Spire Inc. (SR) Fair Value 2026

SR · Utilities - Regulated Gas ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

7.7 /10

32 fundamental signals · 8 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (18/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-27, Spire Inc. (SR) trades at $82.54, versus a $80.63 median fair value across its 8 active models — 2.3% below the current price. QOC: 7.7/10. Value Trap Risk: 18/100 (SAFE). 8/13 models active. Within that set, the Bayesian DCF component alone returns $133.87.

Key Facts

Ticker
SR
Price
$82.54
Quality Score
7.7/10
Value Trap Risk
18/100
Models Active
8/13
Last Updated
Strength: Bayesian DCF suggests +62.2% upside with 54% confidence
Risk: Majority of models suggest overvaluation

Is Spire Inc. (SR) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 8-model valuation engine, Spire Inc. (SR) appears fairly valued as of : the median of 8 independent fair value estimates is $80.63, within 2.3% of the current price of $82.54. Estimates range from $17.89 to $133.97. SR scores 7.7/10 on fundamental quality and 18/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -23.7% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,801 rated companies as of 2026-08-27. SR’s -2.3% gap is narrower than that market norm, and the Utilities - Regulated Gas sector median is -37.1%. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy Spire Inc. Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give SR?

8 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($82.54)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $133.87 +62.2%
Ensemble · Low Conviction
 $75.62 -8.4%
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $17.89 -78.3%
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $49.24 -40.3%
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What Is SR's Fair Value Range?

Spread across 8 independent models · $17.89 to $133.97

CirclFi's 8 active models place Spire Inc. (SR) between $17.89 and $133.97 per share, a spread of 144% of the median. The median of that range — $80.63 — is the fair value CirclFi publishes for SR, against a current price of $82.54.

Low · EROICHigh · PWERM
$17.89median $80.63$133.97
Where the range comes from
Most bearish modelEROIC Spread$17.89
Most bullish modelPWERM$133.97
Model agreement3 bullish · 4 bearishwide

A band this wide is itself the finding. When independent methods land far apart, they are reading a business whose value depends heavily on which lens you apply — volatile earnings, heavy reinvestment, or an asset base that cash-flow and asset-based methods score differently. That disagreement is information: it says the choice of method matters more than usual for SR. Treat the median as one reading among several and compare the individual models below before acting.

Every figure above is one model's standalone output on SR, not a CirclFi price target. How each model works →

What Is Spire Inc. (SR) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Spire Inc.'s intrinsic value is estimated at a median $80.63, showing conflicting signals at the current price of $82.54. While the median implied return is -2.3%, model disagreement is elevated with a gap of +140.6% between the most bullish and bearish estimates. The most optimistic model, PWERM, places fair value at $133.97 (+62.3%), while EROIC — the most conservative — estimates $17.89 (-78.3%). This +140.6% gap reflects genuine analytical uncertainty about Spire Inc.'s intrinsic worth.

What Do the Models Say About SR?

8 of 13 models are currently active for SR. Of these, 4 models suggest upside while 4 models suggest overvaluation. Taken together, their median fair value for SR is $80.63 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, returns $133.87 on its own, implying +62.2% upside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does SR Rank in Utilities - Regulated Gas?

Among 16 Utilities - Regulated Gas stocks, SR ranks #6 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 7.7/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 7.7 indicates above-average quality.

As a energy sector, Spire Inc. operates in a sector where finding and development costs (F&D) is a critical driver of valuation. Investors evaluating SR should weigh these sector-specific dynamics alongside our model-derived fair values.

Is SR a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns SR a score of 18/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

8 of 13 models are active for Spire Inc.. Moderate coverage provides meaningful perspective. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi 32-factor quality framework, Spire Inc.'s fundamental quality profile registers 7.7/10. This robust score captures the company's profitability depth, growth consistency, balance sheet resilience, and shareholder return track record.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +140.6% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every SR valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across SR's 8 active models, average confidence is 44%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Spire Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Utilities - Regulated Gas Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

10 related Utilities - Regulated Gas stocks with 13-model coverage

NINiSource Inc.QOC 7.8BIPCBrookfield Infrastructure CorporationQOC 7.6SPHSuburban Propane Partners, L.P.QOC 7.8RGCORGC Resources, Inc.QOC 7.3ATOAtmos Energy CorporationQOC 7.9CPKChesapeake Utilities CorporationQOC 7.3SWXSouthwest Gas Holdings, Inc.QOC 7.1MDUMDU Resources Group, Inc.QOC 6.3UGIUGI CorporationQOC 8.0NJRNew Jersey Resources CorporationQOC 8.4

Read investment analysis: NI · BIPC · SPH · RGCO · ATO · CPK · SWX · MDU · UGI · NJR

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to SR?

7 companies across all industries closest to SR’s Quality of Company score of 7.7/10.

TTWOTake-Two Interactive Software, Inc.QOC 7.7APPNAppian CorporationQOC 7.7NCTIntercont (Cayman) LimitedQOC 7.7MNRMach Natural Resources LPQOC 7.7HLLYHolley Inc.QOC 7.7STVNStevanato Group S.p.A.QOC 7.7NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: TTWO · APPN · NCT · MNR · HLLY · STVN · NVDA

What Else Do Investors Ask About Spire Inc.’s Valuation?

What is Spire Inc.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts Spire Inc. (SR)'s intrinsic value at $80.63 — the median of 8 independent model estimates as of 2026-08-27, ranging from $17.89 to $133.97. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion and returns $133.87 on its own. The Quality of Company score is 7.7/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is SR overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $82.54, 4 of 8 active models suggest SR may be undervalued, while 4 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 8 fair value estimates is $80.63, within 2.3% of the current price of $82.54 — a consensus view that SR is fairly valued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Spire Inc.'s business model in Utilities - Regulated Gas.

What does a Quality of Company score of 7.7 mean for SR?

Spire Inc.'s QOC of 7.7/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores above 7 indicate strong fundamentals and disciplined management.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on SR?

CirclFi analyzes SR with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 8 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Which valuation models are most bullish and most bearish on SR?

Of the 8 models currently active on SR, PWERM is the most bullish at $133.97 per share, and EROIC Spread is the most bearish at $17.89. CirclFi's published fair value for SR is the median of that range, $80.63, not either extreme. The gap between the two ends equals 144% of the median — a wide spread, meaning the methods genuinely disagree and the median should carry less weight. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Is SR a value trap in 2026?

Spire Inc.'s Value Trap score is 18/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap.

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 8-model valuation engine, Spire Inc. (SR) has a median fair value of $80.63 — within 2.3% of the current price of $82.54 — as of 2026-08-27.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/SR/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this SR valuation
  • Financial statements: Spire Inc. 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0001126956) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for SR as of ; valuations recomputed .

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