Surf Air Mobility Inc. (SRFM) Fair Value 2026

SRFM · Airlines ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

4.6 /10

32 fundamental signals · 1 models active

Value Trap Risk

LOW (25/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-28, Surf Air Mobility Inc. (SRFM) trades at $0.72. QOC: 4.6/10. Value Trap Risk: 25/100 (LOW). 1/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
SRFM
Price
$0.72
Quality Score
4.6/10
Value Trap Risk
25/100
Models Active
1/13
Last Updated
Strength: PWERM suggests +27.7% upside with 29% confidence
Risk: Below-average Quality Score of 4.6/10 signals weak fundamentals

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give SRFM?

1 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($0.72)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Option-Based · Medium Conviction
 $0.92 +27.7%

All Models Active

All 1 models are displayed above.

What Is Surf Air Mobility Inc. (SRFM) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, the weight of evidence tilts decidedly bullish for Surf Air Mobility Inc.. Trading at $0.72 against an estimated intrinsic value of $0.92, 1 of 1 active models flag meaningful upside of +27.7% at the median.

What Do the Models Say About SRFM?

1 of 13 models are currently active for SRFM. All 1 active models suggest the stock trades below fair value. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does SRFM Rank in Airlines?

Among 17 Airlines stocks, SRFM ranks #17 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 4.6/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 4.6 reflects mixed fundamentals.

The Airlines sector introduces analytical considerations specific to automotive businesses. For Surf Air Mobility Inc., metrics like EV mix percentage provide important context that general-purpose valuation models may underweight.

Is SRFM a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns SRFM a score of 25/100 (LOW). This indicates low risk. The financial profile does not exhibit typical value trap warning signs. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

1 of 13 models are active for Surf Air Mobility Inc.. Limited activation may indicate insufficient history. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Surf Air Mobility Inc. scores 4.6 out of 10 on our 32-signal quality assessment, a moderate rating that shows mixed signals across our quality framework with notable weaknesses. The QOC score synthesizes profitability margins, revenue growth reliability, debt management, and capital allocation into a single metric designed to separate durable businesses from statistically cheap ones.

CirclFi runs 13 independent models for each stock. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every SRFM valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across SRFM's 1 active models, average confidence is 29%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Surf Air Mobility Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Airlines Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

9 related Airlines stocks with 13-model coverage

AEROGrupo Aeromexico, S.A.B. de C.VQOC 5.1DALDelta Air Lines, Inc.QOC 8.9PREMPremier Air Charter Holdings Inc.QOC 5.2UALUnited Airlines Holdings, Inc.QOC 8.8FLYXflyExclusive, Inc.QOC 6.0SKYWSkyWest, Inc.QOC 8.5ALKAlaska Air Group, Inc.QOC 8.3ALGTAllegiant Travel CompanyQOC 7.6ULCCFrontier Group Holdings, Inc.QOC 6.5

Read investment analysis: AERO · DAL · PREM · UAL · FLYX · SKYW · ALK · ALGT · ULCC

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to SRFM?

7 companies across all industries closest to SRFM’s Quality of Company score of 4.6/10.

NRSNNeuroSense Therapeutics Ltd.QOC 4.6BTCTBTC Digital Ltd.QOC 4.6HYFMHydrofarm Holdings Group, Inc.QOC 4.6HYSRSunHydrogen, Inc.QOC 4.6GDVThe Gabelli Dividend & Income TrustQOC 4.6QPRCQuest Patent Research CorporationQOC 4.6NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: NRSN · BTCT · HYFM · HYSR · GDV · QPRC · NVDA

What Else Do Investors Ask About Surf Air Mobility Inc.’s Valuation?

What is Surf Air Mobility Inc.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi does not yet have enough active models to publish a median fair value for Surf Air Mobility Inc. (SRFM). The Quality of Company score is 4.6/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is SRFM overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $0.72, 1 of 1 active models suggest SRFM may be undervalued, while 0 indicate potential overvaluation. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Surf Air Mobility Inc.'s business model in Airlines.

What does a Quality of Company score of 4.6 mean for SRFM?

Surf Air Mobility Inc.'s QOC of 4.6/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores below 5 flag potential fundamental weaknesses requiring careful analysis.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on SRFM?

CirclFi analyzes SRFM with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 1 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Is SRFM a value trap in 2026?

Surf Air Mobility Inc.'s Value Trap score is 25/100 (LOW). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Cite this analysis — “CirclFi assigns Surf Air Mobility Inc. (SRFM) a Quality of Company score of 4.6/10 across 32 fundamental signals as of 2026-08-28.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/SRFM/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this SRFM valuation
  • Financial statements: Surf Air Mobility Inc. 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0001936224) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for SRFM as of ; valuations recomputed .