GEOSGeospace Technologies CorporatiQOC 8.0ROKRockwell Automation, Inc.QOC 7.4MASS908 Devices Inc.QOC 7.3BCHTBirchtech Corp.QOC 6.5OWLTOwlet, Inc.QOC 6.2

Read investment analysis: ONTO · TRMB · TMO · GEOS · ROK

Frequently Asked Questions About Quantum-Si Incorporated

What is Quantum-Si Incorporated's intrinsic value in 2026?

Based on CirclFi's 13-model analysis, Quantum-Si Incorporated (QSI) has multiple fair value estimates. The Bayesian DCF model runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion to estimate intrinsic value at $0.31. The Quality of Company score is 5.0/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is QSI overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $0.86, 2 of 11 active models suggest QSI may be undervalued, while 9 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 11 fair value estimates is $0.31, 64.0% below the current price of $0.86 — a consensus view that QSI is overvalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Quantum-Si Incorporated's business model in Measuring & Controlling Devices, NEC.

What does a Quality of Company score of 5.0 mean for QSI?

Quantum-Si Incorporated's QOC of 5.0/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores between 5-7 reflect moderate fundamentals with areas for improvement.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on QSI?

CirclFi analyzes QSI with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 11 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Is QSI a value trap in 2026?

Quantum-Si Incorporated's Value Trap score is 24/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 11-model valuation engine, Quantum-Si Incorporated (QSI) has a median fair value of $0.31 — 64.0% below the current price of $0.86 — as of 2026-07-15.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/QSI/ · Methodology

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