Titan Machinery Inc. (TITN) Fair Value 2026

TITN · Industrial Distribution ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

7.3 /10

32 fundamental signals · 9 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (19/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-27, Titan Machinery Inc. (TITN) trades at $18.42, versus a $26.54 median fair value across its 9 active models — 44.1% above the current price. QOC: 7.3/10. Value Trap Risk: 19/100 (SAFE). 9/13 models active. Within that set, the Bayesian DCF component alone returns $14.80.

Key Facts

Ticker
TITN
Price
$18.42
Quality Score
7.3/10
Value Trap Risk
19/100
Models Active
9/13
Last Updated
Strength: CUCE Ensemble suggests +44.1% upside with 4% confidence
Risk: Majority of models suggest overvaluation

Is Titan Machinery Inc. (TITN) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 9-model valuation engine, Titan Machinery Inc. (TITN) appears undervalued as of : the median of 9 independent fair value estimates is $26.54, 44.1% above the current price of $18.42. Estimates range from $8.30 to $101.37. TITN scores 7.3/10 on fundamental quality and 19/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -23.7% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,801 rated companies as of 2026-08-27. TITN’s +44.1% gap is wider than that market norm, and the Industrial Distribution sector median is -33.0%. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy Titan Machinery Inc. Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give TITN?

9 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($18.42)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $14.80 -19.7%
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $9.90 -46.2%
Ensemble · Low Conviction
 $26.54 +44.1%
Scenario · High Conviction
 $16.76 -9.0%
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What Is TITN's Fair Value Range?

Spread across 9 independent models · $8.30 to $101.37

CirclFi's 9 active models place Titan Machinery Inc. (TITN) between $8.30 and $101.37 per share, a spread of 351% of the median. The median of that range — $26.54 — is the fair value CirclFi publishes for TITN, against a current price of $18.42.

Low · Sentiment SOTPHigh · FTNN
$8.30median $26.54$101.37
Where the range comes from
Most bearish modelSentiment SOTP$8.30
Most bullish modelFTNN Topology$101.37
Model agreement5 bullish · 4 bearishwide

A band this wide is itself the finding. When independent methods land far apart, they are reading a business whose value depends heavily on which lens you apply — volatile earnings, heavy reinvestment, or an asset base that cash-flow and asset-based methods score differently. That disagreement is information: it says the choice of method matters more than usual for TITN. Treat the median as one reading among several and compare the individual models below before acting.

Every figure above is one model's standalone output on TITN, not a CirclFi price target. How each model works →

What Is Titan Machinery Inc. (TITN) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Titan Machinery Inc.'s intrinsic value is estimated at a median fair value of $26.54. While the stock appears modestly undervalued at $18.42 (implied upside of +44.1%), our analysis suggests a thinner margin of safety across 5 of 9 bullish models. Notably, FTNN sees the most upside at +450.3% (fair value: $101.37), while Sentiment SOTP is the most conservative at -55.0% ($8.30). The spread between these extremes — +505.3% — reveals how different analytical frameworks can reach starkly different conclusions.

What Do the Models Say About TITN?

9 of 13 models are currently active for TITN. Of these, 5 models suggest upside while 4 models suggest overvaluation. Taken together, their median fair value for TITN is $26.54 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, returns $14.80 on its own, implying -19.7% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does TITN Rank in Industrial Distribution?

Among 23 Industrial Distribution stocks, TITN ranks #17 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 7.3/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 7.3 indicates above-average quality.

As a manufacturing company, Titan Machinery Inc. operates in a sector where working capital efficiency is a critical driver of valuation. Investors evaluating TITN should weigh these sector-specific dynamics alongside our model-derived fair values.

Is TITN a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns TITN a score of 19/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

9 of 13 models are active for Titan Machinery Inc.. Moderate coverage provides meaningful perspective. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi 32-factor quality framework, Titan Machinery Inc.'s fundamental quality profile registers 7.3/10. This respectable score captures the company's profitability depth, growth consistency, balance sheet resilience, and shareholder return track record.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +505.3% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every TITN valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across TITN's 9 active models, average confidence is 45%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Titan Machinery Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Industrial Distribution Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

11 related Industrial Distribution stocks with 13-model coverage

BXCBlueLinx Holdings Inc.QOC 7.4DNOWDNOW Inc.QOC 7.1EVIEVI Industries, Inc.QOC 7.5DSGRDistribution Solutions Group, Inc.QOC 6.7TLIHTen-League International Holdings LimitedQOC 7.5XMTRXometry, Inc.QOC 6.6QXOQXO, Inc.QOC 5.9WSOWatsco, Inc.QOC 8.7SITESiteOne Landscape Supply, Inc.QOC 8.0GWWW.W. Grainger, Inc.QOC 9.3AITApplied Industrial Technologies, Inc.QOC 9.1

Read investment analysis: BXC · DNOW · EVI · DSGR · TLIH · XMTR · QXO · WSO · SITE · GWW · AIT

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to TITN?

7 companies across all industries closest to TITN’s Quality of Company score of 7.3/10.

HSICHenry Schein, Inc.QOC 7.3HGBLHeritage Global Inc.QOC 7.3CNPCenterPoint Energy, Inc.QOC 7.3VREXVarex Imaging CorporationQOC 7.3AEYEAudioEye, Inc.QOC 7.3BNBrookfield CorporationQOC 7.3NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: HSIC · HGBL · CNP · VREX · AEYE · BN · NVDA

What Else Do Investors Ask About Titan Machinery Inc.’s Valuation?

What is Titan Machinery Inc.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts Titan Machinery Inc. (TITN)'s intrinsic value at $26.54 — the median of 9 independent model estimates as of 2026-08-27, ranging from $8.30 to $101.37. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion and returns $14.80 on its own. The Quality of Company score is 7.3/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is TITN overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $18.42, 5 of 9 active models suggest TITN may be undervalued, while 4 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 9 fair value estimates is $26.54, 44.1% above the current price of $18.42 — a consensus view that TITN is undervalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Titan Machinery Inc.'s business model in Industrial Distribution.

What does a Quality of Company score of 7.3 mean for TITN?

Titan Machinery Inc.'s QOC of 7.3/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores above 7 indicate strong fundamentals and disciplined management.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on TITN?

CirclFi analyzes TITN with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 9 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Which valuation models are most bullish and most bearish on TITN?

Of the 9 models currently active on TITN, FTNN Topology is the most bullish at $101.37 per share, and Sentiment SOTP is the most bearish at $8.30. CirclFi's published fair value for TITN is the median of that range, $26.54, not either extreme. The gap between the two ends equals 351% of the median — a wide spread, meaning the methods genuinely disagree and the median should carry less weight. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Is TITN a value trap in 2026?

Titan Machinery Inc.'s Value Trap score is 19/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap.

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 9-model valuation engine, Titan Machinery Inc. (TITN) has a median fair value of $26.54 — 44.1% above the current price of $18.42 — as of 2026-08-27.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/TITN/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this TITN valuation
  • Financial statements: Titan Machinery Inc. 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0001409171) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for TITN as of ; valuations recomputed .

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