New Concept Energy, Inc. (GBR) Fair Value 2026

GBR · Real Estate Services ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

6.4 /10

32 fundamental signals · 6 models active

Value Trap Risk

WARN (42/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-10-07, New Concept Energy, Inc. (GBR) trades at $0.73, versus a $0.09 median fair value across its 6 active models — 87.4% below the current price. QOC: 6.4/10. Value Trap Risk: 42/100 (WARN). 6/13 models active. Within that set, the Bayesian DCF component alone returns $0.06.

Key Facts

Ticker
GBR
Price
$0.73
Quality Score
6.4/10
Value Trap Risk
42/100
Models Active
6/13
Last Updated
Strength: 6 independent models provide multi-angle coverage
Risk: Value Trap score of 42 suggests caution despite apparent undervaluation

Is New Concept Energy, Inc. (GBR) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 6-model valuation engine, New Concept Energy, Inc. (GBR) appears overvalued as of : the median of 6 independent fair value estimates is $0.09, 87.4% below the current price of $0.73. Estimates range from $0.05 to $0.33. GBR scores 6.4/10 on fundamental quality and 42/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -20.1% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,777 rated companies as of 2026-10-07. GBR’s -87.4% gap is wider than that market norm, and the Real Estate Services sector median is -9.9%. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy New Concept Energy, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give GBR?

6 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($0.73)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $0.06 -92.4%
Ensemble · Low Conviction
 $0.11 -84.6%
Intrinsic · Medium Conviction
 $0.05 -92.8%
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What Is GBR's Fair Value Range?

Spread across 6 independent models · $0.05 to $0.33

CirclFi's 6 active models place New Concept Energy, Inc. (GBR) between $0.05 and $0.33 per share, a spread of 303% of the median. The median of that range — $0.09 — is the fair value CirclFi publishes for GBR, against a current price of $0.73.

Low · ML-RIVHigh · FTNN
$0.05median $0.09$0.33
Where the range comes from
Most bearish modelML Residual Income$0.05
Most bullish modelFTNN Topology$0.33
Model agreement0 bullish · 6 bearishwide

A band this wide is itself the finding. When independent methods land far apart, they are reading a business whose value depends heavily on which lens you apply — volatile earnings, heavy reinvestment, or an asset base that cash-flow and asset-based methods score differently. That disagreement is information: it says the choice of method matters more than usual for GBR. Treat the median as one reading among several and compare the individual models below before acting.

Every figure above is one model's standalone output on GBR, not a CirclFi price target. How each model works →

What Is New Concept Energy, Inc. (GBR) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, New Concept Energy, Inc.'s intrinsic value is estimated at $0.09, suggesting the stock is overvalued at its current price of $0.73. With 6 out of 6 models flagging downside (-87.4% vs price), the market may be pricing in unsustainable growth. The most optimistic model, FTNN, places fair value at $0.33 (-54.7%), while ML-RIV — the most conservative — estimates $0.05 (-92.8%). This +38.1% gap reflects genuine analytical uncertainty about New Concept Energy, Inc.'s intrinsic worth.

What Do the Models Say About GBR?

6 of 13 models are currently active for GBR. All 6 active models suggest the stock trades above fair value. Taken together, their median fair value for GBR is $0.09 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, returns $0.06 on its own, implying -92.4% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does GBR Rank in Real Estate Services?

Among 51 Real Estate Services stocks, GBR ranks #23 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 6.4/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 6.4 indicates above-average quality.

See all Most Undervalued Real Estate Services Stocks →

Within the Real Estate Services space, New Concept Energy, Inc. competes in an environment where weighted average lease term (WALT) often separates market leaders from laggards. Understanding these industry-specific dynamics is essential context for interpreting our model outputs.

Is GBR a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns GBR a score of 42/100 (WARN). This is a warning signal. Additional research into recent 10-Q filings is recommended. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

6 of 13 models are active for New Concept Energy, Inc.. Moderate coverage provides meaningful perspective. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi 32-factor quality framework, New Concept Energy, Inc.'s fundamental quality profile registers 6.4/10. This respectable score captures the company's profitability depth, growth consistency, balance sheet resilience, and shareholder return track record.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +38.1% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every GBR valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across GBR's 6 active models, average confidence is 32%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy New Concept Energy, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Real Estate Services Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

11 related Real Estate Services stocks with 13-model coverage

TCITranscontinental Realty Investors, Inc.QOC 6.5ARLAmerican Realty Investors, Inc.QOC 6.4FRPHFRP Holdings, Inc.QOC 6.6MAYSJ.W. Mays, Inc.QOC 6.3MLPMaui Land & Pineapple Company, Inc.QOC 6.6OMHOhmyhome LimitedQOC 6.1NYCAmerican Strategic Investment Co.QOC 5.4HBNBHotel101 Global Holdings Corp.QOC 3.4IHSIHS Holding LimitedQOC 7.5CHCIComstock Holding Companies, Inc.QOC 8.9IRSIRSA Inversiones y Representaciones Sociedad AnónimaQOC 8.4

Read investment analysis: TCI · ARL · FRPH · MAYS · MLP · OMH · NYC · HBNB · IHS · CHCI · IRS

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to GBR?

7 companies across all industries closest to GBR’s Quality of Company score of 6.4/10.

ARAYAccuray IncorporatedQOC 6.4AREAlexandria Real Estate Equities, Inc.QOC 6.4BFLYButterfly Network, Inc.QOC 6.4CVVCVD Equipment CorporationQOC 6.4UTZUtz Brands, Inc.QOC 6.4WGSGeneDx Holdings Corp.QOC 6.4NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: ARAY · ARE · BFLY · CVV · UTZ · WGS · NVDA

Where Does GBR Sit in CirclFi's Real Estate Services Rankings?

GBR is ranked against every other Real Estate Services stock CirclFi covers in each of these screens.

See all Real Estate Services stocks ranked →

What Else Do Investors Ask About New Concept Energy, Inc.’s Valuation?

What is New Concept Energy, Inc.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts New Concept Energy, Inc. (GBR)'s intrinsic value at $0.09 — the median of 6 independent model estimates as of 2026-10-07, ranging from $0.05 to $0.33. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion and returns $0.06 on its own. The Quality of Company score is 6.4/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is GBR overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $0.73, 0 of 6 active models suggest GBR may be undervalued, while 6 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 6 fair value estimates is $0.09, 87.4% below the current price of $0.73 — a consensus view that GBR is overvalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits New Concept Energy, Inc.'s business model in Real Estate Services.

What does a Quality of Company score of 6.4 mean for GBR?

New Concept Energy, Inc.'s QOC of 6.4/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores between 5-7 reflect moderate fundamentals with areas for improvement.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on GBR?

CirclFi analyzes GBR with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 6 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Which valuation models are most bullish and most bearish on GBR?

Of the 6 models currently active on GBR, FTNN Topology is the most bullish at $0.33 per share, and ML Residual Income is the most bearish at $0.05. CirclFi's published fair value for GBR is the median of that range, $0.09, not either extreme. The gap between the two ends equals 303% of the median — a wide spread, meaning the methods genuinely disagree and the median should carry less weight. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Is GBR a value trap in 2026?

New Concept Energy, Inc.'s Value Trap score is 42/100 (WARN). This elevated score suggests the stock may look undervalued but faces deteriorating fundamentals — declining margins, rising debt, or shrinking revenue could make the apparent discount deceptive. Browse our ranked stock lists to compare value-trap scores across industries.

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 6-model valuation engine, New Concept Energy, Inc. (GBR) has a median fair value of $0.09 — 87.4% below the current price of $0.73 — as of 2026-10-07.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/GBR/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this GBR valuation
  • Financial statements: New Concept Energy, Inc. 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0000105744) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for GBR as of ; valuations recomputed .

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