What Is BJ's Restaurants, Inc. (BJRI) Worth in 2026?
According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, BJ's Restaurants, Inc.'s intrinsic value is estimated at $23.67, suggesting the stock is overvalued at its current price of $61.63. With 12 out of 13 models flagging downside (-61.6% average return), the market may be pricing in unsustainable growth. Notably, PWERM sees the most upside at +4.1% (fair value: $64.15), while EROIC is the most conservative at -95.6% ($2.71). The spread between these extremes — +99.7% — reveals how different analytical frameworks can reach starkly different conclusions.
What Do the Models Say About BJRI?
13 of 13 models are currently active for BJRI. Of these, 1 model suggests upside while 12 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates BJRI's intrinsic value at $7.82, implying -87.3% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →
How Does BJRI Rank in Retail-Eating Places?
Among 45 Retail-Eating Places stocks, BJRI ranks #27 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 6.8/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 6.8 indicates above-average quality.
See all Most Undervalued Retail-Eating Places Stocks →
As a retail business, BJ's Restaurants, Inc. operates in a sector where same-store sales growth (comps) is a critical driver of valuation. Investors evaluating BJRI should weigh these sector-specific dynamics alongside our model-derived fair values.
Is BJRI a Value Trap?
The Value Trap algorithm is not active for BJRI. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →
Multi-Model Methodology
13 of 13 models are active for BJ's Restaurants, Inc.. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →
According to the CirclFi 32-factor quality framework, BJ's Restaurants, Inc.'s fundamental quality profile registers 6.8/10. This respectable score captures the company's profitability depth, growth consistency, balance sheet resilience, and shareholder return track record.
The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +99.7% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →
Data Sources & Confidence
Every BJRI valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →
Across BJRI's 13 active models, average confidence is 32%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.
CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →