Caesars Entertainment, Inc. (CZR) Fair Value 2026

CZR · Resorts & Casinos ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

6.9 /10

32 fundamental signals · 8 models active

Value Trap Risk

LOW (27/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-10-07, Caesars Entertainment, Inc. (CZR) trades at $29.65, versus a $60.89 median fair value across its 8 active models — 105.4% above the current price. QOC: 6.9/10. Value Trap Risk: 27/100 (LOW). 8/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
CZR
Price
$29.65
Quality Score
6.9/10
Value Trap Risk
27/100
Models Active
8/13
Last Updated
Strength: First Chicago suggests +424.4% upside with 56% confidence
Risk: Limited model coverage (8/13) may reduce confidence

Is Caesars Entertainment, Inc. (CZR) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 8-model valuation engine, Caesars Entertainment, Inc. (CZR) appears undervalued as of : the median of 8 independent fair value estimates is $60.89, 105.4% above the current price of $29.65. Estimates range from $6.40 to $155.48. CZR scores 6.9/10 on fundamental quality and 27/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -20.1% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,777 rated companies as of 2026-10-07. CZR’s +105.4% gap is wider than that market norm. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy Caesars Entertainment, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give CZR?

8 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($29.65)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Ensemble · Low Conviction
 $60.10 +102.7%
Scenario · High Conviction
 $155.48 +424.4%
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $6.40 -78.4%
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $35.79 +20.7%
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What Is CZR's Fair Value Range?

Spread across 8 independent models · $6.40 to $155.48

CirclFi's 8 active models place Caesars Entertainment, Inc. (CZR) between $6.40 and $155.48 per share, a spread of 245% of the median. The median of that range — $60.89 — is the fair value CirclFi publishes for CZR, against a current price of $29.65.

Low · EROICHigh · First Chicago
$6.40median $60.89$155.48
Where the range comes from
Most bearish modelEROIC Spread$6.40
Most bullish modelFirst Chicago$155.48
Model agreement6 bullish · 2 bearishwide

A band this wide is itself the finding. When independent methods land far apart, they are reading a business whose value depends heavily on which lens you apply — volatile earnings, heavy reinvestment, or an asset base that cash-flow and asset-based methods score differently. That disagreement is information: it says the choice of method matters more than usual for CZR. Treat the median as one reading among several and compare the individual models below before acting.

Every figure above is one model's standalone output on CZR, not a CirclFi price target. How each model works →

What Is Caesars Entertainment, Inc. (CZR) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Caesars Entertainment, Inc. is potentially undervalued at its current price of $29.65. Based on our 13-model framework, Caesars Entertainment, Inc.'s intrinsic value is estimated at a median fair value of $60.89 — representing +105.4% implied upside — with 6 out of 8 active models confirming this thesis. Model dispersion is worth noting: First Chicago targets $155.48 (+424.4%), versus EROIC at $6.40 (-78.4%). This +502.8% range highlights the importance of multi-model analysis rather than relying on any single methodology.

What Do the Models Say About CZR?

8 of 13 models are currently active for CZR. Of these, 6 models suggest upside while 2 models suggest overvaluation. Taken together, their median fair value for CZR is $60.89 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does CZR Rank in Resorts & Casinos?

Among 18 Resorts & Casinos stocks, CZR ranks #11 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 6.9/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 6.9 indicates above-average quality.

Caesars Entertainment, Inc. operates in a competitive landscape where fundamental quality metrics are key differentiators for long-term value creation.

Is CZR a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns CZR a score of 27/100 (LOW). This indicates low risk. The financial profile does not exhibit typical value trap warning signs. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

8 of 13 models are active for Caesars Entertainment, Inc.. Moderate coverage provides meaningful perspective. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi 32-factor quality framework, Caesars Entertainment, Inc.'s fundamental quality profile registers 6.9/10. This respectable score captures the company's profitability depth, growth consistency, balance sheet resilience, and shareholder return track record.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +502.8% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every CZR valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across CZR's 8 active models, average confidence is 39%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Caesars Entertainment, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Resorts & Casinos Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

10 related Resorts & Casinos stocks with 13-model coverage

CPHCCanterbury Park Holding CorporationQOC 7.4MSCStudio City International Holdings LimitedQOC 6.4HGVHilton Grand Vacations Inc.QOC 7.4FLLFull House Resorts, Inc.QOC 6.3MTNVail Resorts, Inc.QOC 7.6CNTYCentury Casinos, Inc.QOC 6.3VACMarriott Vacations Worldwide CorporationQOC 6.2MCRIMonarch Casino & Resort, Inc.QOC 9.3WYNNWynn Resorts, LimitedQOC 7.7TBTCTable Trac, Inc.QOC 9.5

Read investment analysis: CPHC · MSC · HGV · FLL · MTN · CNTY · VAC · MCRI · WYNN · TBTC

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to CZR?

7 companies across all industries closest to CZR’s Quality of Company score of 6.9/10.

SABRSabre CorporationQOC 7.0AMRAlpha Metallurgical Resources, Inc.QOC 6.9ADAGAdagene Inc.QOC 7.0GWRSGlobal Water Resources, Inc.QOC 6.9AMBAAmbarella, Inc.QOC 7.0BNEDBarnes & Noble Education, Inc.QOC 6.9NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: SABR · AMR · ADAG · GWRS · AMBA · BNED · NVDA

What Else Do Investors Ask About Caesars Entertainment, Inc.’s Valuation?

What is Caesars Entertainment, Inc.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts Caesars Entertainment, Inc. (CZR)'s intrinsic value at $60.89 — the median of 8 independent model estimates as of 2026-10-07, ranging from $6.40 to $155.48. The Quality of Company score is 6.9/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is CZR overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $29.65, 6 of 8 active models suggest CZR may be undervalued, while 2 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 8 fair value estimates is $60.89, 105.4% above the current price of $29.65 — a consensus view that CZR is undervalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Caesars Entertainment, Inc.'s business model in Resorts & Casinos.

What does a Quality of Company score of 6.9 mean for CZR?

Caesars Entertainment, Inc.'s QOC of 6.9/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores between 5-7 reflect moderate fundamentals with areas for improvement.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on CZR?

CirclFi analyzes CZR with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 8 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Which valuation models are most bullish and most bearish on CZR?

Of the 8 models currently active on CZR, First Chicago is the most bullish at $155.48 per share, and EROIC Spread is the most bearish at $6.40. CirclFi's published fair value for CZR is the median of that range, $60.89, not either extreme. The gap between the two ends equals 245% of the median — a wide spread, meaning the methods genuinely disagree and the median should carry less weight. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Is CZR a value trap in 2026?

Caesars Entertainment, Inc.'s Value Trap score is 27/100 (LOW). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap.

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 8-model valuation engine, Caesars Entertainment, Inc. (CZR) has a median fair value of $60.89 — 105.4% above the current price of $29.65 — as of 2026-10-07.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/CZR/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this CZR valuation
  • Financial statements: Caesars Entertainment, Inc. 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0001590895) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for CZR as of ; valuations recomputed .

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