Quanta Services, Inc. (PWR) Fair Value 2026

PWR · Electrical Work ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

7.8 /10

32 fundamental signals · 12 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (18/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-07-13, Quanta Services, Inc. (PWR) trades at $646.47, approximately 280% above CirclFi’s Bayesian DCF fair value of $169.92. QOC: 7.8/10. Value Trap Risk: 18/100 (SAFE). 12/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
PWR
Price
$646.47
Quality Score
7.8/10
Value Trap Risk
18/100
Models Active
12/13
Last Updated
Strength: 12 independent models provide multi-angle coverage
Risk: Majority of models suggest overvaluation

Valuation Matrix

12 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($646.47)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Bayesian DCF
High Conviction
$169.92 -73.7%
Earnings Power Value
Low Conviction
$7.95 -98.8%
CUCE Ensemble
Low Conviction
$153.18 -76.3%
First Chicago
High Conviction
$103.93 -83.9%

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What Is Quanta Services, Inc. (PWR) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Quanta Services, Inc.'s intrinsic value is estimated at $192.97, suggesting the stock is overvalued at its current price of $646.47. With 11 out of 12 models flagging downside (-70.2% average return), the market may be pricing in unsustainable growth. The most optimistic model, PWERM, places fair value at $680.05 (+5.2%), while EPV — the most conservative — estimates $7.95 (-98.8%). This +104.0% gap reflects genuine analytical uncertainty about Quanta Services, Inc.'s intrinsic worth.

What Do the Models Say About PWR?

12 of 13 models are currently active for PWR. Of these, 1 model suggests upside while 11 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates PWR's intrinsic value at $169.92, implying -73.7% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does PWR Rank in Electrical Work?

Among 6 Electrical Work stocks, PWR ranks #4 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 7.8/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 7.8 indicates above-average quality.

Within the Electrical Work space, Quanta Services, Inc. competes in an environment where renewable generation mix often separates market leaders from laggards. Understanding these industry-specific dynamics is essential context for interpreting our model outputs.

Is PWR a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns PWR a score of 18/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

12 of 13 models are active for Quanta Services, Inc.. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi 32-factor quality framework, Quanta Services, Inc.'s fundamental quality profile registers 7.8/10. This robust score captures the company's profitability depth, growth consistency, balance sheet resilience, and shareholder return track record.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +104.0% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every PWR valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across PWR's 12 active models, average confidence is 45%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Quanta Services, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Electrical Work Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

5 related Electrical Work stocks with 13-model coverage

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Frequently Asked Questions About Quanta Services, Inc.

What is Quanta Services, Inc.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

Based on CirclFi's 13-model analysis, Quanta Services, Inc. (PWR) has multiple fair value estimates. The Bayesian DCF model runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion to estimate intrinsic value at $169.92. The Quality of Company score is 7.8/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is PWR overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $646.47, 1 of 12 active models suggest PWR may be undervalued, while 11 indicate potential overvaluation. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Quanta Services, Inc.'s business model in Electrical Work.

What does a Quality of Company score of 7.8 mean for PWR?

Quanta Services, Inc.'s QOC of 7.8/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores above 7 indicate strong fundamentals and disciplined management.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on PWR?

CirclFi analyzes PWR with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 12 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Is PWR a value trap in 2026?

Quanta Services, Inc.'s Value Trap score is 18/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

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