What Is Hallador Energy Company (HNRG) Worth in 2026?
According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Hallador Energy Company's intrinsic value is estimated at $13.19, suggesting the stock is overvalued at its current price of $16.68. With 10 out of 12 models flagging downside (-20.9% average return), the market may be pricing in unsustainable growth. The most optimistic model, EPV, places fair value at $52.50 (+214.8%), while Dynamic NAV — the most conservative — estimates $1.12 (-93.3%). This +308.1% gap reflects genuine analytical uncertainty about Hallador Energy Company's intrinsic worth.
What Do the Models Say About HNRG?
12 of 13 models are currently active for HNRG. Of these, 2 models suggest upside while 10 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates HNRG's intrinsic value at $2.44, implying -85.4% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →
How Does HNRG Rank in Electric Services?
Among 70 Electric Services stocks, HNRG ranks #4 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 8.2/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 8.2 places HNRG in the top tier.
See all Most Undervalued Electric Services Stocks →
As a utility sector, Hallador Energy Company operates in a sector where rate base growth is a critical driver of valuation. Investors evaluating HNRG should weigh these sector-specific dynamics alongside our model-derived fair values.
Is HNRG a Value Trap?
CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns HNRG a score of 12/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →
Multi-Model Methodology
12 of 13 models are active for Hallador Energy Company. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →
According to the CirclFi 32-factor quality framework, Hallador Energy Company's fundamental quality profile registers 8.2/10. This robust score captures the company's profitability depth, growth consistency, balance sheet resilience, and shareholder return track record.
The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +308.1% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →
Data Sources & Confidence
Every HNRG valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →
Across HNRG's 12 active models, average confidence is 39%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.
CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →
Buy with Gumroad