Bluelinx Holdings Inc. (BXC) Fair Value 2026

BXC · Wholesale-Lumber, Plywood, Millwork & Wood Panels ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

8.0 /10

32 fundamental signals · 12 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (12/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-07-14, Bluelinx Holdings Inc. (BXC) trades at $55.76. QOC: 8.0/10. Value Trap Risk: 12/100 (SAFE). 12/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
BXC
Price
$55.76
Quality Score
8.0/10
Value Trap Risk
12/100
Models Active
12/13
Last Updated
Strength: Earnings Power Value suggests +363.2% upside with 69% confidence
Risk: Limited model coverage (12/13) may reduce confidence

Valuation Matrix

12 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($55.76)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Earnings Power Value
High Conviction
 $258.29 +363.2%
CUCE Ensemble
Low Conviction
 $111.03 +99.1%
First Chicago
High Conviction
 $159.38 +185.8%
EROIC Spread
High Conviction
 $27.75 -50.2%

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What Is Bluelinx Holdings Inc. (BXC) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Bluelinx Holdings Inc.'s intrinsic value is estimated at $88.83, suggesting a +59.3% average upside from the current price of $55.76. While 7 models see room for appreciation, model agreement is not unanimous as 5 models flag potential overvaluation. Model dispersion is worth noting: EPV targets $258.29 (+363.2%), versus Regime Cross at $6.51 (-88.3%). This +451.5% range highlights the importance of multi-model analysis rather than relying on any single methodology.

What Do the Models Say About BXC?

12 of 13 models are currently active for BXC. Of these, 7 models suggest upside while 5 models suggest overvaluation. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does BXC Rank in Wholesale-Lumber, Plywood, Millwork & Wood Panels?

Among 1 Wholesale-Lumber, Plywood, Millwork & Wood Panels stocks, BXC ranks #1 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 8.0/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 8.0 places BXC in the top tier.

Bluelinx Holdings Inc. operates in a competitive landscape where fundamental quality metrics are key differentiators for long-term value creation.

Is BXC a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns BXC a score of 12/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

12 of 13 models are active for Bluelinx Holdings Inc.. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, which evaluates 32 signals including margin stability, revenue growth trajectory, leverage, and free cash flow generation, Bluelinx Holdings Inc. is rated at 8.0/10. This strong-tier score demonstrates strong fundamentals across the majority of our quality signals.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +451.5% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every BXC valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across BXC's 12 active models, average confidence is 41%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Bluelinx Holdings Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Frequently Asked Questions About Bluelinx Holdings Inc.

What is Bluelinx Holdings Inc.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

Based on CirclFi's 13-model analysis, Bluelinx Holdings Inc. (BXC) has multiple fair value estimates. The Bayesian DCF model runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion to estimate intrinsic value. The Quality of Company score is 8.0/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is BXC overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $55.76, 7 of 12 active models suggest BXC may be undervalued, while 5 indicate potential overvaluation. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Bluelinx Holdings Inc.'s business model in Wholesale-Lumber, Plywood, Millwork & Wood Panels.

What does a Quality of Company score of 8.0 mean for BXC?

Bluelinx Holdings Inc.'s QOC of 8.0/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores above 7 indicate strong fundamentals and disciplined management.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on BXC?

CirclFi analyzes BXC with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 12 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Is BXC a value trap in 2026?

Bluelinx Holdings Inc.'s Value Trap score is 12/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

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