Airgain, Inc. (AIRG) Fair Value 2026

AIRG · Communication Equipment ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

6.4 /10

32 fundamental signals · 13 models active

Value Trap Risk

LOW (31/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-07-15, Airgain, Inc. (AIRG) trades at $6.12, approximately 337% above CirclFi’s Bayesian DCF fair value of $1.40. QOC: 6.4/10. Value Trap Risk: 31/100 (LOW). 13/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
AIRG
Price
$6.12
Quality Score
6.4/10
Value Trap Risk
31/100
Models Active
13/13
Last Updated
Strength: 13 independent models provide multi-angle coverage
Risk: Majority of models suggest overvaluation

Is Airgain, Inc. (AIRG) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 13-model valuation engine, Airgain, Inc. (AIRG) appears overvalued as of : the median of 13 independent fair value estimates is $3.97, 35.2% below the current price of $6.12. Estimates range from $0.35 to $7.11. AIRG scores 6.4/10 on fundamental quality and 31/100 on value-trap risk.

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy Airgain, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Valuation Matrix

13 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($6.12)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Bayesian DCF
Low Conviction
 $1.40 -77.1%
Earnings Power Value
Medium Conviction
 $3.14 -48.8%
CUCE Ensemble
Low Conviction
 $3.97 -35.2%
First Chicago
Medium Conviction
 $5.12 -16.3%

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What Is Airgain, Inc. (AIRG) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, the balance of valuation evidence tilts cautious on Airgain, Inc. at its current price of $6.12. The composite intrinsic value is estimated at $3.99 (-34.7% average return), with 9 models flagging overvaluation risk. The most optimistic model, Regime Cross, places fair value at $7.11 (+16.2%), while RCMH-DCF — the most conservative — estimates $0.35 (-94.4%). This +110.5% gap reflects genuine analytical uncertainty about Airgain, Inc.'s intrinsic worth.

What Do the Models Say About AIRG?

13 of 13 models are currently active for AIRG. Of these, 2 models suggest upside while 11 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates AIRG's intrinsic value at $1.40, implying -77.1% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does AIRG Rank in Communication Equipment?

Among 6 Communication Equipment stocks, AIRG ranks #4 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 6.4/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 6.4 indicates above-average quality.

Within the Communication Equipment space, Airgain, Inc. competes in an environment where spectrum holdings value often separates market leaders from laggards. Understanding these industry-specific dynamics is essential context for interpreting our model outputs.

Is AIRG a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns AIRG a score of 31/100 (LOW). This indicates low risk. The financial profile does not exhibit typical value trap warning signs. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

13 of 13 models are active for Airgain, Inc.. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, which evaluates 32 signals including margin stability, revenue growth trajectory, leverage, and free cash flow generation, Airgain, Inc. is rated at 6.4/10. This solid-tier score maintains reasonable quality metrics with some areas for improvement.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +110.5% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every AIRG valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across AIRG's 13 active models, average confidence is 29%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Airgain, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Communication Equipment Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

5 related Communication Equipment stocks with 13-model coverage

AUDCAudioCodes Ltd.QOC 9.5ADTNADTRAN Holdings, Inc.QOC 6.7AAOIApplied Optoelectronics, Inc.QOC 6.6ASTSAST SpaceMobile, Inc.QOC 5.9AMPGAmplitech Group, Inc.QOC 5.3

Read investment analysis: AUDC · ADTN · AAOI · ASTS · AMPG

Frequently Asked Questions About Airgain, Inc.

What is Airgain, Inc.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

Based on CirclFi's 13-model analysis, Airgain, Inc. (AIRG) has multiple fair value estimates. The Bayesian DCF model runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion to estimate intrinsic value at $1.40. The Quality of Company score is 6.4/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is AIRG overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $6.12, 2 of 13 active models suggest AIRG may be undervalued, while 11 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 13 fair value estimates is $3.97, 35.2% below the current price of $6.12 — a consensus view that AIRG is overvalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Airgain, Inc.'s business model in Communication Equipment.

What does a Quality of Company score of 6.4 mean for AIRG?

Airgain, Inc.'s QOC of 6.4/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores between 5-7 reflect moderate fundamentals with areas for improvement.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on AIRG?

CirclFi analyzes AIRG with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 13 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Is AIRG a value trap in 2026?

Airgain, Inc.'s Value Trap score is 31/100 (LOW). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 13-model valuation engine, Airgain, Inc. (AIRG) has a median fair value of $3.97 — 35.2% below the current price of $6.12 — as of 2026-07-15.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/AIRG/ · Methodology

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