NVE Corporation (NVEC) Fair Value 2026

NVEC · Semiconductors ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

8.6 /10

32 fundamental signals · 9 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (18/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-27, NVE Corporation (NVEC) trades at $107.08, versus a $29.36 median fair value across its 9 active models — 72.6% below the current price. QOC: 8.6/10. Value Trap Risk: 18/100 (SAFE). 9/13 models active. Within that set, the Bayesian DCF component alone returns $25.61.

Key Facts

Ticker
NVEC
Price
$107.08
Quality Score
8.6/10
Value Trap Risk
18/100
Models Active
9/13
Last Updated
Strength: Quality Score of 8.6/10 indicates strong fundamentals
Risk: Majority of models suggest overvaluation

Is NVE Corporation (NVEC) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 9-model valuation engine, NVE Corporation (NVEC) appears overvalued as of : the median of 9 independent fair value estimates is $29.36, 72.6% below the current price of $107.08. Estimates range from $19.55 to $112.18. NVEC scores 8.6/10 on fundamental quality and 18/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -23.7% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,801 rated companies as of 2026-08-27. NVEC’s -72.6% gap is wider than that market norm, and the Semiconductors sector median is -62.5%. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy NVE Corporation Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give NVEC?

9 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($107.08)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $25.61 -76.1%
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $23.25 -78.3%
Ensemble · Low Conviction
 $37.16 -65.3%
Scenario · High Conviction
 $60.80 -43.2%
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What Is NVEC's Fair Value Range?

Spread across 9 independent models · $19.55 to $112.18

CirclFi's 9 active models place NVE Corporation (NVEC) between $19.55 and $112.18 per share, a spread of 315% of the median. The median of that range — $29.36 — is the fair value CirclFi publishes for NVEC, against a current price of $107.08.

Low · EROICHigh · Regime Cross
$19.55median $29.36$112.18
Where the range comes from
Most bearish modelEROIC Spread$19.55
Most bullish modelRegime Cross-Sectional$112.18
Model agreement0 bullish · 7 bearishwide

A band this wide is itself the finding. When independent methods land far apart, they are reading a business whose value depends heavily on which lens you apply — volatile earnings, heavy reinvestment, or an asset base that cash-flow and asset-based methods score differently. That disagreement is information: it says the choice of method matters more than usual for NVEC. Treat the median as one reading among several and compare the individual models below before acting.

Every figure above is one model's standalone output on NVEC, not a CirclFi price target. How each model works →

What Is NVE Corporation (NVEC) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, NVE Corporation's intrinsic value is estimated at $29.36. Trading at its current price of $107.08, the valuation engine raises significant caution: 7 of 9 models flag downside risk, projecting a median implied return of -72.6%. The most optimistic model, Regime Cross, places fair value at $112.18 (+4.8%), while EROIC — the most conservative — estimates $19.55 (-81.7%). This +86.5% gap reflects genuine analytical uncertainty about NVE Corporation's intrinsic worth. Among models with highest confidence, EPV lean bearish — adding weight to the bearish side of the thesis.

What Do the Models Say About NVEC?

9 of 13 models are currently active for NVEC. Of these, 1 model suggests upside while 8 models suggest overvaluation. Taken together, their median fair value for NVEC is $29.36 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, returns $25.61 on its own, implying -76.1% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does NVEC Rank in Semiconductors?

Among 71 Semiconductors stocks, NVEC ranks #13 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 8.6/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 8.6 places NVEC in the top tier.

See all Most Undervalued Semiconductors Stocks →

The Semiconductors sector introduces analytical considerations specific to semiconductor industry businesses. For NVE Corporation, metrics like wafer utilization rate provide important context that general-purpose valuation models may underweight.

Is NVEC a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns NVEC a score of 18/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

9 of 13 models are active for NVE Corporation. Moderate coverage provides meaningful perspective. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, NVE Corporation scores 8.6 out of 10 on our 32-signal quality assessment, a strong rating that demonstrates strong fundamentals across the majority of our quality signals. The QOC score synthesizes profitability margins, revenue growth reliability, debt management, and capital allocation into a single metric designed to separate durable businesses from statistically cheap ones.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +86.5% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every NVEC valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across NVEC's 9 active models, average confidence is 50%. Moderate confidence indicates reasonable fit.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy NVE Corporation Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Semiconductors Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

11 related Semiconductors stocks with 13-model coverage

AMDAdvanced Micro Devices, Inc.QOC 8.7UMCUnited Microelectronics CorporationQOC 8.5QCOMQUALCOMM IncorporatedQOC 8.9MRVLMarvell Technology, Inc.QOC 8.5ADIAnalog Devices, Inc.QOC 9.0ALABAstera Labs, Inc.QOC 8.3SYNASynaptics IncorporatedQOC 7.2GSITGSI Technology, Inc.QOC 6.1WKEYWISeKey International Holding AGQOC 2.6NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0AVGOBroadcom Inc.QOC 9.8

Read investment analysis: AMD · UMC · QCOM · MRVL · ADI · ALAB · SYNA · GSIT · WKEY · NVDA · AVGO

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to NVEC?

6 companies across all industries closest to NVEC’s Quality of Company score of 8.6/10.

TGSTransportadora de Gas del Sur S.A.QOC 8.6SIEBSiebert Financial Corp.QOC 8.6FINVFinVolution GroupQOC 8.6BJBJ's Wholesale Club Holdings, Inc.QOC 8.6OTTROtter Tail CorporationQOC 8.6FCBCFirst Community Bankshares, Inc.QOC 8.6

Read investment analysis: TGS · SIEB · FINV · BJ · OTTR · FCBC

Where Does NVEC Sit in CirclFi's Semiconductors Rankings?

NVEC is ranked against every other Semiconductors stock CirclFi covers in each of these screens.

See all Semiconductors stocks ranked →

What Else Do Investors Ask About NVE Corporation’s Valuation?

What is NVE Corporation's intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts NVE Corporation (NVEC)'s intrinsic value at $29.36 — the median of 9 independent model estimates as of 2026-08-27, ranging from $19.55 to $112.18. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion and returns $25.61 on its own. The Quality of Company score is 8.6/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is NVEC overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $107.08, 1 of 9 active models suggest NVEC may be undervalued, while 8 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 9 fair value estimates is $29.36, 72.6% below the current price of $107.08 — a consensus view that NVEC is overvalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits NVE Corporation's business model in Semiconductors.

What does a Quality of Company score of 8.6 mean for NVEC?

NVE Corporation's QOC of 8.6/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores above 7 indicate strong fundamentals and disciplined management.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on NVEC?

CirclFi analyzes NVEC with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 9 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Which valuation models are most bullish and most bearish on NVEC?

Of the 9 models currently active on NVEC, Regime Cross-Sectional is the most bullish at $112.18 per share, and EROIC Spread is the most bearish at $19.55. CirclFi's published fair value for NVEC is the median of that range, $29.36, not either extreme. The gap between the two ends equals 315% of the median — a wide spread, meaning the methods genuinely disagree and the median should carry less weight. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Is NVEC a value trap in 2026?

NVE Corporation's Value Trap score is 18/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap.

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 9-model valuation engine, NVE Corporation (NVEC) has a median fair value of $29.36 — 72.6% below the current price of $107.08 — as of 2026-08-27.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/NVEC/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this NVEC valuation
  • Financial statements: NVE Corporation 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0000724910) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for NVEC as of ; valuations recomputed .

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