What Is AutoZone, Inc. (AZO) Worth in 2026?
According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, AutoZone, Inc.'s intrinsic value is estimated at $1,841.04. Trading at its current price of $3,078.88, the valuation engine raises significant caution: 10 of 13 models flag downside risk, projecting an average implied return of -40.2%. The most optimistic model, PWERM, places fair value at $3,072.15 (-0.2%), while EROIC — the most conservative — estimates $269.83 (-91.2%). This +91.0% gap reflects genuine analytical uncertainty about AutoZone, Inc.'s intrinsic worth.
What Do the Models Say About AZO?
13 of 13 models are currently active for AZO. All 13 active models suggest the stock trades above fair value. The Bayesian DCF estimates AZO's intrinsic value at $1832.74, implying -40.5% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →
How Does AZO Rank in Retail-Auto & Home Supply Stores?
Among 4 Retail-Auto & Home Supply Stores stocks, AZO ranks #1 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 9.0/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 9.0 places AZO in the top tier.
AutoZone, Inc.'s positioning within the Retail-Auto & Home Supply Stores segment means that same-store sales growth (comps) plays an outsized role in fundamental analysis. The sector's unique characteristics — including brand loyalty and pricing power — shape both the opportunity set and risk profile.
Is AZO a Value Trap?
The Value Trap algorithm is not active for AZO. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →
Multi-Model Methodology
13 of 13 models are active for AutoZone, Inc.. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →
According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, AutoZone, Inc. scores 9.0 out of 10 on our 32-signal quality assessment, a strong rating that demonstrates strong fundamentals across the majority of our quality signals. The QOC score synthesizes profitability margins, revenue growth reliability, debt management, and capital allocation into a single metric designed to separate durable businesses from statistically cheap ones.
The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +91.0% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →
Data Sources & Confidence
Every AZO valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →
Across AZO's 13 active models, average confidence is 45%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.
CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →
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