What Is Ford Motor Company (F) Worth in 2026?
According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Ford Motor Company's intrinsic value is estimated at a composite fair value of $29.31. At a current market price of $13.87, 10 of 12 active valuation models identify upside potential, projecting an average implied return of +111.4%. Notably, Markov DDM sees the most upside at +446.9% (fair value: $75.85), while ML-RIV is the most conservative at -22.6% ($10.74). The spread between these extremes — +469.5% — reveals how different analytical frameworks can reach starkly different conclusions. Among models with highest confidence, EPV lean bullish — adding weight to the bullish side of the thesis.
What Do the Models Say About F?
12 of 13 models are currently active for F. Of these, 10 models suggest upside while 2 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates F's intrinsic value at $16.50, implying +19.0% upside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →
How Does F Rank in Motor Vehicles & Passenger Car Bodies?
Among 28 Motor Vehicles & Passenger Car Bodies stocks, F ranks #3 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 9.6/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 9.6 places F in the top tier.
Ford Motor Company's positioning within the Motor Vehicles & Passenger Car Bodies segment means that EV mix percentage plays an outsized role in fundamental analysis. The sector's unique characteristics — including software-defined vehicle revenue — shape both the opportunity set and risk profile.
Is F a Value Trap?
The Value Trap algorithm is not active for F. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →
Multi-Model Methodology
12 of 13 models are active for Ford Motor Company. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →
According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Ford Motor Company scores 9.6 out of 10 on our 32-signal quality assessment, a elite rating that ranks among the highest-quality businesses in our coverage universe. The QOC score synthesizes profitability margins, revenue growth reliability, debt management, and capital allocation into a single metric designed to separate durable businesses from statistically cheap ones.
The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +469.5% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →
Data Sources & Confidence
Every F valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →
Across F's 12 active models, average confidence is 48%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.
CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →
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