AGL

Medical Care Facilities
agilon health, inc.
Quality Score
6.2
out of 10 · 32 signals
Value Trap
18
SAFE
Current Price
$86.39
Last close
Models Active
9/13
Valuation models

AGL Valuation Models — 2026 Fair Value Estimates

Each model computes an independent intrinsic value for agilon health, inc. (AGL). Confidence reflects how well the model fits this company's financial profile.

ModelTypeFair Valuevs PriceConfidence
Bayesian DCF Intrinsic $27.38 -68.3% 17%
First Chicago Scenario $447.06 +454.9% 21%
Earnings Power Value Intrinsic $•••.•• ••.•% ••%
EROIC Spread Intrinsic $•••.•• ••.•% ••%
Markov DDM Intrinsic $•••.•• ••.•% ••%
ML-RIV Intrinsic $•••.•• ••.•% ••%
Dynamic NAV Asset-Based $•••.•• ••.•% ••%
PWERM Option-Based $•••.•• ••.•% ••%
Regime Cross-Sectional Relative $•••.•• ••.•% ••%
Sentiment SOTP Hybrid $•••.•• ••.•% ••%
CUCE Ensemble Ensemble $•••.•• ••.•% ••%
FTNN Topology Relative $•••.•• ••.•% ••%
RCMH-DCF Intrinsic $•••.•• ••.•% ••%

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agilon health, inc. (AGL) — Intrinsic Value Analysis 2026

Is AGL undervalued or overvalued in 2026? CirclFi runs agilon health, inc. through 13 institutional-grade valuation models daily to answer exactly that question. Our models include Bayesian DCF (10K Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion), Earnings Power Value (Greenwald zero-growth analysis), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment framework), Markov DDM (regime-switching dividend model), and 9 more advanced frameworks.

Our proprietary Quality of Company (QOC) score evaluates AGL across 32 fundamental signals — profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. The Value Trap algorithm cross-references apparent undervaluation against deteriorating fundamentals to flag stocks that look cheap but carry hidden risk.

How We Calculate AGL Fair Value

Unlike simple P/E ratio screens or analyst price targets, CirclFi computes intrinsic value from first principles using SEC EDGAR financial data. Each of our 13 models — Bayesian DCF, EPV, EROIC Spread, First Chicago, Markov DDM, ML-RIV, Dynamic NAV, PWERM, Regime Cross-Sectional, Sentiment SOTP, CUCE Ensemble, FTNN Topology, and RCMH-DCF — produces an independent fair value estimate with a confidence score. These are then combined using our CUCE Ensemble method — a correlation-adjusted inverse-variance weighting system that automatically dampens outlier models and amplifies agreement.

AGL Valuation Summary

agilon health, inc. currently trades at $86.39 with 9 of 13 valuation models active. The company operates in the Medical Care Facilities sector. CirclFi's Quality of Company score for AGL is 6.2/10, and the Value Trap score is 18 (SAFE). This analysis is updated automatically after each market close using the latest SEC EDGAR filings and market data.

This analysis is generated automatically by the CirclFi Valuation Engine. It is not financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Data sourced from SEC EDGAR, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators.

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