Strattec Security Corporation (STRT) Fair Value 2026

STRT · Auto Parts ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

8.4 /10

32 fundamental signals · 12 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (18/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-10-07, Strattec Security Corporation (STRT) trades at $65.93, versus a $79.77 median fair value across its 12 active models — 21.0% above the current price. QOC: 8.4/10. Value Trap Risk: 18/100 (SAFE). 12/13 models active. Within that set, the Bayesian DCF component alone returns $77.22.

Key Facts

Ticker
STRT
Price
$65.93
Quality Score
8.4/10
Value Trap Risk
18/100
Models Active
12/13
Last Updated
Strength: First Chicago suggests +236.2% upside with 62% confidence
Risk: Limited model coverage (12/13) may reduce confidence

Is Strattec Security Corporation (STRT) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 12-model valuation engine, Strattec Security Corporation (STRT) appears undervalued as of : the median of 12 independent fair value estimates is $79.77, 21.0% above the current price of $65.93. Estimates range from $9.89 to $221.66. STRT scores 8.4/10 on fundamental quality and 18/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -20.1% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,777 rated companies as of 2026-10-07. STRT’s +21.0% gap is wider than that market norm, and the Auto Parts sector median is -9.4%. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy Strattec Security Corporation Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give STRT?

12 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($65.93)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $77.22 +17.1%
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $34.54 -47.6%
Ensemble · Low Conviction
 $82.33 +24.9%
Scenario · High Conviction
 $221.66 +236.2%
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What Is STRT's Fair Value Range?

Spread across 12 independent models · $9.89 to $221.66

CirclFi's 12 active models place Strattec Security Corporation (STRT) between $9.89 and $221.66 per share, a spread of 265% of the median. The median of that range — $79.77 — is the fair value CirclFi publishes for STRT, against a current price of $65.93.

Low · Markov DDMHigh · First Chicago
$9.89median $79.77$221.66
Where the range comes from
Most bearish modelMarkov DDM$9.89
Most bullish modelFirst Chicago$221.66
Model agreement7 bullish · 4 bearishwide

A band this wide is itself the finding. When independent methods land far apart, they are reading a business whose value depends heavily on which lens you apply — volatile earnings, heavy reinvestment, or an asset base that cash-flow and asset-based methods score differently. That disagreement is information: it says the choice of method matters more than usual for STRT. Treat the median as one reading among several and compare the individual models below before acting.

Every figure above is one model's standalone output on STRT, not a CirclFi price target. How each model works →

What Is Strattec Security Corporation (STRT) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, our multi-model framework produces a cautiously optimistic read on Strattec Security Corporation at $65.93. With an estimated intrinsic value of $79.77 and 7 of 12 models pointing higher, the median implied return is +21.0%. The most optimistic model, First Chicago, places fair value at $221.66 (+236.2%), while Markov DDM — the most conservative — estimates $9.89 (-85.0%). This +321.2% gap reflects genuine analytical uncertainty about Strattec Security Corporation's intrinsic worth. Among models with highest confidence, Bayesian DCF, EPV lean bearish — adding weight to the bearish side of the thesis.

What Do the Models Say About STRT?

12 of 13 models are currently active for STRT. Of these, 8 models suggest upside while 4 models suggest overvaluation. Taken together, their median fair value for STRT is $79.77 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, returns $77.22 on its own, implying +17.1% upside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does STRT Rank in Auto Parts?

Among 58 Auto Parts stocks, STRT ranks #12 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 8.4/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 8.4 places STRT in the top tier.

See all Most Undervalued Auto Parts Stocks →

As a automotive sector, Strattec Security Corporation operates in a sector where units delivered is a critical driver of valuation. Investors evaluating STRT should weigh these sector-specific dynamics alongside our model-derived fair values.

Is STRT a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns STRT a score of 18/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

12 of 13 models are active for Strattec Security Corporation. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi 32-factor quality framework, Strattec Security Corporation's fundamental quality profile registers 8.4/10. This robust score captures the company's profitability depth, growth consistency, balance sheet resilience, and shareholder return track record.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +321.2% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every STRT valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across STRT's 12 active models, average confidence is 51%. Moderate confidence indicates reasonable fit.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Strattec Security Corporation Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Auto Parts Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

11 related Auto Parts stocks with 13-model coverage

MPAAMotorcar Parts of America, Inc.QOC 8.4GTXGarrett Motion Inc.QOC 8.4ORLYO'Reilly Automotive, Inc.QOC 8.5MODModine Manufacturing CompanyQOC 8.3PLOWDouglas Dynamics, Inc.QOC 8.5AZOAutoZone, Inc.QOC 8.3APTVAptiv PLCQOC 7.7SYPRSypris Solutions, Inc.QOC 6.2MGAMagna International Inc.QOC 3.1ALSNAllison Transmission Holdings, Inc.QOC 9.1ALVAutoliv, Inc.QOC 9.0

Read investment analysis: MPAA · GTX · ORLY · MOD · PLOW · AZO · APTV · SYPR · MGA · ALSN · ALV

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to STRT?

7 companies across all industries closest to STRT’s Quality of Company score of 8.4/10.

MCBSMetroCity Bankshares, Inc.QOC 8.4WBHCWilson Bank Holding CompanyQOC 8.4NFGNational Fuel Gas CompanyQOC 8.4ALGNAlign Technology, Inc.QOC 8.4GNEGenie Energy Ltd.QOC 8.4CLSTCatalyst Bancorp, Inc.QOC 8.4NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: MCBS · WBHC · NFG · ALGN · GNE · CLST · NVDA

Where Does STRT Sit in CirclFi's Auto Parts Rankings?

STRT is ranked against every other Auto Parts stock CirclFi covers in each of these screens.

See all Auto Parts stocks ranked →

What Else Do Investors Ask About Strattec Security Corporation’s Valuation?

What is Strattec Security Corporation's intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts Strattec Security Corporation (STRT)'s intrinsic value at $79.77 — the median of 12 independent model estimates as of 2026-10-07, ranging from $9.89 to $221.66. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion and returns $77.22 on its own. The Quality of Company score is 8.4/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is STRT overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $65.93, 8 of 12 active models suggest STRT may be undervalued, while 4 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 12 fair value estimates is $79.77, 21.0% above the current price of $65.93 — a consensus view that STRT is undervalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Strattec Security Corporation's business model in Auto Parts.

What does a Quality of Company score of 8.4 mean for STRT?

Strattec Security Corporation's QOC of 8.4/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores above 7 indicate strong fundamentals and disciplined management.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on STRT?

CirclFi analyzes STRT with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 12 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Which valuation models are most bullish and most bearish on STRT?

Of the 12 models currently active on STRT, First Chicago is the most bullish at $221.66 per share, and Markov DDM is the most bearish at $9.89. CirclFi's published fair value for STRT is the median of that range, $79.77, not either extreme. The gap between the two ends equals 265% of the median — a wide spread, meaning the methods genuinely disagree and the median should carry less weight. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Is STRT a value trap in 2026?

Strattec Security Corporation's Value Trap score is 18/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap.

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 12-model valuation engine, Strattec Security Corporation (STRT) has a median fair value of $79.77 — 21.0% above the current price of $65.93 — as of 2026-10-07.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/STRT/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this STRT valuation
  • Financial statements: Strattec Security Corporation 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0000933034) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for STRT as of ; valuations recomputed .

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