Fox Factory Holding Corp. (FOXF) Fair Value 2026

FOXF · Auto Parts ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

6.6 /10

32 fundamental signals · 6 models active

Value Trap Risk

WARN (41/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-28, Fox Factory Holding Corp. (FOXF) trades at $20.56, versus a $24.28 median fair value across its 6 active models — 18.1% above the current price. QOC: 6.6/10. Value Trap Risk: 41/100 (WARN). 6/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
FOXF
Price
$20.56
Quality Score
6.6/10
Value Trap Risk
41/100
Models Active
6/13
Last Updated
Strength: CUCE Ensemble suggests +7.6% upside with 21% confidence
Risk: Value Trap score of 41 suggests caution despite apparent undervaluation

Is Fox Factory Holding Corp. (FOXF) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 6-model valuation engine, Fox Factory Holding Corp. (FOXF) appears undervalued as of : the median of 6 independent fair value estimates is $24.28, 18.1% above the current price of $20.56. Estimates range from $12.35 to $42.16. FOXF scores 6.6/10 on fundamental quality and 41/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -23.4% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,809 rated companies as of 2026-08-28. FOXF’s +18.1% gap is narrower than that market norm, and the Auto Parts sector median is -9.2%. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy Fox Factory Holding Corp. Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give FOXF?

6 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($20.56)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $16.27 -20.9%
Ensemble · Medium Conviction
 $22.12 +7.6%
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $12.35 -39.9%
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What Is FOXF's Fair Value Range?

Spread across 6 independent models · $12.35 to $42.16

CirclFi's 6 active models place Fox Factory Holding Corp. (FOXF) between $12.35 and $42.16 per share, a spread of 123% of the median. The median of that range — $24.28 — is the fair value CirclFi publishes for FOXF, against a current price of $20.56.

Low · RCMH-DCFHigh · Regime Cross
$12.35median $24.28$42.16
Where the range comes from
Most bearish modelRCMH-DCF$12.35
Most bullish modelRegime Cross-Sectional$42.16
Model agreement4 bullish · 2 bearishwide

A band this wide is itself the finding. When independent methods land far apart, they are reading a business whose value depends heavily on which lens you apply — volatile earnings, heavy reinvestment, or an asset base that cash-flow and asset-based methods score differently. That disagreement is information: it says the choice of method matters more than usual for FOXF. Treat the median as one reading among several and compare the individual models below before acting.

Every figure above is one model's standalone output on FOXF, not a CirclFi price target. How each model works →

What Is Fox Factory Holding Corp. (FOXF) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Fox Factory Holding Corp.'s intrinsic value is estimated at a median fair value of $24.28. While the stock appears modestly undervalued at $20.56 (implied upside of +18.1%), our analysis suggests a thinner margin of safety across 4 of 6 bullish models. Notably, Regime Cross sees the most upside at +105.1% (fair value: $42.16), while RCMH-DCF is the most conservative at -39.9% ($12.35). The spread between these extremes — +145.0% — reveals how different analytical frameworks can reach starkly different conclusions. Among models with highest confidence, EPV lean bearish — adding weight to the bearish side of the thesis.

What Do the Models Say About FOXF?

6 of 13 models are currently active for FOXF. Of these, 4 models suggest upside while 2 models suggest overvaluation. Taken together, their median fair value for FOXF is $24.28 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does FOXF Rank in Auto Parts?

Among 57 Auto Parts stocks, FOXF ranks #36 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 6.6/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 6.6 indicates above-average quality.

See all Most Undervalued Auto Parts Stocks →

As a vehicle manufacturer, Fox Factory Holding Corp. operates in a sector where units delivered is a critical driver of valuation. Investors evaluating FOXF should weigh these sector-specific dynamics alongside our model-derived fair values.

Is FOXF a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns FOXF a score of 41/100 (WARN). This is a warning signal. Additional research into recent 10-Q filings is recommended. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

6 of 13 models are active for Fox Factory Holding Corp.. Moderate coverage provides meaningful perspective. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi 32-factor quality framework, Fox Factory Holding Corp.'s fundamental quality profile registers 6.6/10. This respectable score captures the company's profitability depth, growth consistency, balance sheet resilience, and shareholder return track record.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +145.0% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every FOXF valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across FOXF's 6 active models, average confidence is 41%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Fox Factory Holding Corp. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Auto Parts Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

11 related Auto Parts stocks with 13-model coverage

SRIStoneridge, Inc.QOC 6.7SLDPSolid Power, Inc.QOC 6.6CPSCooper-Standard Holdings Inc.QOC 6.8MBLYMobileye Global Inc.QOC 6.5MNROMonro, Inc.QOC 6.9AAPAdvance Auto Parts, Inc.QOC 6.4VGNTVersigent PLCQOC 5.4VCVisteon CorporationQOC 8.5MLRMiller Industries, Inc.QOC 8.0ALSNAllison Transmission Holdings, Inc.QOC 9.1ALVAutoliv, Inc.QOC 9.0

Read investment analysis: SRI · SLDP · CPS · MBLY · MNRO · AAP · VGNT · VC · MLR · ALSN · ALV

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to FOXF?

7 companies across all industries closest to FOXF’s Quality of Company score of 6.6/10.

XMTRXometry, Inc.QOC 6.6BKVBKV CorporationQOC 6.6NBISNebius Group N.V.QOC 6.6ONTOnterris, Inc.QOC 6.6MYOMyomo, Inc.QOC 6.6HELEHelen of Troy LimitedQOC 6.6NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: XMTR · BKV · NBIS · ONT · MYO · HELE · NVDA

Where Does FOXF Sit in CirclFi's Auto Parts Rankings?

FOXF is ranked against every other Auto Parts stock CirclFi covers in each of these screens.

See all Auto Parts stocks ranked →

What Else Do Investors Ask About Fox Factory Holding Corp.’s Valuation?

What is Fox Factory Holding Corp.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts Fox Factory Holding Corp. (FOXF)'s intrinsic value at $24.28 — the median of 6 independent model estimates as of 2026-08-28, ranging from $12.35 to $42.16. The Quality of Company score is 6.6/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is FOXF overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $20.56, 4 of 6 active models suggest FOXF may be undervalued, while 2 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 6 fair value estimates is $24.28, 18.1% above the current price of $20.56 — a consensus view that FOXF is undervalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Fox Factory Holding Corp.'s business model in Auto Parts.

What does a Quality of Company score of 6.6 mean for FOXF?

Fox Factory Holding Corp.'s QOC of 6.6/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores between 5-7 reflect moderate fundamentals with areas for improvement.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on FOXF?

CirclFi analyzes FOXF with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 6 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Which valuation models are most bullish and most bearish on FOXF?

Of the 6 models currently active on FOXF, Regime Cross-Sectional is the most bullish at $42.16 per share, and RCMH-DCF is the most bearish at $12.35. CirclFi's published fair value for FOXF is the median of that range, $24.28, not either extreme. The gap between the two ends equals 123% of the median — a wide spread, meaning the methods genuinely disagree and the median should carry less weight. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Is FOXF a value trap in 2026?

Fox Factory Holding Corp.'s Value Trap score is 41/100 (WARN). This elevated score suggests the stock may look undervalued but faces deteriorating fundamentals — declining margins, rising debt, or shrinking revenue could make the apparent discount deceptive. Browse our ranked stock lists to compare value-trap scores across industries.

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 6-model valuation engine, Fox Factory Holding Corp. (FOXF) has a median fair value of $24.28 — 18.1% above the current price of $20.56 — as of 2026-08-28.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/FOXF/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this FOXF valuation
  • Financial statements: Fox Factory Holding Corp. 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0001424929) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for FOXF as of ; valuations recomputed .

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