Newsmax, Inc. (NMAX) Fair Value 2026

NMAX · Broadcasting ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

5.9 /10

32 fundamental signals · 2 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (20/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-31, Newsmax, Inc. (NMAX) trades at $10.76, versus a $3.61 median fair value across its 2 active models — 66.4% below the current price. QOC: 5.9/10. Value Trap Risk: 20/100 (SAFE). 2/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
NMAX
Price
$10.76
Quality Score
5.9/10
Value Trap Risk
20/100
Models Active
2/13
Last Updated
Strength: 2 independent models provide multi-angle coverage
Risk: Majority of models suggest overvaluation

Is Newsmax, Inc. (NMAX) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 2-model valuation engine, Newsmax, Inc. (NMAX) appears overvalued as of : the median of 2 independent fair value estimates is $3.61, 66.4% below the current price of $10.76. Estimates range from $2.45 to $4.78. NMAX scores 5.9/10 on fundamental quality and 20/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -23.1% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,804 rated companies as of 2026-08-31. NMAX’s -66.4% gap is wider than that market norm. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy Newsmax, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give NMAX?

2 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($10.76)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Relative · Medium Conviction
 $4.78 -55.6%
Relative · Low Conviction
 $2.45 -77.2%

All Models Active

All 2 models are displayed above.

What Is Newsmax, Inc. (NMAX) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Newsmax, Inc.'s intrinsic value is estimated at $3.61. Trading at its current price of $10.76, the valuation engine raises significant caution: 2 of 2 models flag downside risk, projecting a median implied return of -66.4%.

What Do the Models Say About NMAX?

2 of 13 models are currently active for NMAX. All 2 active models suggest the stock trades above fair value. Taken together, their median fair value for NMAX is $3.61 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does NMAX Rank in Broadcasting?

Among 18 Broadcasting stocks, NMAX ranks #9 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 5.9/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 5.9 reflects mixed fundamentals.

The Broadcasting sector introduces analytical considerations specific to media and communications company businesses. For Newsmax, Inc., metrics like average revenue per user (ARPU) provide important context that general-purpose valuation models may underweight.

Is NMAX a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns NMAX a score of 20/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

2 of 13 models are active for Newsmax, Inc.. Limited activation may indicate insufficient history. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Newsmax, Inc. scores 5.9 out of 10 on our 32-signal quality assessment, a solid rating that maintains reasonable quality metrics with some areas for improvement. The QOC score synthesizes profitability margins, revenue growth reliability, debt management, and capital allocation into a single metric designed to separate durable businesses from statistically cheap ones.

Models cluster within a tight range (+21.6% spread), increasing conviction. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every NMAX valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across NMAX's 2 active models, average confidence is 25%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Newsmax, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Broadcasting Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

11 related Broadcasting stocks with 13-model coverage

FUBOFuboTV Inc.QOC 6.0SBGISinclair, Inc.QOC 5.9SALMSalem Media Group IncQOC 6.1FLZHFlash Sports & Media Holdings, Inc.QOC 5.7SSPThe E.W. Scripps CompanyQOC 6.2BBGIBeasley Broadcast Group, Inc.QOC 5.0XHLDTEN Holdings, Inc.QOC 5.0CASTFreeCast, Inc.QOC 3.3CURICuriosityStream Inc.QOC 6.6NXSTNexstar Media Group, Inc.QOC 7.2SGASaga Communications, Inc.QOC 6.8

Read investment analysis: FUBO · SBGI · SALM · FLZH · SSP · BBGI · XHLD · CAST · CURI · NXST · SGA

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to NMAX?

7 companies across all industries closest to NMAX’s Quality of Company score of 5.9/10.

NTSKNetskope, Inc.QOC 5.9SLNSilence Therapeutics plcQOC 5.9VYXNCR Voyix CorporationQOC 5.9TDICDreamland LimitedQOC 5.9SIShoulder Innovations, Inc.QOC 5.9QXOQXO, Inc.QOC 5.9NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: NTSK · SLN · VYX · TDIC · SI · QXO · NVDA

What Else Do Investors Ask About Newsmax, Inc.’s Valuation?

What is Newsmax, Inc.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts Newsmax, Inc. (NMAX)'s intrinsic value at $3.61 — the median of 2 independent model estimates as of 2026-08-31, ranging from $2.45 to $4.78. The Quality of Company score is 5.9/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is NMAX overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $10.76, 0 of 2 active models suggest NMAX may be undervalued, while 2 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 2 fair value estimates is $3.61, 66.4% below the current price of $10.76 — a consensus view that NMAX is overvalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Newsmax, Inc.'s business model in Broadcasting.

What does a Quality of Company score of 5.9 mean for NMAX?

Newsmax, Inc.'s QOC of 5.9/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores between 5-7 reflect moderate fundamentals with areas for improvement.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on NMAX?

CirclFi analyzes NMAX with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 2 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Is NMAX a value trap in 2026?

Newsmax, Inc.'s Value Trap score is 20/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 2-model valuation engine, Newsmax, Inc. (NMAX) has a median fair value of $3.61 — 66.4% below the current price of $10.76 — as of 2026-08-31.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/NMAX/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this NMAX valuation
  • Financial statements: Newsmax, Inc. 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0002026478) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for NMAX as of ; valuations recomputed .