DXP Enterprises, Inc. (DXPE) Fair Value 2026

DXPE · Wholesale-Industrial Machinery & Equipment ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

8.9 /10

32 fundamental signals · 12 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (17/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-07-13, DXP Enterprises, Inc. (DXPE) trades at $160.20, approximately 1060% above CirclFi’s Bayesian DCF fair value of $13.81. QOC: 8.9/10. Value Trap Risk: 17/100 (SAFE). 12/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
DXPE
Price
$160.20
Quality Score
8.9/10
Value Trap Risk
17/100
Models Active
12/13
Last Updated
Strength: Quality Score of 8.9/10 indicates strong fundamentals
Risk: Majority of models suggest overvaluation

Valuation Matrix

12 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($160.20)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Bayesian DCF
High Conviction
$13.81 -91.4%
Earnings Power Value
High Conviction
$9.91 -93.8%
CUCE Ensemble
Low Conviction
$69.14 -56.8%
First Chicago
High Conviction
$129.66 -19.1%

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What Is DXP Enterprises, Inc. (DXPE) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, DXP Enterprises, Inc.'s intrinsic value is estimated at $77.71, suggesting the stock is overvalued at its current price of $160.20. With 11 out of 12 models flagging downside (-51.5% average return), the market may be pricing in unsustainable growth. Model dispersion is worth noting: PWERM targets $183.83 (+14.7%), versus EPV at $9.91 (-93.8%). This +108.6% range highlights the importance of multi-model analysis rather than relying on any single methodology.

What Do the Models Say About DXPE?

12 of 13 models are currently active for DXPE. Of these, 1 model suggests upside while 11 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates DXPE's intrinsic value at $13.81, implying -91.4% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does DXPE Rank in Wholesale-Industrial Machinery & Equipment?

Among 3 Wholesale-Industrial Machinery & Equipment stocks, DXPE ranks #2 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 8.9/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 8.9 places DXPE in the top tier.

Within the Wholesale-Industrial Machinery & Equipment space, DXP Enterprises, Inc. competes in an environment where capacity utilization rate often separates market leaders from laggards. Understanding these industry-specific dynamics is essential context for interpreting our model outputs.

Is DXPE a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns DXPE a score of 17/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

12 of 13 models are active for DXP Enterprises, Inc.. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, which evaluates 32 signals including margin stability, revenue growth trajectory, leverage, and free cash flow generation, DXP Enterprises, Inc. is rated at 8.9/10. This strong-tier score demonstrates strong fundamentals across the majority of our quality signals.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +108.6% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every DXPE valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across DXPE's 12 active models, average confidence is 45%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy DXP Enterprises, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Wholesale-Industrial Machinery & Equipment Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

2 related Wholesale-Industrial Machinery & Equipment stocks with 13-model coverage

Read investment analysis: GIC · MSM

Frequently Asked Questions About DXP Enterprises, Inc.

What is DXP Enterprises, Inc.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

Based on CirclFi's 13-model analysis, DXP Enterprises, Inc. (DXPE) has multiple fair value estimates. The Bayesian DCF model runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion to estimate intrinsic value at $13.81. The Quality of Company score is 8.9/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is DXPE overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $160.20, 1 of 12 active models suggest DXPE may be undervalued, while 11 indicate potential overvaluation. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits DXP Enterprises, Inc.'s business model in Wholesale-Industrial Machinery & Equipment.

What does a Quality of Company score of 8.9 mean for DXPE?

DXP Enterprises, Inc.'s QOC of 8.9/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores above 7 indicate strong fundamentals and disciplined management.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on DXPE?

CirclFi analyzes DXPE with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 12 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Is DXPE a value trap in 2026?

DXP Enterprises, Inc.'s Value Trap score is 17/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

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