What Is Spire Global, Inc. (SPIR) Worth in 2026?
According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Spire Global, Inc.'s intrinsic value is estimated at a composite $11.60, showing conflicting signals at the current price of $14.00. While the average implied return is -17.1%, model disagreement is elevated with a gap of +184.6% between the most bullish and bearish estimates. The most optimistic model, EPV, places fair value at $27.60 (+97.2%), while ML-RIV — the most conservative — estimates $1.77 (-87.4%). This +184.6% gap reflects genuine analytical uncertainty about Spire Global, Inc.'s intrinsic worth.
What Do the Models Say About SPIR?
11 of 13 models are currently active for SPIR. Of these, 4 models suggest upside while 7 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates SPIR's intrinsic value at $10.67, implying -23.7% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →
How Does SPIR Rank in Communications Services, NEC?
Among 16 Communications Services, NEC stocks, SPIR ranks #9 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 5.8/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 5.8 reflects mixed fundamentals.
The Communications Services, NEC sector introduces analytical considerations specific to telecommunications businesses. For Spire Global, Inc., metrics like capital intensity ratio provide important context that general-purpose valuation models may underweight.
Is SPIR a Value Trap?
CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns SPIR a score of 24/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →
Multi-Model Methodology
11 of 13 models are active for Spire Global, Inc.. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →
According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Spire Global, Inc. scores 5.8 out of 10 on our 32-signal quality assessment, a solid rating that maintains reasonable quality metrics with some areas for improvement. The QOC score synthesizes profitability margins, revenue growth reliability, debt management, and capital allocation into a single metric designed to separate durable businesses from statistically cheap ones.
The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +184.6% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →
Data Sources & Confidence
Every SPIR valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →
Across SPIR's 11 active models, average confidence is 31%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.
CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →