What Is Alpha Metallurgical Resources, (AMR) Worth in 2026?
According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Alpha Metallurgical Resources, presents a highly debated valuation profile at its current price of $153.94. The composite intrinsic value is estimated at $220.09 (+43.0% average upside), masking a wide model spread between the 5 bullish models and 5 bearish models. Model dispersion is worth noting: Bayesian DCF targets $650.17 (+322.4%), versus Sentiment SOTP at $30.57 (-80.1%). This +402.5% range highlights the importance of multi-model analysis rather than relying on any single methodology. Among models with highest confidence, EPV lean bullish — adding weight to the bullish side of the thesis.
What Do the Models Say About AMR?
12 of 13 models are currently active for AMR. Of these, 6 models suggest upside while 6 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates AMR's intrinsic value at $650.17, implying +322.4% upside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →
How Does AMR Rank in Bituminous Coal & Lignite Surface Mining?
Among 5 Bituminous Coal & Lignite Surface Mining stocks, AMR ranks #4 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 7.2/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 7.2 indicates above-average quality.
Alpha Metallurgical Resources, 's positioning within the Bituminous Coal & Lignite Surface Mining segment means that debt-to-EBITDAX plays an outsized role in fundamental analysis. The sector's unique characteristics — including production growth trajectory — shape both the opportunity set and risk profile.
Is AMR a Value Trap?
The Value Trap algorithm is not active for AMR. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →
Multi-Model Methodology
12 of 13 models are active for Alpha Metallurgical Resources, . Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →
According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Alpha Metallurgical Resources, scores 7.2 out of 10 on our 32-signal quality assessment, a solid rating that maintains reasonable quality metrics with some areas for improvement. The QOC score synthesizes profitability margins, revenue growth reliability, debt management, and capital allocation into a single metric designed to separate durable businesses from statistically cheap ones.
The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +402.5% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →
Data Sources & Confidence
Every AMR valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →
Across AMR's 12 active models, average confidence is 43%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.
CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →
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