New Concept Energy, Inc (GBR) Fair Value 2026

GBR · Crude Petroleum & Natural Gas ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

6.5 /10

32 fundamental signals · 9 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (18/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-07-15, New Concept Energy, Inc (GBR) trades at $0.66, approximately 635% above CirclFi’s Bayesian DCF fair value of $0.09. QOC: 6.5/10. Value Trap Risk: 18/100 (SAFE). 9/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
GBR
Price
$0.66
Quality Score
6.5/10
Value Trap Risk
18/100
Models Active
9/13
Last Updated
Strength: 9 independent models provide multi-angle coverage
Risk: Majority of models suggest overvaluation

Is New Concept Energy, Inc (GBR) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 9-model valuation engine, New Concept Energy, Inc (GBR) appears overvalued as of : the median of 9 independent fair value estimates is $0.34, 47.9% below the current price of $0.66. Estimates range from $0.09 to $0.85. GBR scores 6.5/10 on fundamental quality and 18/100 on value-trap risk.

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy New Concept Energy, Inc Stock in 2026? →

Valuation Matrix

9 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($0.66)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Bayesian DCF
Low Conviction
$0.09 -86.4%
CUCE Ensemble
Low Conviction
$0.34 -47.9%
First Chicago
Low Conviction
$0.20 -69.8%
Dynamic NAV
Medium Conviction
$0.64 -3.0%

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What Is New Concept Energy, Inc (GBR) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, the balance of valuation evidence tilts cautious on New Concept Energy, Inc at its current price of $0.66. The composite intrinsic value is estimated at $0.39 (-40.1% average return), with 6 models flagging overvaluation risk. The most optimistic model, FTNN, places fair value at $0.85 (+30.4%), while Bayesian DCF — the most conservative — estimates $0.09 (-86.4%). This +116.8% gap reflects genuine analytical uncertainty about New Concept Energy, Inc's intrinsic worth.

What Do the Models Say About GBR?

9 of 13 models are currently active for GBR. Of these, 2 models suggest upside while 7 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates GBR's intrinsic value at $0.09, implying -86.4% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does GBR Rank in Crude Petroleum & Natural Gas?

Among 80 Crude Petroleum & Natural Gas stocks, GBR ranks #46 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 6.5/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 6.5 indicates above-average quality.

See all Most Undervalued Crude Petroleum & Natural Gas Stocks →

Within the Crude Petroleum & Natural Gas space, New Concept Energy, Inc competes in an environment where debt-to-EBITDAX often separates market leaders from laggards. Understanding these industry-specific dynamics is essential context for interpreting our model outputs.

Is GBR a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns GBR a score of 18/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

9 of 13 models are active for New Concept Energy, Inc. Moderate coverage provides meaningful perspective. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi 32-factor quality framework, New Concept Energy, Inc's fundamental quality profile registers 6.5/10. This respectable score captures the company's profitability depth, growth consistency, balance sheet resilience, and shareholder return track record.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +116.8% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every GBR valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across GBR's 9 active models, average confidence is 21%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy New Concept Energy, Inc Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Crude Petroleum & Natural Gas Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

8 related Crude Petroleum & Natural Gas stocks with 13-model coverage

Read investment analysis: EOG · MGY · HESM · PR · FANG

See all Crude Petroleum & Natural Gas stocks ranked →

Frequently Asked Questions About New Concept Energy, Inc

What is New Concept Energy, Inc's intrinsic value in 2026?

Based on CirclFi's 13-model analysis, New Concept Energy, Inc (GBR) has multiple fair value estimates. The Bayesian DCF model runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion to estimate intrinsic value at $0.09. The Quality of Company score is 6.5/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is GBR overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $0.66, 2 of 9 active models suggest GBR may be undervalued, while 7 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 9 fair value estimates is $0.34, 47.9% below the current price of $0.66 — a consensus view that GBR is overvalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits New Concept Energy, Inc's business model in Crude Petroleum & Natural Gas.

What does a Quality of Company score of 6.5 mean for GBR?

New Concept Energy, Inc's QOC of 6.5/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores between 5-7 reflect moderate fundamentals with areas for improvement.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on GBR?

CirclFi analyzes GBR with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 9 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Is GBR a value trap in 2026?

New Concept Energy, Inc's Value Trap score is 18/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 9-model valuation engine, New Concept Energy, Inc (GBR) has a median fair value of $0.34 — 47.9% below the current price of $0.66 — as of 2026-07-15.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/GBR/ · Methodology

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