Caesars Entertainment, Inc. (CZR) Fair Value 2026

CZR · Hotels & Motels ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

6.5 /10

32 fundamental signals · 11 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (11/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-07-15, Caesars Entertainment, Inc. (CZR) trades at $30.13, approximately 69% below CirclFi’s Bayesian DCF fair value of $97.25. QOC: 6.5/10. Value Trap Risk: 11/100 (SAFE). 11/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
CZR
Price
$30.13
Quality Score
6.5/10
Value Trap Risk
11/100
Models Active
11/13
Last Updated
Strength: Bayesian DCF suggests +222.8% upside with 61% confidence
Risk: Limited model coverage (11/13) may reduce confidence

Is Caesars Entertainment, Inc. (CZR) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 11-model valuation engine, Caesars Entertainment, Inc. (CZR) appears undervalued as of : the median of 11 independent fair value estimates is $45.99, 52.7% above the current price of $30.13. Estimates range from $8.86 to $97.25. CZR scores 6.5/10 on fundamental quality and 11/100 on value-trap risk.

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy Caesars Entertainment, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Valuation Matrix

11 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($30.13)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Bayesian DCF
High Conviction
$97.25 +222.8%
Earnings Power Value
High Conviction
$26.02 -13.7%
CUCE Ensemble
Low Conviction
$54.42 +80.6%
EROIC Spread
High Conviction
$28.80 -4.4%

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What Is Caesars Entertainment, Inc. (CZR) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Caesars Entertainment, Inc.'s intrinsic value is estimated at $48.17, suggesting a +59.9% average upside from the current price of $30.13. While 8 models see room for appreciation, model agreement is not unanimous as 2 models flag potential overvaluation. Model dispersion is worth noting: Bayesian DCF targets $97.25 (+222.8%), versus Markov DDM at $8.86 (-70.6%). This +293.3% range highlights the importance of multi-model analysis rather than relying on any single methodology.

What Do the Models Say About CZR?

11 of 13 models are currently active for CZR. Of these, 8 models suggest upside while 3 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates CZR's intrinsic value at $97.25, implying +222.8% upside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does CZR Rank in Hotels & Motels?

Among 27 Hotels & Motels stocks, CZR ranks #16 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 6.5/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 6.5 indicates above-average quality.

Caesars Entertainment, Inc. operates in a competitive landscape where fundamental quality metrics are key differentiators for long-term value creation.

Is CZR a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns CZR a score of 11/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

11 of 13 models are active for Caesars Entertainment, Inc.. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi 32-factor quality framework, Caesars Entertainment, Inc.'s fundamental quality profile registers 6.5/10. This respectable score captures the company's profitability depth, growth consistency, balance sheet resilience, and shareholder return track record.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +293.3% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every CZR valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across CZR's 11 active models, average confidence is 40%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Caesars Entertainment, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

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Frequently Asked Questions About Caesars Entertainment, Inc.

What is Caesars Entertainment, Inc.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

Based on CirclFi's 13-model analysis, Caesars Entertainment, Inc. (CZR) has multiple fair value estimates. The Bayesian DCF model runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion to estimate intrinsic value at $97.25. The Quality of Company score is 6.5/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is CZR overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $30.13, 8 of 11 active models suggest CZR may be undervalued, while 3 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 11 fair value estimates is $45.99, 52.7% above the current price of $30.13 — a consensus view that CZR is undervalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Caesars Entertainment, Inc.'s business model in Hotels & Motels.

What does a Quality of Company score of 6.5 mean for CZR?

Caesars Entertainment, Inc.'s QOC of 6.5/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores between 5-7 reflect moderate fundamentals with areas for improvement.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on CZR?

CirclFi analyzes CZR with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 11 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Is CZR a value trap in 2026?

Caesars Entertainment, Inc.'s Value Trap score is 11/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 11-model valuation engine, Caesars Entertainment, Inc. (CZR) has a median fair value of $45.99 — 52.7% above the current price of $30.13 — as of 2026-07-15.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/CZR/ · Methodology

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