What Is ViaSat, Inc. (VSAT) Worth in 2026?
According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, ViaSat, Inc.'s intrinsic value is estimated at a composite $75.08, showing conflicting signals at the current price of $69.54. While the average implied return is +8.0%, model disagreement is elevated with a gap of +268.5% between the most bullish and bearish estimates. The most optimistic model, Bayesian DCF, places fair value at $189.98 (+173.2%), while Markov DDM — the most conservative — estimates $3.26 (-95.3%). This +268.5% gap reflects genuine analytical uncertainty about ViaSat, Inc.'s intrinsic worth. Among models with highest confidence, EPV lean bearish — adding weight to the bearish side of the thesis.
What Do the Models Say About VSAT?
12 of 13 models are currently active for VSAT. Of these, 7 models suggest upside while 5 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates VSAT's intrinsic value at $189.98, implying +173.2% upside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →
How Does VSAT Rank in Communications Services, NEC?
Among 16 Communications Services, NEC stocks, VSAT ranks #4 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 6.9/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 6.9 indicates above-average quality.
ViaSat, Inc.'s positioning within the Communications Services, NEC segment means that average revenue per user (ARPU) plays an outsized role in fundamental analysis. The sector's unique characteristics — including 5G network deployment — shape both the opportunity set and risk profile.
Is VSAT a Value Trap?
CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns VSAT a score of 35/100 (LOW). This indicates low risk. The financial profile does not exhibit typical value trap warning signs. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →
Multi-Model Methodology
12 of 13 models are active for ViaSat, Inc.. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →
According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, ViaSat, Inc. earns a quality score of 6.9/10. This respectable rating reflects the company's standing across 32 fundamental signals spanning profitability, growth consistency, balance sheet strength, and capital allocation efficiency.
The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +268.5% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →
Data Sources & Confidence
Every VSAT valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →
Across VSAT's 12 active models, average confidence is 48%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.
CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →
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