Precision Drilling Corporation (PDS) Fair Value 2026

PDS · Oil & Gas Drilling ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

7.7 /10

32 fundamental signals · 10 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (22/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-31, Precision Drilling Corporation (PDS) trades at $91.71, versus a $98.07 median fair value across its 10 active models — 6.9% above the current price. QOC: 7.7/10. Value Trap Risk: 22/100 (SAFE). 10/13 models active. Within that set, the Bayesian DCF component alone returns $78.77.

Key Facts

Ticker
PDS
Price
$91.71
Quality Score
7.7/10
Value Trap Risk
22/100
Models Active
10/13
Last Updated
Strength: First Chicago suggests +192.8% upside with 47% confidence
Risk: Limited model coverage (10/13) may reduce confidence

Is Precision Drilling Corporation (PDS) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 10-model valuation engine, Precision Drilling Corporation (PDS) appears fairly valued as of : the median of 10 independent fair value estimates is $98.07, within 6.9% of the current price of $91.71. Estimates range from $10.12 to $268.48. PDS scores 7.7/10 on fundamental quality and 22/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -23.1% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,804 rated companies as of 2026-08-31. PDS’s +6.9% gap is narrower than that market norm. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy Precision Drilling Corporation Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give PDS?

10 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($91.71)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $78.77 -14.1%
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $80.41 -12.3%
Ensemble · Low Conviction
 $96.39 +5.1%
Scenario · Medium Conviction
 $268.48 +192.8%
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What Is PDS's Fair Value Range?

Spread across 10 independent models · $10.12 to $268.48

CirclFi's 10 active models place Precision Drilling Corporation (PDS) between $10.12 and $268.48 per share, a spread of 263% of the median. The median of that range — $98.07 — is the fair value CirclFi publishes for PDS, against a current price of $91.71.

Low · ML-RIVHigh · First Chicago
$10.12median $98.07$268.48
Where the range comes from
Most bearish modelML Residual Income$10.12
Most bullish modelFirst Chicago$268.48
Model agreement6 bullish · 4 bearishwide

A band this wide is itself the finding. When independent methods land far apart, they are reading a business whose value depends heavily on which lens you apply — volatile earnings, heavy reinvestment, or an asset base that cash-flow and asset-based methods score differently. That disagreement is information: it says the choice of method matters more than usual for PDS. Treat the median as one reading among several and compare the individual models below before acting.

Every figure above is one model's standalone output on PDS, not a CirclFi price target. How each model works →

What Is Precision Drilling Corporation (PDS) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, our multi-model framework produces a cautiously optimistic read on Precision Drilling Corporation at $91.71. With an estimated intrinsic value of $98.07 and 6 of 10 models pointing higher, the median implied return is +6.9%. The most optimistic model, First Chicago, places fair value at $268.48 (+192.8%), while ML-RIV — the most conservative — estimates $10.12 (-89.0%). This +281.7% gap reflects genuine analytical uncertainty about Precision Drilling Corporation's intrinsic worth.

What Do the Models Say About PDS?

10 of 13 models are currently active for PDS. Of these, 6 models suggest upside while 4 models suggest overvaluation. Taken together, their median fair value for PDS is $98.07 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, returns $78.77 on its own, implying -14.1% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does PDS Rank in Oil & Gas Drilling?

Among 10 Oil & Gas Drilling stocks, PDS ranks #4 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 7.7/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 7.7 indicates above-average quality.

Within the Oil & Gas Drilling space, Precision Drilling Corporation competes in an environment where breakeven oil price often separates market leaders from laggards. Understanding these industry-specific dynamics is essential context for interpreting our model outputs.

Is PDS a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns PDS a score of 22/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

10 of 13 models are active for Precision Drilling Corporation. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi 32-factor quality framework, Precision Drilling Corporation's fundamental quality profile registers 7.7/10. This robust score captures the company's profitability depth, growth consistency, balance sheet resilience, and shareholder return track record.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +281.7% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every PDS valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across PDS's 10 active models, average confidence is 42%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Precision Drilling Corporation Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Oil & Gas Drilling Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

9 related Oil & Gas Drilling stocks with 13-model coverage

VALValaris LimitedQOC 8.2NENoble Corporation plcQOC 8.1BORRBorr Drilling LimitedQOC 7.8NBRNabors Industries Ltd.QOC 7.6PTENPatterson-UTI Energy, Inc.QOC 7.2HPHelmerich & Payne, Inc.QOC 7.1RIGTransocean Ltd.QOC 6.6SDRLSeadrill LimitedQOC 6.5SOCSable Offshore Corp.QOC 4.0

Read investment analysis: VAL · NE · BORR · NBR · PTEN · HP · RIG · SDRL · SOC

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to PDS?

7 companies across all industries closest to PDS’s Quality of Company score of 7.7/10.

CRGYCrescent Energy CompanyQOC 7.7TRPTC Energy CorporationQOC 7.7NGGNational Grid plcQOC 7.7TTITETRA Technologies, Inc.QOC 7.7BCGBinah Capital Group, Inc.QOC 7.7NENNew England Realty Associates Limited PartnershipQOC 7.7NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: CRGY · TRP · NGG · TTI · BCG · NEN · NVDA

What Else Do Investors Ask About Precision Drilling Corporation’s Valuation?

What is Precision Drilling Corporation's intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts Precision Drilling Corporation (PDS)'s intrinsic value at $98.07 — the median of 10 independent model estimates as of 2026-08-31, ranging from $10.12 to $268.48. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion and returns $78.77 on its own. The Quality of Company score is 7.7/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is PDS overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $91.71, 6 of 10 active models suggest PDS may be undervalued, while 4 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 10 fair value estimates is $98.07, within 6.9% of the current price of $91.71 — a consensus view that PDS is fairly valued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Precision Drilling Corporation's business model in Oil & Gas Drilling.

What does a Quality of Company score of 7.7 mean for PDS?

Precision Drilling Corporation's QOC of 7.7/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores above 7 indicate strong fundamentals and disciplined management.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on PDS?

CirclFi analyzes PDS with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 10 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Which valuation models are most bullish and most bearish on PDS?

Of the 10 models currently active on PDS, First Chicago is the most bullish at $268.48 per share, and ML Residual Income is the most bearish at $10.12. CirclFi's published fair value for PDS is the median of that range, $98.07, not either extreme. The gap between the two ends equals 263% of the median — a wide spread, meaning the methods genuinely disagree and the median should carry less weight. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Is PDS a value trap in 2026?

Precision Drilling Corporation's Value Trap score is 22/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap.

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 10-model valuation engine, Precision Drilling Corporation (PDS) has a median fair value of $98.07 — within 6.9% of the current price of $91.71 — as of 2026-08-31.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/PDS/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this PDS valuation
  • Financial statements: Precision Drilling Corporation 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0001013605) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for PDS as of ; valuations recomputed .

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