Stellantis N.V. (STLA) Fair Value 2026

STLA · Motor Vehicles & Passenger Car Bodies ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

7.3 /10

32 fundamental signals · 5 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (6/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-07-14, Stellantis N.V. (STLA) trades at $5.69. QOC: 7.3/10. Value Trap Risk: 6/100 (SAFE). 5/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
STLA
Price
$5.69
Quality Score
7.3/10
Value Trap Risk
6/100
Models Active
5/13
Last Updated
Strength: RCMH-DCF suggests +420.5% upside with 38% confidence
Risk: Limited model coverage (5/13) may reduce confidence

Valuation Matrix

5 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($5.69)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Markov DDM
Medium Conviction
$8.16 +43.4%
RCMH-DCF
Medium Conviction
$29.62 +420.5%

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What Is Stellantis N.V. (STLA) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Stellantis N.V. is potentially undervalued at its current price of $5.69. Based on our 13-model framework, Stellantis N.V.'s intrinsic value is estimated at a composite fair value of $19.86 — representing +249.1% implied upside — with 4 out of 5 active models confirming this thesis. Model dispersion is worth noting: Sentiment SOTP targets $30.42 (+434.6%), versus PWERM at $5.39 (-5.3%). This +439.9% range highlights the importance of multi-model analysis rather than relying on any single methodology.

What Do the Models Say About STLA?

5 of 13 models are currently active for STLA. Of these, 4 models suggest upside while 1 model suggests overvaluation. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does STLA Rank in Motor Vehicles & Passenger Car Bodies?

Among 28 Motor Vehicles & Passenger Car Bodies stocks, STLA ranks #10 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 7.3/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 7.3 indicates above-average quality.

The Motor Vehicles & Passenger Car Bodies sector introduces analytical considerations specific to transportation company businesses. For Stellantis N.V., metrics like fleet electrification pace provide important context that general-purpose valuation models may underweight.

Is STLA a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns STLA a score of 6/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

5 of 13 models are active for Stellantis N.V.. Limited activation may indicate insufficient history. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Stellantis N.V. scores 7.3 out of 10 on our 32-signal quality assessment, a solid rating that maintains reasonable quality metrics with some areas for improvement. The QOC score synthesizes profitability margins, revenue growth reliability, debt management, and capital allocation into a single metric designed to separate durable businesses from statistically cheap ones.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +439.9% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every STLA valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across STLA's 5 active models, average confidence is 30%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Stellantis N.V. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Motor Vehicles & Passenger Car Bodies Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

8 related Motor Vehicles & Passenger Car Bodies stocks with 13-model coverage

Read investment analysis: RACE · FSS · F · LI · PCAR

Frequently Asked Questions About Stellantis N.V.

What is Stellantis N.V.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

Based on CirclFi's 13-model analysis, Stellantis N.V. (STLA) has multiple fair value estimates. The Bayesian DCF model runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion to estimate intrinsic value. The Quality of Company score is 7.3/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is STLA overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $5.69, 4 of 5 active models suggest STLA may be undervalued, while 1 indicate potential overvaluation. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Stellantis N.V.'s business model in Motor Vehicles & Passenger Car Bodies.

What does a Quality of Company score of 7.3 mean for STLA?

Stellantis N.V.'s QOC of 7.3/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores above 7 indicate strong fundamentals and disciplined management.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on STLA?

CirclFi analyzes STLA with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 5 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Is STLA a value trap in 2026?

Stellantis N.V.'s Value Trap score is 6/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

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