Global Water Resources, Inc. (GWRS) Fair Value 2026

GWRS · Utilities - Regulated Water ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

7.0 /10

32 fundamental signals · 9 models active

Value Trap Risk

LOW (26/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-28, Global Water Resources, Inc. (GWRS) trades at $9.13, versus a $4.18 median fair value across its 9 active models — 54.2% below the current price. QOC: 7.0/10. Value Trap Risk: 26/100 (LOW). 9/13 models active. Within that set, the Bayesian DCF component alone returns $8.24.

Key Facts

Ticker
GWRS
Price
$9.13
Quality Score
7.0/10
Value Trap Risk
26/100
Models Active
9/13
Last Updated
Strength: 9 independent models provide multi-angle coverage
Risk: Majority of models suggest overvaluation

Is Global Water Resources, Inc. (GWRS) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 9-model valuation engine, Global Water Resources, Inc. (GWRS) appears overvalued as of : the median of 9 independent fair value estimates is $4.18, 54.2% below the current price of $9.13. Estimates range from $0.21 to $13.02. GWRS scores 7.0/10 on fundamental quality and 26/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -23.4% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,809 rated companies as of 2026-08-28. GWRS’s -54.2% gap is wider than that market norm. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy Global Water Resources, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give GWRS?

9 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($9.13)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $8.24 -9.8%
Ensemble · Low Conviction
 $4.18 -54.2%
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $0.21 -97.7%
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $2.64 -71.1%
Unlock the Full Matrix

Access 5 additional models including ML-RIV, PWERM, and more.

$1.30 / day

Billed monthly ($39/mo) or annually ($299/yr)

Unlock All 9 Models →

Cancel anytime · No contracts · Instant access

What Is GWRS's Fair Value Range?

Spread across 9 independent models · $0.21 to $13.02

CirclFi's 9 active models place Global Water Resources, Inc. (GWRS) between $0.21 and $13.02 per share, a spread of 306% of the median. The median of that range — $4.18 — is the fair value CirclFi publishes for GWRS, against a current price of $9.13.

Low · EROICHigh · PWERM
$0.21median $4.18$13.02
Where the range comes from
Most bearish modelEROIC Spread$0.21
Most bullish modelPWERM$13.02
Model agreement1 bullish · 8 bearishwide

A band this wide is itself the finding. When independent methods land far apart, they are reading a business whose value depends heavily on which lens you apply — volatile earnings, heavy reinvestment, or an asset base that cash-flow and asset-based methods score differently. That disagreement is information: it says the choice of method matters more than usual for GWRS. Treat the median as one reading among several and compare the individual models below before acting.

Every figure above is one model's standalone output on GWRS, not a CirclFi price target. How each model works →

What Is Global Water Resources, Inc. (GWRS) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Global Water Resources, Inc.'s intrinsic value is estimated at $4.18, suggesting the stock is overvalued at its current price of $9.13. With 8 out of 9 models flagging downside (-54.2% vs price), the market may be pricing in unsustainable growth. Model dispersion is worth noting: PWERM targets $13.02 (+42.6%), versus EROIC at $0.21 (-97.7%). This +140.3% range highlights the importance of multi-model analysis rather than relying on any single methodology.

What Do the Models Say About GWRS?

9 of 13 models are currently active for GWRS. Of these, 1 model suggests upside while 8 models suggest overvaluation. Taken together, their median fair value for GWRS is $4.18 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, returns $8.24 on its own, implying -9.8% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does GWRS Rank in Utilities - Regulated Water?

Among 13 Utilities - Regulated Water stocks, GWRS ranks #11 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 7.0/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 7.0 indicates above-average quality.

Within the Utilities - Regulated Water space, Global Water Resources, Inc. competes in an environment where renewable generation mix often separates market leaders from laggards. Understanding these industry-specific dynamics is essential context for interpreting our model outputs.

Is GWRS a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns GWRS a score of 26/100 (LOW). This indicates low risk. The financial profile does not exhibit typical value trap warning signs. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

9 of 13 models are active for Global Water Resources, Inc.. Moderate coverage provides meaningful perspective. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, which evaluates 32 signals including margin stability, revenue growth trajectory, leverage, and free cash flow generation, Global Water Resources, Inc. is rated at 7.0/10. This solid-tier score maintains reasonable quality metrics with some areas for improvement.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +140.3% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every GWRS valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across GWRS's 9 active models, average confidence is 44%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Global Water Resources, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Utilities - Regulated Water Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

9 related Utilities - Regulated Water stocks with 13-model coverage

YORWThe York Water CompanyQOC 7.2CDZICadiz Inc.QOC 5.4AWKAmerican Water Works Company, Inc.QOC 7.6CETICyber Enviro-Tech, Inc.QOC 3.8MSEXMiddlesex Water CompanyQOC 7.7SBSCompanhia de Saneamento Básico do Estado de São Paulo - SABESPQOC 9.3WTRGEssential Utilities, Inc.QOC 8.3AWRAmerican States Water CompanyQOC 7.9CWCOConsolidated Water Co. Ltd.QOC 8.9

Read investment analysis: YORW · CDZI · AWK · CETI · MSEX · SBS · WTRG · AWR · CWCO

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to GWRS?

7 companies across all industries closest to GWRS’s Quality of Company score of 7.0/10.

AMHAmerican Homes 4 RentQOC 7.0UPBDUpbound Group, Inc.QOC 7.0WHRWhirlpool CorporationQOC 7.0SLNGStabilis Solutions, Inc.QOC 6.9ADAGAdagene Inc.QOC 7.0AGRZAgroz Inc.QOC 6.9NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: AMH · UPBD · WHR · SLNG · ADAG · AGRZ · NVDA

What Else Do Investors Ask About Global Water Resources, Inc.’s Valuation?

What is Global Water Resources, Inc.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts Global Water Resources, Inc. (GWRS)'s intrinsic value at $4.18 — the median of 9 independent model estimates as of 2026-08-28, ranging from $0.21 to $13.02. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion and returns $8.24 on its own. The Quality of Company score is 7.0/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is GWRS overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $9.13, 1 of 9 active models suggest GWRS may be undervalued, while 8 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 9 fair value estimates is $4.18, 54.2% below the current price of $9.13 — a consensus view that GWRS is overvalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Global Water Resources, Inc.'s business model in Utilities - Regulated Water.

What does a Quality of Company score of 7.0 mean for GWRS?

Global Water Resources, Inc.'s QOC of 7.0/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores above 7 indicate strong fundamentals and disciplined management.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on GWRS?

CirclFi analyzes GWRS with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 9 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Which valuation models are most bullish and most bearish on GWRS?

Of the 9 models currently active on GWRS, PWERM is the most bullish at $13.02 per share, and EROIC Spread is the most bearish at $0.21. CirclFi's published fair value for GWRS is the median of that range, $4.18, not either extreme. The gap between the two ends equals 306% of the median — a wide spread, meaning the methods genuinely disagree and the median should carry less weight. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Is GWRS a value trap in 2026?

Global Water Resources, Inc.'s Value Trap score is 26/100 (LOW). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap.

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 9-model valuation engine, Global Water Resources, Inc. (GWRS) has a median fair value of $4.18 — 54.2% below the current price of $9.13 — as of 2026-08-28.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/GWRS/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this GWRS valuation
  • Financial statements: Global Water Resources, Inc. 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0001434728) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for GWRS as of ; valuations recomputed .

You’ve done the research. Don’t stop at half the picture.

Stop collecting opinions. Let 9 mathematical frameworks give you clarity on GWRS.

Unlock All 9 Fair Values — $39/mo

Cancel anytime · Less than a cup of coffee · Instant access

5 models hidden for GWRS Unlock All 9 — $39/mo