JetBlue Airways Corporation (JBLU) Fair Value 2026

JBLU · Airlines ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

7.4 /10

32 fundamental signals · 2 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (6/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-27, JetBlue Airways Corporation (JBLU) trades at $4.89, versus a $15.02 median fair value across its 2 active models — 207.2% above the current price. QOC: 7.4/10. Value Trap Risk: 6/100 (SAFE). 2/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
JBLU
Price
$4.89
Quality Score
7.4/10
Value Trap Risk
6/100
Models Active
2/13
Last Updated
Strength: PWERM suggests +388.2% upside with 30% confidence
Risk: Limited model coverage (2/13) may reduce confidence

Is JetBlue Airways Corporation (JBLU) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 2-model valuation engine, JetBlue Airways Corporation (JBLU) appears undervalued as of : the median of 2 independent fair value estimates is $15.02, 207.2% above the current price of $4.89. Estimates range from $6.17 to $23.87. JBLU scores 7.4/10 on fundamental quality and 6/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -23.7% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,801 rated companies as of 2026-08-27. JBLU’s +207.2% gap is wider than that market norm, and the Airlines sector median is +37.6%. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy JetBlue Airways Corporation Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give JBLU?

2 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($4.89)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Asset-Based · High Conviction
 $6.17 +26.2%
Option-Based · Medium Conviction
 $23.87 +388.2%

All Models Active

All 2 models are displayed above.

What Is JetBlue Airways Corporation (JBLU) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, JetBlue Airways Corporation's intrinsic value is estimated at a median fair value of $15.02. At a current market price of $4.89, 2 of 2 active valuation models identify upside potential, projecting a median implied return of +207.2%. Notably, PWERM sees the most upside at +388.2% (fair value: $23.87), while Dynamic NAV is the most conservative at +26.2% ($6.17). The spread between these extremes — +362.0% — reveals how different analytical frameworks can reach starkly different conclusions.

What Do the Models Say About JBLU?

2 of 13 models are currently active for JBLU. All 2 active models suggest the stock trades below fair value. Taken together, their median fair value for JBLU is $15.02 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does JBLU Rank in Airlines?

Among 17 Airlines stocks, JBLU ranks #9 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 7.4/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 7.4 indicates above-average quality.

Within the Airlines space, JetBlue Airways Corporation competes in an environment where fleet electrification pace often separates market leaders from laggards. Understanding these industry-specific dynamics is essential context for interpreting our model outputs.

Is JBLU a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns JBLU a score of 6/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

2 of 13 models are active for JetBlue Airways Corporation. Limited activation may indicate insufficient history. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, which evaluates 32 signals including margin stability, revenue growth trajectory, leverage, and free cash flow generation, JetBlue Airways Corporation is rated at 7.4/10. This solid-tier score maintains reasonable quality metrics with some areas for improvement.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +362.0% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every JBLU valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across JBLU's 2 active models, average confidence is 41%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy JetBlue Airways Corporation Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Airlines Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

11 related Airlines stocks with 13-model coverage

ALGTAllegiant Travel CompanyQOC 7.6AALAmerican Airlines Group Inc.QOC 7.3CPACopa Holdings, S.A.QOC 7.9RJETRepublic Airways Holdings Inc.QOC 7.1LUVSouthwest Airlines Co.QOC 8.0ULCCFrontier Group Holdings, Inc.QOC 6.5VLRSControladora Vuela Compañía de Aviación, S.A.B. de C.V.QOC 6.5SRFMSurf Air Mobility Inc.QOC 4.6ALKAlaska Air Group, Inc.QOC 8.3DALDelta Air Lines, Inc.QOC 8.9UALUnited Airlines Holdings, Inc.QOC 8.8

Read investment analysis: ALGT · AAL · CPA · RJET · LUV · ULCC · VLRS · SRFM · ALK · DAL · UAL

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to JBLU?

7 companies across all industries closest to JBLU’s Quality of Company score of 7.4/10.

ATKRAtkore Inc.QOC 7.4KOPKoppers Holdings Inc.QOC 7.4KNTKKinetik Holdings Inc.QOC 7.4INBPIntegrated BioPharma, Inc.QOC 7.4TUTELUS CorporationQOC 7.4CACCamden National CorporationQOC 7.4NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: ATKR · KOP · KNTK · INBP · TU · CAC · NVDA

What Else Do Investors Ask About JetBlue Airways Corporation’s Valuation?

What is JetBlue Airways Corporation's intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts JetBlue Airways Corporation (JBLU)'s intrinsic value at $15.02 — the median of 2 independent model estimates as of 2026-08-27, ranging from $6.17 to $23.87. The Quality of Company score is 7.4/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is JBLU overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $4.89, 2 of 2 active models suggest JBLU may be undervalued, while 0 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 2 fair value estimates is $15.02, 207.2% above the current price of $4.89 — a consensus view that JBLU is undervalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits JetBlue Airways Corporation's business model in Airlines.

What does a Quality of Company score of 7.4 mean for JBLU?

JetBlue Airways Corporation's QOC of 7.4/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores above 7 indicate strong fundamentals and disciplined management.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on JBLU?

CirclFi analyzes JBLU with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 2 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Is JBLU a value trap in 2026?

JetBlue Airways Corporation's Value Trap score is 6/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 2-model valuation engine, JetBlue Airways Corporation (JBLU) has a median fair value of $15.02 — 207.2% above the current price of $4.89 — as of 2026-08-27.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/JBLU/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this JBLU valuation
  • Financial statements: JetBlue Airways Corporation 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0001158463) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for JBLU as of ; valuations recomputed .