Adient plc (ADNT) Fair Value 2026

ADNT · Auto Parts ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

7.3 /10

32 fundamental signals · 9 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (14/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-27, Adient plc (ADNT) trades at $18.83, versus a $42.32 median fair value across its 9 active models — 124.7% above the current price. QOC: 7.3/10. Value Trap Risk: 14/100 (SAFE). 9/13 models active. Within that set, the Bayesian DCF component alone returns $30.95.

Key Facts

Ticker
ADNT
Price
$18.83
Quality Score
7.3/10
Value Trap Risk
14/100
Models Active
9/13
Last Updated
Strength: CUCE Ensemble suggests +128.3% upside with 12% confidence
Risk: Limited model coverage (9/13) may reduce confidence

Is Adient plc (ADNT) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 9-model valuation engine, Adient plc (ADNT) appears undervalued as of : the median of 9 independent fair value estimates is $42.32, 124.7% above the current price of $18.83. Estimates range from $5.88 to $83.72. ADNT scores 7.3/10 on fundamental quality and 14/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -23.7% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,801 rated companies as of 2026-08-27. ADNT’s +124.7% gap is wider than that market norm, and the Auto Parts sector median is -16.1%. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy Adient plc Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give ADNT?

9 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($18.83)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $30.95 +64.4%
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $9.60 -49.0%
Ensemble · Low Conviction
 $43.00 +128.3%
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $5.88 -68.8%
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What Is ADNT's Fair Value Range?

Spread across 9 independent models · $5.88 to $83.72

CirclFi's 9 active models place Adient plc (ADNT) between $5.88 and $83.72 per share, a spread of 184% of the median. The median of that range — $42.32 — is the fair value CirclFi publishes for ADNT, against a current price of $18.83.

Low · ML-RIVHigh · PWERM
$5.88median $42.32$83.72
Where the range comes from
Most bearish modelML Residual Income$5.88
Most bullish modelPWERM$83.72
Model agreement7 bullish · 2 bearishwide

A band this wide is itself the finding. When independent methods land far apart, they are reading a business whose value depends heavily on which lens you apply — volatile earnings, heavy reinvestment, or an asset base that cash-flow and asset-based methods score differently. That disagreement is information: it says the choice of method matters more than usual for ADNT. Treat the median as one reading among several and compare the individual models below before acting.

Every figure above is one model's standalone output on ADNT, not a CirclFi price target. How each model works →

What Is Adient plc (ADNT) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Adient plc's intrinsic value is estimated at a median fair value of $42.32. At a current market price of $18.83, 7 of 9 active valuation models identify upside potential, projecting a median implied return of +124.7%. Notably, PWERM sees the most upside at +344.6% (fair value: $83.72), while ML-RIV is the most conservative at -68.8% ($5.88). The spread between these extremes — +413.4% — reveals how different analytical frameworks can reach starkly different conclusions. Among models with highest confidence, Bayesian DCF, EPV lean bearish — adding weight to the bearish side of the thesis.

What Do the Models Say About ADNT?

9 of 13 models are currently active for ADNT. Of these, 7 models suggest upside while 2 models suggest overvaluation. Taken together, their median fair value for ADNT is $42.32 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, returns $30.95 on its own, implying +64.4% upside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does ADNT Rank in Auto Parts?

Among 55 Auto Parts stocks, ADNT ranks #29 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 7.3/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 7.3 indicates above-average quality.

See all Most Undervalued Auto Parts Stocks →

Within the Auto Parts space, Adient plc competes in an environment where EV mix percentage often separates market leaders from laggards. Understanding these industry-specific dynamics is essential context for interpreting our model outputs.

Is ADNT a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns ADNT a score of 14/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

9 of 13 models are active for Adient plc. Moderate coverage provides meaningful perspective. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, which evaluates 32 signals including margin stability, revenue growth trajectory, leverage, and free cash flow generation, Adient plc is rated at 7.3/10. This solid-tier score maintains reasonable quality metrics with some areas for improvement.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +413.4% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every ADNT valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across ADNT's 9 active models, average confidence is 48%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Adient plc Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Auto Parts Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

10 related Auto Parts stocks with 13-model coverage

DANDana IncorporatedQOC 7.5DCHDauch CorporationQOC 7.2MVSTMicrovast Holdings, Inc.QOC 7.6MNROMonro, Inc.QOC 6.9APTVAptiv PLCQOC 7.7CPSCooper-Standard Holdings Inc.QOC 6.8HYLNHyliion Holdings Corp.QOC 6.0ALSNAllison Transmission Holdings, Inc.QOC 9.1AZOAutoZone, Inc.QOC 8.3ALVAutoliv, Inc.QOC 9.0

Read investment analysis: DAN · DCH · MVST · MNRO · APTV · CPS · HYLN · ALSN · AZO · ALV

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to ADNT?

7 companies across all industries closest to ADNT’s Quality of Company score of 7.3/10.

RGCORGC Resources, Inc.QOC 7.3NCINeo-Concept International Group Holdings LimitedQOC 7.3CPBThe Campbell's CompanyQOC 7.3EEni S.p.A.QOC 7.3TGTredegar CorporationQOC 7.3SRTSSensus Healthcare, Inc.QOC 7.3NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: RGCO · NCI · CPB · E · TG · SRTS · NVDA

Where Does ADNT Sit in CirclFi's Auto Parts Rankings?

ADNT is ranked against every other Auto Parts stock CirclFi covers in each of these screens.

See all Auto Parts stocks ranked →

What Else Do Investors Ask About Adient plc’s Valuation?

What is Adient plc's intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts Adient plc (ADNT)'s intrinsic value at $42.32 — the median of 9 independent model estimates as of 2026-08-27, ranging from $5.88 to $83.72. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion and returns $30.95 on its own. The Quality of Company score is 7.3/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is ADNT overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $18.83, 7 of 9 active models suggest ADNT may be undervalued, while 2 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 9 fair value estimates is $42.32, 124.7% above the current price of $18.83 — a consensus view that ADNT is undervalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Adient plc's business model in Auto Parts.

What does a Quality of Company score of 7.3 mean for ADNT?

Adient plc's QOC of 7.3/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores above 7 indicate strong fundamentals and disciplined management.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on ADNT?

CirclFi analyzes ADNT with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 9 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Which valuation models are most bullish and most bearish on ADNT?

Of the 9 models currently active on ADNT, PWERM is the most bullish at $83.72 per share, and ML Residual Income is the most bearish at $5.88. CirclFi's published fair value for ADNT is the median of that range, $42.32, not either extreme. The gap between the two ends equals 184% of the median — a wide spread, meaning the methods genuinely disagree and the median should carry less weight. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Is ADNT a value trap in 2026?

Adient plc's Value Trap score is 14/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap.

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 9-model valuation engine, Adient plc (ADNT) has a median fair value of $42.32 — 124.7% above the current price of $18.83 — as of 2026-08-27.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/ADNT/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this ADNT valuation
  • Financial statements: Adient plc 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0001670541) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for ADNT as of ; valuations recomputed .

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