Volato Group, Inc. (SOAR) Fair Value 2026

SOAR · Air Transportation, Nonscheduled ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

4.4 /10

32 fundamental signals · 6 models active

Value Trap Risk

LOW (26/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-07-14, Volato Group, Inc. (SOAR) trades at $0.14. QOC: 4.4/10. Value Trap Risk: 26/100 (LOW). 6/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
SOAR
Price
$0.14
Quality Score
4.4/10
Value Trap Risk
26/100
Models Active
6/13
Last Updated
Strength: CUCE Ensemble suggests +174.4% upside with 2% confidence
Risk: Below-average Quality Score of 4.4/10 signals weak fundamentals

Valuation Matrix

6 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($0.14)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Earnings Power Value
Medium Conviction
$0.09 -35.8%
CUCE Ensemble
Low Conviction
$0.39 +174.4%
Dynamic NAV
Medium Conviction
$0.08 -43.1%

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What Is Volato Group, Inc. (SOAR) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Volato Group, Inc.'s intrinsic value is estimated at a composite $0.26, showing conflicting signals at the current price of $0.14. While the average implied return is +82.6%, model disagreement is elevated with a gap of +319.8% between the most bullish and bearish estimates. The most optimistic model, PWERM, places fair value at $0.52 (+266.5%), while EROIC — the most conservative — estimates $0.07 (-53.3%). This +319.8% gap reflects genuine analytical uncertainty about Volato Group, Inc.'s intrinsic worth.

What Do the Models Say About SOAR?

6 of 13 models are currently active for SOAR. Of these, 3 models suggest upside while 3 models suggest overvaluation. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does SOAR Rank in Air Transportation, Nonscheduled?

Among 6 Air Transportation, Nonscheduled stocks, SOAR ranks #6 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 4.4/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 4.4 reflects mixed fundamentals.

Within the Air Transportation, Nonscheduled space, Volato Group, Inc. competes in an environment where units delivered often separates market leaders from laggards. Understanding these industry-specific dynamics is essential context for interpreting our model outputs.

Is SOAR a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns SOAR a score of 26/100 (LOW). This indicates low risk. The financial profile does not exhibit typical value trap warning signs. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

6 of 13 models are active for Volato Group, Inc.. Moderate coverage provides meaningful perspective. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, which evaluates 32 signals including margin stability, revenue growth trajectory, leverage, and free cash flow generation, Volato Group, Inc. is rated at 4.4/10. This moderate-tier score shows mixed signals across our quality framework with notable weaknesses.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +319.8% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every SOAR valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across SOAR's 6 active models, average confidence is 23%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Volato Group, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Air Transportation, Nonscheduled Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

5 related Air Transportation, Nonscheduled stocks with 13-model coverage

Read investment analysis: VTOL · SRFM · FLYX · UP · JTAI

Frequently Asked Questions About Volato Group, Inc.

What is Volato Group, Inc.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

Based on CirclFi's 13-model analysis, Volato Group, Inc. (SOAR) has multiple fair value estimates. The Bayesian DCF model runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion to estimate intrinsic value. The Quality of Company score is 4.4/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is SOAR overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $0.14, 3 of 6 active models suggest SOAR may be undervalued, while 3 indicate potential overvaluation. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Volato Group, Inc.'s business model in Air Transportation, Nonscheduled.

What does a Quality of Company score of 4.4 mean for SOAR?

Volato Group, Inc.'s QOC of 4.4/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores below 5 flag potential fundamental weaknesses requiring careful analysis.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on SOAR?

CirclFi analyzes SOAR with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 6 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Is SOAR a value trap in 2026?

Volato Group, Inc.'s Value Trap score is 26/100 (LOW). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

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