Carlisle Companies Incorporated (CSL) Fair Value 2026

CSL · Fabricated Rubber Products, NEC ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

9.8 /10

32 fundamental signals · 12 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (12/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-07-13, Carlisle Companies Incorporated (CSL) trades at $333.23, approximately 23% below CirclFi’s Bayesian DCF fair value of $430.95. QOC: 9.8/10. Value Trap Risk: 12/100 (SAFE). 12/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
CSL
Price
$333.23
Quality Score
9.8/10
Value Trap Risk
12/100
Models Active
12/13
Last Updated
Strength: First Chicago suggests +60.1% upside with 56% confidence
Risk: Limited model coverage (12/13) may reduce confidence

Valuation Matrix

12 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($333.23)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Bayesian DCF
High Conviction
$430.95 +29.3%
Earnings Power Value
High Conviction
$160.04 -52.0%
CUCE Ensemble
Low Conviction
$288.91 -13.3%
First Chicago
High Conviction
$533.56 +60.1%

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What Is Carlisle Companies Incorporated (CSL) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Carlisle Companies Incorporated's intrinsic value is estimated at a composite fair value of $260.66. Trading at $333.23, the stock is approaching fair value or slight overvaluation (implied return of -21.8%), as 7 of 12 models suggest limited further upside. Notably, First Chicago sees the most upside at +60.1% (fair value: $533.56), while Dynamic NAV is the most conservative at -98.8% ($4.14). The spread between these extremes — +158.9% — reveals how different analytical frameworks can reach starkly different conclusions. Among models with highest confidence, EPV lean bearish — adding weight to the bearish side of the thesis.

What Do the Models Say About CSL?

12 of 13 models are currently active for CSL. Of these, 5 models suggest upside while 7 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates CSL's intrinsic value at $430.95, implying +29.3% upside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does CSL Rank in Fabricated Rubber Products, NEC?

Among 2 Fabricated Rubber Products, NEC stocks, CSL ranks #1 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 9.8/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 9.8 places CSL in the top tier.

Carlisle Companies Incorporated operates in a competitive landscape where fundamental quality metrics are key differentiators for long-term value creation.

Is CSL a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns CSL a score of 12/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

12 of 13 models are active for Carlisle Companies Incorporated. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, Carlisle Companies Incorporated earns a quality score of 9.8/10. This exceptional rating reflects the company's standing across 32 fundamental signals spanning profitability, growth consistency, balance sheet strength, and capital allocation efficiency.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +158.9% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every CSL valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across CSL's 12 active models, average confidence is 43%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Carlisle Companies Incorporated Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Fabricated Rubber Products, NEC Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

1 related Fabricated Rubber Products, NEC stocks with 13-model coverage

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Frequently Asked Questions About Carlisle Companies Incorporated

What is Carlisle Companies Incorporated's intrinsic value in 2026?

Based on CirclFi's 13-model analysis, Carlisle Companies Incorporated (CSL) has multiple fair value estimates. The Bayesian DCF model runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion to estimate intrinsic value at $430.95. The Quality of Company score is 9.8/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is CSL overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $333.23, 5 of 12 active models suggest CSL may be undervalued, while 7 indicate potential overvaluation. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Carlisle Companies Incorporated's business model in Fabricated Rubber Products, NEC.

What does a Quality of Company score of 9.8 mean for CSL?

Carlisle Companies Incorporated's QOC of 9.8/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores above 7 indicate strong fundamentals and disciplined management.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on CSL?

CirclFi analyzes CSL with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 12 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Is CSL a value trap in 2026?

Carlisle Companies Incorporated's Value Trap score is 12/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

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