BT Brands, Inc. (BTBD) Fair Value 2026

BTBD · Restaurants ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

6.7 /10

32 fundamental signals · 1 models active

Value Trap Risk

LOW (36/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-27, BT Brands, Inc. (BTBD) trades at $1.42. QOC: 6.7/10. Value Trap Risk: 36/100 (LOW). 1/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
BTBD
Price
$1.42
Quality Score
6.7/10
Value Trap Risk
36/100
Models Active
1/13
Last Updated
Strength: 1 independent models provide multi-angle coverage
Risk: Majority of models suggest overvaluation

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give BTBD?

1 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($1.42)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Asset-Based · Medium Conviction
 $0.32 -77.7%

All Models Active

All 1 models are displayed above.

What Is BT Brands, Inc. (BTBD) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, BT Brands, Inc.'s intrinsic value is estimated at $0.32. Trading at its current price of $1.42, the valuation engine raises significant caution: 1 of 1 models flag downside risk, projecting a median implied return of -77.7%.

What Do the Models Say About BTBD?

1 of 13 models are currently active for BTBD. All 1 active models suggest the stock trades above fair value. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does BTBD Rank in Restaurants?

Among 55 Restaurants stocks, BTBD ranks #35 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 6.7/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 6.7 indicates above-average quality.

See all Most Undervalued Restaurants Stocks →

BT Brands, Inc.'s positioning within the Restaurants segment means that gross margin expansion plays an outsized role in fundamental analysis. The sector's unique characteristics — including brand loyalty and pricing power — shape both the opportunity set and risk profile.

Is BTBD a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns BTBD a score of 36/100 (LOW). This indicates low risk. The financial profile does not exhibit typical value trap warning signs. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

1 of 13 models are active for BT Brands, Inc.. Limited activation may indicate insufficient history. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, BT Brands, Inc. earns a quality score of 6.7/10. This respectable rating reflects the company's standing across 32 fundamental signals spanning profitability, growth consistency, balance sheet strength, and capital allocation efficiency.

CirclFi runs 13 independent models for each stock. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every BTBD valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across BTBD's 1 active models, average confidence is 48%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy BT Brands, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Restaurants Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

11 related Restaurants stocks with 13-model coverage

MBMasterBeef GroupQOC 6.8JACKJack in the Box Inc.QOC 6.7CAVACAVA Group, Inc.QOC 6.9BHBiglari Holdings Inc.QOC 6.1FWRGFirst Watch Restaurant Group, Inc.QOC 6.9KRUSKura Sushi USA, Inc.QOC 6.0NDLSNoodles & CompanyQOC 5.1RAVERave Restaurant Group, Inc.QOC 8.5RICKRCI Hospitality Holdings, Inc.QOC 7.7EATBrinker International, Inc.QOC 9.3CMGChipotle Mexican Grill, Inc.QOC 9.2

Read investment analysis: MB · JACK · CAVA · BH · FWRG · KRUS · NDLS · RAVE · RICK · EAT · CMG

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to BTBD?

7 companies across all industries closest to BTBD’s Quality of Company score of 6.7/10.

ASXASE Technology Holding Co., Ltd.QOC 6.7CLVTClarivate PlcQOC 6.7PAYDPAID, Inc.QOC 6.7PRPOPrecipio, Inc.QOC 6.7FKWLFranklin Wireless Corp.QOC 6.7SWAGStran & Company, Inc.QOC 6.7NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: ASX · CLVT · PAYD · PRPO · FKWL · SWAG · NVDA

Where Does BTBD Sit in CirclFi's Restaurants Rankings?

BTBD is ranked against every other Restaurants stock CirclFi covers in each of these screens.

See all Restaurants stocks ranked →

What Else Do Investors Ask About BT Brands, Inc.’s Valuation?

What is BT Brands, Inc.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi does not yet have enough active models to publish a median fair value for BT Brands, Inc. (BTBD). The Quality of Company score is 6.7/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is BTBD overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $1.42, 0 of 1 active models suggest BTBD may be undervalued, while 1 indicate potential overvaluation. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits BT Brands, Inc.'s business model in Restaurants.

What does a Quality of Company score of 6.7 mean for BTBD?

BT Brands, Inc.'s QOC of 6.7/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores between 5-7 reflect moderate fundamentals with areas for improvement.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on BTBD?

CirclFi analyzes BTBD with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 1 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Is BTBD a value trap in 2026?

BT Brands, Inc.'s Value Trap score is 36/100 (LOW). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Cite this analysis — “CirclFi assigns BT Brands, Inc. (BTBD) a Quality of Company score of 6.7/10 across 32 fundamental signals as of 2026-08-27.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/BTBD/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this BTBD valuation
  • Financial statements: BT Brands, Inc. 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0001718224) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for BTBD as of ; valuations recomputed .