LCI Industries (LCII) Fair Value 2026

LCII · Recreational Vehicles ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

8.0 /10

32 fundamental signals · 12 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (12/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-10-07, LCI Industries (LCII) trades at $82.19, versus a $99.76 median fair value across its 12 active models — 21.4% above the current price. QOC: 8.0/10. Value Trap Risk: 12/100 (SAFE). 12/13 models active. Within that set, the Bayesian DCF component alone returns $35.39.

Key Facts

Ticker
LCII
Price
$82.19
Quality Score
8.0/10
Value Trap Risk
12/100
Models Active
12/13
Last Updated
Strength: First Chicago suggests +147.9% upside with 58% confidence
Risk: Limited model coverage (12/13) may reduce confidence

Is LCI Industries (LCII) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 12-model valuation engine, LCI Industries (LCII) appears undervalued as of : the median of 12 independent fair value estimates is $99.76, 21.4% above the current price of $82.19. Estimates range from $35.39 to $227.33. LCII scores 8.0/10 on fundamental quality and 12/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -20.1% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,777 rated companies as of 2026-10-07. LCII’s +21.4% gap is wider than that market norm. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy LCI Industries Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give LCII?

12 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($82.19)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $35.39 -56.9%
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $57.39 -30.2%
Ensemble · Low Conviction
 $99.89 +21.5%
Scenario · High Conviction
 $203.73 +147.9%
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What Is LCII's Fair Value Range?

Spread across 12 independent models · $35.39 to $227.33

CirclFi's 12 active models place LCI Industries (LCII) between $35.39 and $227.33 per share, a spread of 192% of the median. The median of that range — $99.76 — is the fair value CirclFi publishes for LCII, against a current price of $82.19.

Low · Bayesian DCFHigh · Regime Cross
$35.39median $99.76$227.33
Where the range comes from
Most bearish modelBayesian DCF$35.39
Most bullish modelRegime Cross-Sectional$227.33
Model agreement7 bullish · 4 bearishwide

A band this wide is itself the finding. When independent methods land far apart, they are reading a business whose value depends heavily on which lens you apply — volatile earnings, heavy reinvestment, or an asset base that cash-flow and asset-based methods score differently. That disagreement is information: it says the choice of method matters more than usual for LCII. Treat the median as one reading among several and compare the individual models below before acting.

Every figure above is one model's standalone output on LCII, not a CirclFi price target. How each model works →

What Is LCI Industries (LCII) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, LCI Industries's intrinsic value is estimated at a median fair value of $99.76. While the stock appears modestly undervalued at $82.19 (implied upside of +21.4%), our analysis suggests a thinner margin of safety across 7 of 12 bullish models. Notably, Regime Cross sees the most upside at +176.6% (fair value: $227.33), while Bayesian DCF is the most conservative at -56.9% ($35.39). The spread between these extremes — +233.5% — reveals how different analytical frameworks can reach starkly different conclusions. Among models with highest confidence, EPV lean bearish — adding weight to the bearish side of the thesis.

What Do the Models Say About LCII?

12 of 13 models are currently active for LCII. Of these, 8 models suggest upside while 4 models suggest overvaluation. Taken together, their median fair value for LCII is $99.76 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, returns $35.39 on its own, implying -56.9% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does LCII Rank in Recreational Vehicles?

Among 18 Recreational Vehicles stocks, LCII ranks #3 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 8.0/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 8.0 places LCII in the top tier.

As a vehicle manufacturer, LCI Industries operates in a sector where fleet electrification pace is a critical driver of valuation. Investors evaluating LCII should weigh these sector-specific dynamics alongside our model-derived fair values.

Is LCII a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns LCII a score of 12/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

12 of 13 models are active for LCI Industries. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi 32-factor quality framework, LCI Industries's fundamental quality profile registers 8.0/10. This robust score captures the company's profitability depth, growth consistency, balance sheet resilience, and shareholder return track record.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +233.5% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every LCII valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across LCII's 12 active models, average confidence is 51%. Moderate confidence indicates reasonable fit.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy LCI Industries Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Recreational Vehicles Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

9 related Recreational Vehicles stocks with 13-model coverage

PATKPatrick Industries, Inc.QOC 8.1DOOBRP Inc.QOC 7.7HOGHarley-Davidson, Inc.QOC 8.8THOTHOR Industries, Inc.QOC 7.6EZGOEZGO Technologies Ltd.QOC 2.3BCBrunswick CorporationQOC 7.3WGOWinnebago Industries, Inc.QOC 7.3VEEETwin Vee Powercats Co.QOC 5.6EMPDEmpery Digital Inc.QOC 3.9

Read investment analysis: PATK · DOO · HOG · THO · EZGO · BC · WGO · VEEE · EMPD

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to LCII?

7 companies across all industries closest to LCII’s Quality of Company score of 8.0/10.

FTVFortive CorporationQOC 8.0FRMEFirst Merchants CorporationQOC 8.0ADCAgree Realty CorporationQOC 8.0SXTSensient Technologies CorporationQOC 8.0ENTGEntegris, Inc.QOC 8.0CMSCMS Energy CorporationQOC 8.0NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: FTV · FRME · ADC · SXT · ENTG · CMS · NVDA

What Else Do Investors Ask About LCI Industries’s Valuation?

What is LCI Industries's intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts LCI Industries (LCII)'s intrinsic value at $99.76 — the median of 12 independent model estimates as of 2026-10-07, ranging from $35.39 to $227.33. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion and returns $35.39 on its own. The Quality of Company score is 8.0/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is LCII overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $82.19, 8 of 12 active models suggest LCII may be undervalued, while 4 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 12 fair value estimates is $99.76, 21.4% above the current price of $82.19 — a consensus view that LCII is undervalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits LCI Industries's business model in Recreational Vehicles.

What does a Quality of Company score of 8.0 mean for LCII?

LCI Industries's QOC of 8.0/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores above 7 indicate strong fundamentals and disciplined management.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on LCII?

CirclFi analyzes LCII with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 12 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Which valuation models are most bullish and most bearish on LCII?

Of the 12 models currently active on LCII, Regime Cross-Sectional is the most bullish at $227.33 per share, and Bayesian DCF is the most bearish at $35.39. CirclFi's published fair value for LCII is the median of that range, $99.76, not either extreme. The gap between the two ends equals 192% of the median — a wide spread, meaning the methods genuinely disagree and the median should carry less weight. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Is LCII a value trap in 2026?

LCI Industries's Value Trap score is 12/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap.

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 12-model valuation engine, LCI Industries (LCII) has a median fair value of $99.76 — 21.4% above the current price of $82.19 — as of 2026-10-07.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/LCII/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this LCII valuation
  • Financial statements: LCI Industries 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0000763744) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for LCII as of ; valuations recomputed .

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