Xometry, Inc. (XMTR) Fair Value 2026

XMTR · Industrial Distribution ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

6.6 /10

32 fundamental signals · 2 models active

Value Trap Risk

LOW (33/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-28, Xometry, Inc. (XMTR) trades at $94.11, versus a $38.25 median fair value across its 2 active models — 59.4% below the current price. QOC: 6.6/10. Value Trap Risk: 33/100 (LOW). 2/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
XMTR
Price
$94.11
Quality Score
6.6/10
Value Trap Risk
33/100
Models Active
2/13
Last Updated
Strength: 2 independent models provide multi-angle coverage
Risk: Majority of models suggest overvaluation

Is Xometry, Inc. (XMTR) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 2-model valuation engine, Xometry, Inc. (XMTR) appears overvalued as of : the median of 2 independent fair value estimates is $38.25, 59.4% below the current price of $94.11. Estimates range from $34.18 to $42.32. XMTR scores 6.6/10 on fundamental quality and 33/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -23.4% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,809 rated companies as of 2026-08-28. XMTR’s -59.4% gap is wider than that market norm, and the Industrial Distribution sector median is -32.7%. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy Xometry, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give XMTR?

2 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($94.11)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Relative · Medium Conviction
 $42.32 -55.0%
Relative · Low Conviction
 $34.18 -63.7%

All Models Active

All 2 models are displayed above.

What Is Xometry, Inc. (XMTR) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Xometry, Inc.'s intrinsic value is estimated at $38.25, suggesting the stock is overvalued at its current price of $94.11. With 2 out of 2 models flagging downside (-59.4% vs price), the market may be pricing in unsustainable growth.

What Do the Models Say About XMTR?

2 of 13 models are currently active for XMTR. All 2 active models suggest the stock trades above fair value. Taken together, their median fair value for XMTR is $38.25 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does XMTR Rank in Industrial Distribution?

Among 23 Industrial Distribution stocks, XMTR ranks #20 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 6.6/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 6.6 indicates above-average quality.

As a manufacturing company, Xometry, Inc. operates in a sector where organic revenue growth is a critical driver of valuation. Investors evaluating XMTR should weigh these sector-specific dynamics alongside our model-derived fair values.

Is XMTR a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns XMTR a score of 33/100 (LOW). This indicates low risk. The financial profile does not exhibit typical value trap warning signs. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

2 of 13 models are active for Xometry, Inc.. Limited activation may indicate insufficient history. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi 32-factor quality framework, Xometry, Inc.'s fundamental quality profile registers 6.6/10. This respectable score captures the company's profitability depth, growth consistency, balance sheet resilience, and shareholder return track record.

Models cluster within a tight range (+8.6% spread), increasing conviction. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every XMTR valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across XMTR's 2 active models, average confidence is 25%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Xometry, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Industrial Distribution Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

10 related Industrial Distribution stocks with 13-model coverage

DSGRDistribution Solutions Group, Inc.QOC 6.7WXMWF International LimitedQOC 6.2DNOWDNOW Inc.QOC 7.1QXOQXO, Inc.QOC 5.9TITNTitan Machinery Inc.QOC 7.3TXRPTX Rail Products, IncQOC 3.5AITApplied Industrial Technologies, Inc.QOC 9.1DXPEDXP Enterprises, Inc.QOC 8.3TLIHTen-League International Holdings LimitedQOC 7.5GWWW.W. Grainger, Inc.QOC 9.3

Read investment analysis: DSGR · WXM · DNOW · QXO · TITN · TXRP · AIT · DXPE · TLIH · GWW

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to XMTR?

7 companies across all industries closest to XMTR’s Quality of Company score of 6.6/10.

NBISNebius Group N.V.QOC 6.6FOXFFox Factory Holding Corp.QOC 6.6MYOMyomo, Inc.QOC 6.6BKVBKV CorporationQOC 6.6STLAStellantis N.V.QOC 6.6ONTOnterris, Inc.QOC 6.6NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: NBIS · FOXF · MYO · BKV · STLA · ONT · NVDA

What Else Do Investors Ask About Xometry, Inc.’s Valuation?

What is Xometry, Inc.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts Xometry, Inc. (XMTR)'s intrinsic value at $38.25 — the median of 2 independent model estimates as of 2026-08-28, ranging from $34.18 to $42.32. The Quality of Company score is 6.6/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is XMTR overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $94.11, 0 of 2 active models suggest XMTR may be undervalued, while 2 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 2 fair value estimates is $38.25, 59.4% below the current price of $94.11 — a consensus view that XMTR is overvalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Xometry, Inc.'s business model in Industrial Distribution.

What does a Quality of Company score of 6.6 mean for XMTR?

Xometry, Inc.'s QOC of 6.6/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores between 5-7 reflect moderate fundamentals with areas for improvement.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on XMTR?

CirclFi analyzes XMTR with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 2 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Is XMTR a value trap in 2026?

Xometry, Inc.'s Value Trap score is 33/100 (LOW). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 2-model valuation engine, Xometry, Inc. (XMTR) has a median fair value of $38.25 — 59.4% below the current price of $94.11 — as of 2026-08-28.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/XMTR/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this XMTR valuation
  • Financial statements: Xometry, Inc. 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0001657573) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for XMTR as of ; valuations recomputed .