Carlisle Companies Incorporated (CSL) Fair Value 2026

CSL · Building Products & Equipment ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

9.2 /10

32 fundamental signals · 10 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (18/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-27, Carlisle Companies Incorporated (CSL) trades at $360.74, versus a $382.81 median fair value across its 10 active models — 6.1% above the current price. QOC: 9.2/10. Value Trap Risk: 18/100 (SAFE). 10/13 models active. Within that set, the Bayesian DCF component alone returns $330.12.

Key Facts

Ticker
CSL
Price
$360.74
Quality Score
9.2/10
Value Trap Risk
18/100
Models Active
10/13
Last Updated
Strength: First Chicago suggests +119.3% upside with 58% confidence
Risk: Limited model coverage (10/13) may reduce confidence

Is Carlisle Companies Incorporated (CSL) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 10-model valuation engine, Carlisle Companies Incorporated (CSL) appears fairly valued as of : the median of 10 independent fair value estimates is $382.81, within 6.1% of the current price of $360.74. Estimates range from $112.37 to $882.75. CSL scores 9.2/10 on fundamental quality and 18/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -23.7% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,801 rated companies as of 2026-08-27. CSL’s +6.1% gap is narrower than that market norm, and the Building Products & Equipment sector median is -32.1%. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy Carlisle Companies Incorporated Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give CSL?

10 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($360.74)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $330.12 -8.5%
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $176.06 -51.2%
Ensemble · Low Conviction
 $421.28 +16.8%
Scenario · High Conviction
 $790.93 +119.3%
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What Is CSL's Fair Value Range?

Spread across 10 independent models · $112.37 to $882.75

CirclFi's 10 active models place Carlisle Companies Incorporated (CSL) between $112.37 and $882.75 per share, a spread of 201% of the median. The median of that range — $382.81 — is the fair value CirclFi publishes for CSL, against a current price of $360.74.

Low · EROICHigh · Regime Cross
$112.37median $382.81$882.75
Where the range comes from
Most bearish modelEROIC Spread$112.37
Most bullish modelRegime Cross-Sectional$882.75
Model agreement5 bullish · 4 bearishwide

A band this wide is itself the finding. When independent methods land far apart, they are reading a business whose value depends heavily on which lens you apply — volatile earnings, heavy reinvestment, or an asset base that cash-flow and asset-based methods score differently. That disagreement is information: it says the choice of method matters more than usual for CSL. Treat the median as one reading among several and compare the individual models below before acting.

Every figure above is one model's standalone output on CSL, not a CirclFi price target. How each model works →

What Is Carlisle Companies Incorporated (CSL) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Carlisle Companies Incorporated's intrinsic value is estimated at $382.81, presenting a divided outlook at the current price of $360.74. With a median implied return of +6.1% across a split 5–4 (bull–bear) consensus, the model spread of +213.6% underscores analytical uncertainty. Notably, Regime Cross sees the most upside at +144.7% (fair value: $882.75), while EROIC is the most conservative at -68.9% ($112.37). The spread between these extremes — +213.6% — reveals how different analytical frameworks can reach starkly different conclusions. Among models with highest confidence, EPV lean bearish — adding weight to the bearish side of the thesis.

What Do the Models Say About CSL?

10 of 13 models are currently active for CSL. Of these, 6 models suggest upside while 4 models suggest overvaluation. Taken together, their median fair value for CSL is $382.81 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, returns $330.12 on its own, implying -8.5% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does CSL Rank in Building Products & Equipment?

Among 38 Building Products & Equipment stocks, CSL ranks #3 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 9.2/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 9.2 places CSL in the top tier.

The Building Products & Equipment sector introduces analytical considerations specific to manufacturing company businesses. For Carlisle Companies Incorporated, metrics like order backlog depth provide important context that general-purpose valuation models may underweight.

Is CSL a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns CSL a score of 18/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

10 of 13 models are active for Carlisle Companies Incorporated. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, Carlisle Companies Incorporated earns a quality score of 9.2/10. This exceptional rating reflects the company's standing across 32 fundamental signals spanning profitability, growth consistency, balance sheet strength, and capital allocation efficiency.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +213.6% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every CSL valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across CSL's 10 active models, average confidence is 50%. Moderate confidence indicates reasonable fit.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Carlisle Companies Incorporated Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Building Products & Equipment Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

9 related Building Products & Equipment stocks with 13-model coverage

LIILennox International Inc.QOC 9.4AWIArmstrong World Industries, Inc.QOC 9.0TTTrane Technologies plcQOC 9.4SPXCSPX Technologies, Inc.QOC 8.9ILAGIntelligent Living Application Group Inc.QOC 1.7LMBLimbach Holdings, Inc.QOC 8.8GFFGriffon CorporationQOC 8.0SWIMLatham Group, Inc.QOC 7.4SNTLSentinel Holdings Ltd.QOC 5.2

Read investment analysis: LII · AWI · TT · SPXC · ILAG · LMB · GFF · SWIM · SNTL

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to CSL?

7 companies across all industries closest to CSL’s Quality of Company score of 9.2/10.

AUPHAurinia Pharmaceuticals Inc.QOC 9.2ESPEspey Mfg. & Electronics Corp.QOC 9.2HESMHess Midstream LPQOC 9.2UFPTUFP Technologies, Inc.QOC 9.2IBPInstalled Building Products, Inc.QOC 9.2HALOHalozyme Therapeutics, Inc.QOC 9.2NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: AUPH · ESP · HESM · UFPT · IBP · HALO · NVDA

What Else Do Investors Ask About Carlisle Companies Incorporated’s Valuation?

What is Carlisle Companies Incorporated's intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts Carlisle Companies Incorporated (CSL)'s intrinsic value at $382.81 — the median of 10 independent model estimates as of 2026-08-27, ranging from $112.37 to $882.75. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion and returns $330.12 on its own. The Quality of Company score is 9.2/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is CSL overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $360.74, 6 of 10 active models suggest CSL may be undervalued, while 4 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 10 fair value estimates is $382.81, within 6.1% of the current price of $360.74 — a consensus view that CSL is fairly valued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Carlisle Companies Incorporated's business model in Building Products & Equipment.

What does a Quality of Company score of 9.2 mean for CSL?

Carlisle Companies Incorporated's QOC of 9.2/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores above 7 indicate strong fundamentals and disciplined management.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on CSL?

CirclFi analyzes CSL with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 10 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Which valuation models are most bullish and most bearish on CSL?

Of the 10 models currently active on CSL, Regime Cross-Sectional is the most bullish at $882.75 per share, and EROIC Spread is the most bearish at $112.37. CirclFi's published fair value for CSL is the median of that range, $382.81, not either extreme. The gap between the two ends equals 201% of the median — a wide spread, meaning the methods genuinely disagree and the median should carry less weight. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Is CSL a value trap in 2026?

Carlisle Companies Incorporated's Value Trap score is 18/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap.

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 10-model valuation engine, Carlisle Companies Incorporated (CSL) has a median fair value of $382.81 — within 6.1% of the current price of $360.74 — as of 2026-08-27.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/CSL/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this CSL valuation
  • Financial statements: Carlisle Companies Incorporated 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0000790051) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for CSL as of ; valuations recomputed .

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