AST SpaceMobile, Inc. (ASTS) Fair Value 2026

ASTS · Communication Equipment ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

6.3 /10

32 fundamental signals · 0 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (19/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-28, AST SpaceMobile, Inc. (ASTS) trades at $58.05. QOC: 6.3/10. Value Trap Risk: 19/100 (SAFE). 0/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
ASTS
Price
$58.05
Quality Score
6.3/10
Value Trap Risk
19/100
Models Active
0/13
Last Updated
Strength: 0 independent models provide multi-angle coverage
Risk: Limited model coverage (0/13) may reduce confidence

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give ASTS?

0 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($58.05)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside

All Models Active

All 0 models are displayed above.

What Is AST SpaceMobile, Inc. (ASTS) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, AST SpaceMobile, Inc. currently lacks sufficient data across our 13-model framework. As more financial data is processed from SEC filings, our models will generate intrinsic value estimates.

What Do the Models Say About ASTS?

0 of 13 models are currently active for ASTS. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does ASTS Rank in Communication Equipment?

Among 47 Communication Equipment stocks, ASTS ranks #36 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 6.3/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 6.3 indicates above-average quality.

Within the Communication Equipment space, AST SpaceMobile, Inc. competes in an environment where average revenue per user (ARPU) often separates market leaders from laggards. Understanding these industry-specific dynamics is essential context for interpreting our model outputs.

Is ASTS a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns ASTS a score of 19/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

0 of 13 models are active for AST SpaceMobile, Inc.. Limited activation may indicate insufficient history. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, which evaluates 32 signals including margin stability, revenue growth trajectory, leverage, and free cash flow generation, AST SpaceMobile, Inc. is rated at 6.3/10. This solid-tier score maintains reasonable quality metrics with some areas for improvement.

CirclFi runs 13 independent models for each stock. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every ASTS valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy AST SpaceMobile, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Communication Equipment Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

11 related Communication Equipment stocks with 13-model coverage

WATTEnergous CorporationQOC 6.3AMPGAmpliTech Group, Inc.QOC 6.3UTSIUTStarcom Holdings Corp.QOC 6.4AIRGAirgain, Inc.QOC 5.8AAOIApplied Optoelectronics, Inc.QOC 6.6VISLVislink Technologies, Inc.QOC 5.7SYNXSilynxcom Ltd.QOC 2.5FIEEFiEE, Inc.QOC 8.0OCCOptical Cable CorporationQOC 7.0BKTIBK Technologies CorporationQOC 9.6UIUbiquiti Inc.QOC 9.3

Read investment analysis: WATT · AMPG · UTSI · AIRG · AAOI · VISL · SYNX · FIEE · OCC · BKTI · UI

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to ASTS?

7 companies across all industries closest to ASTS’s Quality of Company score of 6.3/10.

CHRSCoherus Oncology, Inc.QOC 6.3PLTKPlaytika Holding Corp.QOC 6.3OSSOne Stop Systems, Inc.QOC 6.3BRTXBioRestorative Therapies, Inc.QOC 6.3GELGenesis Energy, L.P.QOC 6.3SRRESunrise Real Estate Group, Inc.QOC 6.3NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: CHRS · PLTK · OSS · BRTX · GEL · SRRE · NVDA

What Else Do Investors Ask About AST SpaceMobile, Inc.’s Valuation?

What is AST SpaceMobile, Inc.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi does not yet have enough active models to publish a median fair value for AST SpaceMobile, Inc. (ASTS). The Quality of Company score is 6.3/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is ASTS overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $58.05, 0 of 0 active models suggest ASTS may be undervalued, while 0 indicate potential overvaluation. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits AST SpaceMobile, Inc.'s business model in Communication Equipment.

What does a Quality of Company score of 6.3 mean for ASTS?

AST SpaceMobile, Inc.'s QOC of 6.3/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores between 5-7 reflect moderate fundamentals with areas for improvement.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on ASTS?

CirclFi analyzes ASTS with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 0 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Is ASTS a value trap in 2026?

AST SpaceMobile, Inc.'s Value Trap score is 19/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Cite this analysis — “CirclFi assigns AST SpaceMobile, Inc. (ASTS) a Quality of Company score of 6.3/10 across 32 fundamental signals as of 2026-08-28.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/ASTS/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this ASTS valuation
  • Financial statements: AST SpaceMobile, Inc. 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0001780312) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for ASTS as of ; valuations recomputed .