Ichor Holdings, Ltd. (ICHR) Fair Value 2026

ICHR · Semiconductor Equipment & Materials ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

6.8 /10

32 fundamental signals · 7 models active

Value Trap Risk

LOW (33/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-28, Ichor Holdings, Ltd. (ICHR) trades at $55.45, versus a $11.51 median fair value across its 7 active models — 79.2% below the current price. QOC: 6.8/10. Value Trap Risk: 33/100 (LOW). 7/13 models active. Within that set, the Bayesian DCF component alone returns $4.85.

Key Facts

Ticker
ICHR
Price
$55.45
Quality Score
6.8/10
Value Trap Risk
33/100
Models Active
7/13
Last Updated
Strength: 7 independent models provide multi-angle coverage
Risk: Majority of models suggest overvaluation

Is Ichor Holdings, Ltd. (ICHR) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 7-model valuation engine, Ichor Holdings, Ltd. (ICHR) appears overvalued as of : the median of 7 independent fair value estimates is $11.51, 79.2% below the current price of $55.45. Estimates range from $4.85 to $143.82. ICHR scores 6.8/10 on fundamental quality and 33/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -23.4% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,809 rated companies as of 2026-08-28. ICHR’s -79.2% gap is wider than that market norm, and the Semiconductor Equipment & Materials sector median is -73.1%. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy Ichor Holdings, Ltd. Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give ICHR?

7 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($55.45)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $4.85 -91.3%
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $5.11 -90.8%
Ensemble · Low Conviction
 $21.67 -60.9%
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What Is ICHR's Fair Value Range?

Spread across 7 independent models · $4.85 to $143.82

CirclFi's 7 active models place Ichor Holdings, Ltd. (ICHR) between $4.85 and $143.82 per share, a spread of 1208% of the median. The median of that range — $11.51 — is the fair value CirclFi publishes for ICHR, against a current price of $55.45.

Low · Bayesian DCFHigh · Regime Cross
$4.85median $11.51$143.82
Where the range comes from
Most bearish modelBayesian DCF$4.85
Most bullish modelRegime Cross-Sectional$143.82
Model agreement2 bullish · 5 bearishwide

A band this wide is itself the finding. When independent methods land far apart, they are reading a business whose value depends heavily on which lens you apply — volatile earnings, heavy reinvestment, or an asset base that cash-flow and asset-based methods score differently. That disagreement is information: it says the choice of method matters more than usual for ICHR. Treat the median as one reading among several and compare the individual models below before acting.

Every figure above is one model's standalone output on ICHR, not a CirclFi price target. How each model works →

What Is Ichor Holdings, Ltd. (ICHR) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Ichor Holdings, Ltd.'s intrinsic value is estimated at a median fair value of $11.51. Trading at $55.45, the stock is approaching fair value or slight overvaluation (implied return of -79.2%), as 5 of 7 models suggest limited further upside. The most optimistic model, Regime Cross, places fair value at $143.82 (+159.4%), while Bayesian DCF — the most conservative — estimates $4.85 (-91.3%). This +250.6% gap reflects genuine analytical uncertainty about Ichor Holdings, Ltd.'s intrinsic worth.

What Do the Models Say About ICHR?

7 of 13 models are currently active for ICHR. Of these, 2 models suggest upside while 5 models suggest overvaluation. Taken together, their median fair value for ICHR is $11.51 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, returns $4.85 on its own, implying -91.3% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does ICHR Rank in Semiconductor Equipment & Materials?

Among 32 Semiconductor Equipment & Materials stocks, ICHR ranks #25 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 6.8/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 6.8 indicates above-average quality.

Ichor Holdings, Ltd.'s positioning within the Semiconductor Equipment & Materials segment means that average selling price (ASP) plays an outsized role in fundamental analysis. The sector's unique characteristics — including data center buildout — shape both the opportunity set and risk profile.

Is ICHR a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns ICHR a score of 33/100 (LOW). This indicates low risk. The financial profile does not exhibit typical value trap warning signs. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

7 of 13 models are active for Ichor Holdings, Ltd.. Moderate coverage provides meaningful perspective. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, Ichor Holdings, Ltd. earns a quality score of 6.8/10. This respectable rating reflects the company's standing across 32 fundamental signals spanning profitability, growth consistency, balance sheet strength, and capital allocation efficiency.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +250.6% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every ICHR valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across ICHR's 7 active models, average confidence is 43%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Ichor Holdings, Ltd. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Semiconductor Equipment & Materials Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

10 related Semiconductor Equipment & Materials stocks with 13-model coverage

COHUCohu, Inc.QOC 6.8AXTIAXT, Inc.QOC 6.7AEHRAehr Test Systems, Inc.QOC 6.9ASYSAmtech Systems, Inc.QOC 6.4AMBAAmbarella, Inc.QOC 7.0TRTTrio-Tech InternationalQOC 6.4KLACKLA CorporationQOC 9.8PLABPhotronics, Inc.QOC 8.9AMKRAmkor Technology, Inc.QOC 7.8ASMLASML Holding N.V.QOC 9.7

Read investment analysis: COHU · AXTI · AEHR · ASYS · AMBA · TRT · KLAC · PLAB · AMKR · ASML

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to ICHR?

7 companies across all industries closest to ICHR’s Quality of Company score of 6.8/10.

OLNOlin CorporationQOC 6.8ZIMZIM Integrated Shipping Services Ltd.QOC 6.8AOSLAlpha and Omega Semiconductor LimitedQOC 6.8REAXReal REMAX Group Inc.QOC 6.8OCGNOcugen, Inc.QOC 6.8GFRGreenfire Resources Ltd.QOC 6.8NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: OLN · ZIM · AOSL · REAX · OCGN · GFR · NVDA

What Else Do Investors Ask About Ichor Holdings, Ltd.’s Valuation?

What is Ichor Holdings, Ltd.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts Ichor Holdings, Ltd. (ICHR)'s intrinsic value at $11.51 — the median of 7 independent model estimates as of 2026-08-28, ranging from $4.85 to $143.82. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion and returns $4.85 on its own. The Quality of Company score is 6.8/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is ICHR overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $55.45, 2 of 7 active models suggest ICHR may be undervalued, while 5 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 7 fair value estimates is $11.51, 79.2% below the current price of $55.45 — a consensus view that ICHR is overvalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Ichor Holdings, Ltd.'s business model in Semiconductor Equipment & Materials.

What does a Quality of Company score of 6.8 mean for ICHR?

Ichor Holdings, Ltd.'s QOC of 6.8/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores between 5-7 reflect moderate fundamentals with areas for improvement.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on ICHR?

CirclFi analyzes ICHR with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 7 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Which valuation models are most bullish and most bearish on ICHR?

Of the 7 models currently active on ICHR, Regime Cross-Sectional is the most bullish at $143.82 per share, and Bayesian DCF is the most bearish at $4.85. CirclFi's published fair value for ICHR is the median of that range, $11.51, not either extreme. The gap between the two ends equals 1208% of the median — a wide spread, meaning the methods genuinely disagree and the median should carry less weight. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Is ICHR a value trap in 2026?

Ichor Holdings, Ltd.'s Value Trap score is 33/100 (LOW). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap.

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 7-model valuation engine, Ichor Holdings, Ltd. (ICHR) has a median fair value of $11.51 — 79.2% below the current price of $55.45 — as of 2026-08-28.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/ICHR/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this ICHR valuation
  • Financial statements: Ichor Holdings, Ltd. 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0001652535) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for ICHR as of ; valuations recomputed .

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