SiteOne Landscape Supply, Inc. (SITE) Fair Value 2026

SITE · Industrial Distribution ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

8.0 /10

32 fundamental signals · 13 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (17/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-27, SiteOne Landscape Supply, Inc. (SITE) trades at $95.50, versus a $58.62 median fair value across its 13 active models — 38.6% below the current price. QOC: 8.0/10. Value Trap Risk: 17/100 (SAFE). 13/13 models active. Within that set, the Bayesian DCF component alone returns $89.72.

Key Facts

Ticker
SITE
Price
$95.50
Quality Score
8.0/10
Value Trap Risk
17/100
Models Active
13/13
Last Updated
Strength: First Chicago suggests +75.9% upside with 61% confidence
Risk: Majority of models suggest overvaluation

Is SiteOne Landscape Supply, Inc. (SITE) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 13-model valuation engine, SiteOne Landscape Supply, Inc. (SITE) appears overvalued as of : the median of 13 independent fair value estimates is $58.62, 38.6% below the current price of $95.50. Estimates range from $5.22 to $171.87. SITE scores 8.0/10 on fundamental quality and 17/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -23.7% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,801 rated companies as of 2026-08-27. SITE’s -38.6% gap is wider than that market norm, and the Industrial Distribution sector median is -33.0%. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy SiteOne Landscape Supply, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give SITE?

13 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($95.50)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $89.72 -6.1%
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $26.89 -71.8%
Ensemble · Low Conviction
 $63.29 -33.7%
Scenario · High Conviction
 $167.97 +75.9%
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What Is SITE's Fair Value Range?

Spread across 13 independent models · $5.22 to $171.87

CirclFi's 13 active models place SiteOne Landscape Supply, Inc. (SITE) between $5.22 and $171.87 per share, a spread of 284% of the median. The median of that range — $58.62 — is the fair value CirclFi publishes for SITE, against a current price of $95.50.

Low · Dynamic NAVHigh · Regime Cross
$5.22median $58.62$171.87
Where the range comes from
Most bearish modelDynamic NAV$5.22
Most bullish modelRegime Cross-Sectional$171.87
Model agreement3 bullish · 9 bearishwide

A band this wide is itself the finding. When independent methods land far apart, they are reading a business whose value depends heavily on which lens you apply — volatile earnings, heavy reinvestment, or an asset base that cash-flow and asset-based methods score differently. That disagreement is information: it says the choice of method matters more than usual for SITE. Treat the median as one reading among several and compare the individual models below before acting.

Every figure above is one model's standalone output on SITE, not a CirclFi price target. How each model works →

What Is SiteOne Landscape Supply, Inc. (SITE) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, the balance of valuation evidence tilts cautious on SiteOne Landscape Supply, Inc. at its current price of $95.50. The median intrinsic value is estimated at $58.62 (-38.6% vs price), with 9 models flagging overvaluation risk. The most optimistic model, Regime Cross, places fair value at $171.87 (+80.0%), while Dynamic NAV — the most conservative — estimates $5.22 (-94.5%). This +174.5% gap reflects genuine analytical uncertainty about SiteOne Landscape Supply, Inc.'s intrinsic worth. Among models with highest confidence, EPV lean bearish — adding weight to the bearish side of the thesis.

What Do the Models Say About SITE?

13 of 13 models are currently active for SITE. Of these, 3 models suggest upside while 10 models suggest overvaluation. Taken together, their median fair value for SITE is $58.62 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, returns $89.72 on its own, implying -6.1% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does SITE Rank in Industrial Distribution?

Among 23 Industrial Distribution stocks, SITE ranks #11 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 8.0/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 8.0 places SITE in the top tier.

As a industrial sector, SiteOne Landscape Supply, Inc. operates in a sector where margin expansion trajectory is a critical driver of valuation. Investors evaluating SITE should weigh these sector-specific dynamics alongside our model-derived fair values.

Is SITE a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns SITE a score of 17/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

13 of 13 models are active for SiteOne Landscape Supply, Inc.. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi 32-factor quality framework, SiteOne Landscape Supply, Inc.'s fundamental quality profile registers 8.0/10. This robust score captures the company's profitability depth, growth consistency, balance sheet resilience, and shareholder return track record.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +174.5% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every SITE valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across SITE's 13 active models, average confidence is 52%. Moderate confidence indicates reasonable fit.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy SiteOne Landscape Supply, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Industrial Distribution Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

11 related Industrial Distribution stocks with 13-model coverage

POOLPool CorporationQOC 8.1MSMMSC Industrial Direct Co., Inc.QOC 7.9FERGFerguson Enterprises Inc.QOC 8.2REZIResideo Technologies, Inc.QOC 7.7DXPEDXP Enterprises, Inc.QOC 8.3TLIHTen-League International Holdings LimitedQOC 7.5BXCBlueLinx Holdings Inc.QOC 7.4QXOQXO, Inc.QOC 5.9WSOWatsco, Inc.QOC 8.7GWWW.W. Grainger, Inc.QOC 9.3AITApplied Industrial Technologies, Inc.QOC 9.1

Read investment analysis: POOL · MSM · FERG · REZI · DXPE · TLIH · BXC · QXO · WSO · GWW · AIT

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to SITE?

7 companies across all industries closest to SITE’s Quality of Company score of 8.0/10.

UBSIUnited Bankshares, Inc.QOC 8.0FEDUFour Seasons Education (Cayman) Inc.QOC 8.0ITICInvestors Title CompanyQOC 8.0TRSTriMas CorporationQOC 8.0REXRRexford Industrial Realty, Inc.QOC 8.0TRIPTripadvisor, Inc.QOC 8.0NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: UBSI · FEDU · ITIC · TRS · REXR · TRIP · NVDA

What Else Do Investors Ask About SiteOne Landscape Supply, Inc.’s Valuation?

What is SiteOne Landscape Supply, Inc.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts SiteOne Landscape Supply, Inc. (SITE)'s intrinsic value at $58.62 — the median of 13 independent model estimates as of 2026-08-27, ranging from $5.22 to $171.87. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion and returns $89.72 on its own. The Quality of Company score is 8.0/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is SITE overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $95.50, 3 of 13 active models suggest SITE may be undervalued, while 10 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 13 fair value estimates is $58.62, 38.6% below the current price of $95.50 — a consensus view that SITE is overvalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits SiteOne Landscape Supply, Inc.'s business model in Industrial Distribution.

What does a Quality of Company score of 8.0 mean for SITE?

SiteOne Landscape Supply, Inc.'s QOC of 8.0/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores above 7 indicate strong fundamentals and disciplined management.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on SITE?

CirclFi analyzes SITE with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 13 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Which valuation models are most bullish and most bearish on SITE?

Of the 13 models currently active on SITE, Regime Cross-Sectional is the most bullish at $171.87 per share, and Dynamic NAV is the most bearish at $5.22. CirclFi's published fair value for SITE is the median of that range, $58.62, not either extreme. The gap between the two ends equals 284% of the median — a wide spread, meaning the methods genuinely disagree and the median should carry less weight. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Is SITE a value trap in 2026?

SiteOne Landscape Supply, Inc.'s Value Trap score is 17/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap.

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 13-model valuation engine, SiteOne Landscape Supply, Inc. (SITE) has a median fair value of $58.62 — 38.6% below the current price of $95.50 — as of 2026-08-27.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/SITE/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this SITE valuation
  • Financial statements: SiteOne Landscape Supply, Inc. 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0001650729) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for SITE as of ; valuations recomputed .

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