Viasat, Inc. (VSAT) Fair Value 2026

VSAT · Communication Equipment ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

6.7 /10

32 fundamental signals · 10 models active

Value Trap Risk

WARN (48/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-28, Viasat, Inc. (VSAT) trades at $67.37, versus a $80.00 median fair value across its 10 active models — 18.8% above the current price. QOC: 6.7/10. Value Trap Risk: 48/100 (WARN). 10/13 models active. Within that set, the Bayesian DCF component alone returns $225.05.

Key Facts

Ticker
VSAT
Price
$67.37
Quality Score
6.7/10
Value Trap Risk
48/100
Models Active
10/13
Last Updated
Strength: Bayesian DCF suggests +234.1% upside with 68% confidence
Risk: Value Trap score of 48 suggests caution despite apparent undervaluation

Is Viasat, Inc. (VSAT) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 10-model valuation engine, Viasat, Inc. (VSAT) appears undervalued as of : the median of 10 independent fair value estimates is $80.00, 18.8% above the current price of $67.37. Estimates range from $4.08 to $225.05. VSAT scores 6.7/10 on fundamental quality and 48/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -23.4% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,809 rated companies as of 2026-08-28. VSAT’s +18.8% gap is narrower than that market norm, and the Communication Equipment sector median is -49.3%. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy Viasat, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give VSAT?

10 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($67.37)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $225.05 +234.1%
Ensemble · Low Conviction
 $87.53 +29.9%
Scenario · High Conviction
 $162.80 +141.7%
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $4.08 -93.9%
Unlock the Full Matrix

Access 6 additional models including EROIC Spread, PWERM, and more.

$1.30 / day

Billed monthly ($39/mo) or annually ($299/yr)

Unlock All 10 Models →

Cancel anytime · No contracts · Instant access

What Is VSAT's Fair Value Range?

Spread across 10 independent models · $4.08 to $225.05

CirclFi's 10 active models place Viasat, Inc. (VSAT) between $4.08 and $225.05 per share, a spread of 276% of the median. The median of that range — $80.00 — is the fair value CirclFi publishes for VSAT, against a current price of $67.37.

Low · ML-RIVHigh · Bayesian DCF
$4.08median $80.00$225.05
Where the range comes from
Most bearish modelML Residual Income$4.08
Most bullish modelBayesian DCF$225.05
Model agreement6 bullish · 3 bearishwide

A band this wide is itself the finding. When independent methods land far apart, they are reading a business whose value depends heavily on which lens you apply — volatile earnings, heavy reinvestment, or an asset base that cash-flow and asset-based methods score differently. That disagreement is information: it says the choice of method matters more than usual for VSAT. Treat the median as one reading among several and compare the individual models below before acting.

Every figure above is one model's standalone output on VSAT, not a CirclFi price target. How each model works →

What Is Viasat, Inc. (VSAT) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, our multi-model framework produces a cautiously optimistic read on Viasat, Inc. at $67.37. With an estimated intrinsic value of $80.00 and 6 of 10 models pointing higher, the median implied return is +18.8%. The most optimistic model, Bayesian DCF, places fair value at $225.05 (+234.1%), while ML-RIV — the most conservative — estimates $4.08 (-93.9%). This +328.0% gap reflects genuine analytical uncertainty about Viasat, Inc.'s intrinsic worth.

What Do the Models Say About VSAT?

10 of 13 models are currently active for VSAT. Of these, 7 models suggest upside while 3 models suggest overvaluation. Taken together, their median fair value for VSAT is $80.00 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, returns $225.05 on its own, implying +234.1% upside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does VSAT Rank in Communication Equipment?

Among 47 Communication Equipment stocks, VSAT ranks #29 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 6.7/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 6.7 indicates above-average quality.

Viasat, Inc.'s positioning within the Communication Equipment segment means that average revenue per user (ARPU) plays an outsized role in fundamental analysis. The sector's unique characteristics — including 5G network deployment — shape both the opportunity set and risk profile.

Is VSAT a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns VSAT a score of 48/100 (WARN). This is a warning signal. Additional research into recent 10-Q filings is recommended. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

10 of 13 models are active for Viasat, Inc.. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, Viasat, Inc. earns a quality score of 6.7/10. This respectable rating reflects the company's standing across 32 fundamental signals spanning profitability, growth consistency, balance sheet strength, and capital allocation efficiency. Our Value Trap detector shows moderate caution signals worth monitoring.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +328.0% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every VSAT valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across VSAT's 10 active models, average confidence is 44%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Viasat, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Communication Equipment Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

11 related Communication Equipment stocks with 13-model coverage

VISNVistance Networks, Inc.QOC 6.7FKWLFranklin Wireless Corp.QOC 6.7INSGInseego Corp.QOC 6.8SILCSilicom Ltd.QOC 6.7CLFDClearfield, Inc.QOC 6.9MITQMoving iMage Technologies, Inc.QOC 6.6CMTLComtech Telecommunications Corp.QOC 5.7EXTRExtreme Networks, Inc.QOC 9.1NOKNokia OyjQOC 7.5BKTIBK Technologies CorporationQOC 9.6UIUbiquiti Inc.QOC 9.3

Read investment analysis: VISN · FKWL · INSG · SILC · CLFD · MITQ · CMTL · EXTR · NOK · BKTI · UI

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to VSAT?

6 companies across all industries closest to VSAT’s Quality of Company score of 6.7/10.

VRMEVerifyMe, Inc.QOC 6.7BTBDBT Brands, Inc.QOC 6.7CLVTClarivate PlcQOC 6.7ASXASE Technology Holding Co., Ltd.QOC 6.7HUNHuntsman CorporationQOC 6.7NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: VRME · BTBD · CLVT · ASX · HUN · NVDA

What Else Do Investors Ask About Viasat, Inc.’s Valuation?

What is Viasat, Inc.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts Viasat, Inc. (VSAT)'s intrinsic value at $80.00 — the median of 10 independent model estimates as of 2026-08-28, ranging from $4.08 to $225.05. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion and returns $225.05 on its own. The Quality of Company score is 6.7/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is VSAT overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $67.37, 7 of 10 active models suggest VSAT may be undervalued, while 3 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 10 fair value estimates is $80.00, 18.8% above the current price of $67.37 — a consensus view that VSAT is undervalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Viasat, Inc.'s business model in Communication Equipment.

What does a Quality of Company score of 6.7 mean for VSAT?

Viasat, Inc.'s QOC of 6.7/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores between 5-7 reflect moderate fundamentals with areas for improvement.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on VSAT?

CirclFi analyzes VSAT with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 10 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Which valuation models are most bullish and most bearish on VSAT?

Of the 10 models currently active on VSAT, Bayesian DCF is the most bullish at $225.05 per share, and ML Residual Income is the most bearish at $4.08. CirclFi's published fair value for VSAT is the median of that range, $80.00, not either extreme. The gap between the two ends equals 276% of the median — a wide spread, meaning the methods genuinely disagree and the median should carry less weight. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Is VSAT a value trap in 2026?

Viasat, Inc.'s Value Trap score is 48/100 (WARN). This elevated score suggests the stock may look undervalued but faces deteriorating fundamentals — declining margins, rising debt, or shrinking revenue could make the apparent discount deceptive. Browse our ranked stock lists to compare value-trap scores across industries.

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 10-model valuation engine, Viasat, Inc. (VSAT) has a median fair value of $80.00 — 18.8% above the current price of $67.37 — as of 2026-08-28.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/VSAT/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this VSAT valuation
  • Financial statements: Viasat, Inc. 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0000797721) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for VSAT as of ; valuations recomputed .

You’ve done the research. Don’t stop at half the picture.

Stop collecting opinions. Let 10 mathematical frameworks give you clarity on VSAT.

Unlock All 10 Fair Values — $39/mo

Cancel anytime · Less than a cup of coffee · Instant access

6 models hidden for VSAT Unlock All 10 — $39/mo