RGC Resources, Inc. (RGCO) Fair Value 2026

RGCO · Utilities - Regulated Gas ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

7.3 /10

32 fundamental signals · 10 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (18/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-28, RGC Resources, Inc. (RGCO) trades at $21.66, versus a $11.57 median fair value across its 10 active models — 46.6% below the current price. QOC: 7.3/10. Value Trap Risk: 18/100 (SAFE). 10/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
RGCO
Price
$21.66
Quality Score
7.3/10
Value Trap Risk
18/100
Models Active
10/13
Last Updated
Strength: 10 independent models provide multi-angle coverage
Risk: Majority of models suggest overvaluation

Is RGC Resources, Inc. (RGCO) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 10-model valuation engine, RGC Resources, Inc. (RGCO) appears overvalued as of : the median of 10 independent fair value estimates is $11.57, 46.6% below the current price of $21.66. Estimates range from $1.26 to $22.94. RGCO scores 7.3/10 on fundamental quality and 18/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -23.4% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,809 rated companies as of 2026-08-28. RGCO’s -46.6% gap is wider than that market norm, and the Utilities - Regulated Gas sector median is -36.4%. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy RGC Resources, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give RGCO?

10 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($21.66)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $2.23 -89.7%
Ensemble · Low Conviction
 $9.80 -54.8%
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $7.22 -66.6%
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $10.49 -51.5%
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What Is RGCO's Fair Value Range?

Spread across 10 independent models · $1.26 to $22.94

CirclFi's 10 active models place RGC Resources, Inc. (RGCO) between $1.26 and $22.94 per share, a spread of 187% of the median. The median of that range — $11.57 — is the fair value CirclFi publishes for RGCO, against a current price of $21.66.

Low · Dynamic NAVHigh · FTNN
$1.26median $11.57$22.94
Where the range comes from
Most bearish modelDynamic NAV$1.26
Most bullish modelFTNN Topology$22.94
Model agreement1 bullish · 9 bearishwide

A band this wide is itself the finding. When independent methods land far apart, they are reading a business whose value depends heavily on which lens you apply — volatile earnings, heavy reinvestment, or an asset base that cash-flow and asset-based methods score differently. That disagreement is information: it says the choice of method matters more than usual for RGCO. Treat the median as one reading among several and compare the individual models below before acting.

Every figure above is one model's standalone output on RGCO, not a CirclFi price target. How each model works →

What Is RGC Resources, Inc. (RGCO) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, RGC Resources, Inc.'s intrinsic value is estimated at $11.57, suggesting the stock is overvalued at its current price of $21.66. With 9 out of 10 models flagging downside (-46.6% vs price), the market may be pricing in unsustainable growth. Model dispersion is worth noting: FTNN targets $22.94 (+5.9%), versus Dynamic NAV at $1.26 (-94.2%). This +100.1% range highlights the importance of multi-model analysis rather than relying on any single methodology. Among models with highest confidence, EPV lean bearish — adding weight to the bearish side of the thesis.

What Do the Models Say About RGCO?

10 of 13 models are currently active for RGCO. Of these, 1 model suggests upside while 9 models suggest overvaluation. Taken together, their median fair value for RGCO is $11.57 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does RGCO Rank in Utilities - Regulated Gas?

Among 16 Utilities - Regulated Gas stocks, RGCO ranks #8 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 7.3/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 7.3 indicates above-average quality.

Within the Utilities - Regulated Gas space, RGC Resources, Inc. competes in an environment where production decline rate often separates market leaders from laggards. Understanding these industry-specific dynamics is essential context for interpreting our model outputs.

Is RGCO a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns RGCO a score of 18/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

10 of 13 models are active for RGC Resources, Inc.. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, which evaluates 32 signals including margin stability, revenue growth trajectory, leverage, and free cash flow generation, RGC Resources, Inc. is rated at 7.3/10. This solid-tier score maintains reasonable quality metrics with some areas for improvement.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +100.1% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every RGCO valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across RGCO's 10 active models, average confidence is 44%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy RGC Resources, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Utilities - Regulated Gas Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

11 related Utilities - Regulated Gas stocks with 13-model coverage

BIPCBrookfield Infrastructure CorporationQOC 7.6CPKChesapeake Utilities CorporationQOC 7.3SRSpire Inc.QOC 7.7SWXSouthwest Gas Holdings, Inc.QOC 7.1NINiSource Inc.QOC 7.8OGSONE Gas, Inc.QOC 7.1NWNNorthwest Natural Holding CompanyQOC 6.9OPALOPAL Fuels Inc.QOC 6.0SPHSuburban Propane Partners, L.P.QOC 7.8NJRNew Jersey Resources CorporationQOC 8.4UGIUGI CorporationQOC 8.0

Read investment analysis: BIPC · CPK · SR · SWX · NI · OGS · NWN · OPAL · SPH · NJR · UGI

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to RGCO?

7 companies across all industries closest to RGCO’s Quality of Company score of 7.3/10.

TGTredegar CorporationQOC 7.3EEni S.p.A.QOC 7.3CPBThe Campbell's CompanyQOC 7.3ADNTAdient plcQOC 7.3GOGOGogo Inc.QOC 7.3SRTSSensus Healthcare, Inc.QOC 7.3NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: TG · E · CPB · ADNT · GOGO · SRTS · NVDA

What Else Do Investors Ask About RGC Resources, Inc.’s Valuation?

What is RGC Resources, Inc.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts RGC Resources, Inc. (RGCO)'s intrinsic value at $11.57 — the median of 10 independent model estimates as of 2026-08-28, ranging from $1.26 to $22.94. The Quality of Company score is 7.3/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is RGCO overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $21.66, 1 of 10 active models suggest RGCO may be undervalued, while 9 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 10 fair value estimates is $11.57, 46.6% below the current price of $21.66 — a consensus view that RGCO is overvalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits RGC Resources, Inc.'s business model in Utilities - Regulated Gas.

What does a Quality of Company score of 7.3 mean for RGCO?

RGC Resources, Inc.'s QOC of 7.3/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores above 7 indicate strong fundamentals and disciplined management.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on RGCO?

CirclFi analyzes RGCO with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 10 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Which valuation models are most bullish and most bearish on RGCO?

Of the 10 models currently active on RGCO, FTNN Topology is the most bullish at $22.94 per share, and Dynamic NAV is the most bearish at $1.26. CirclFi's published fair value for RGCO is the median of that range, $11.57, not either extreme. The gap between the two ends equals 187% of the median — a wide spread, meaning the methods genuinely disagree and the median should carry less weight. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Is RGCO a value trap in 2026?

RGC Resources, Inc.'s Value Trap score is 18/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap.

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 10-model valuation engine, RGC Resources, Inc. (RGCO) has a median fair value of $11.57 — 46.6% below the current price of $21.66 — as of 2026-08-28.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/RGCO/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this RGCO valuation
  • Financial statements: RGC Resources, Inc. 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0001069533) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for RGCO as of ; valuations recomputed .

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