Oklo Inc. (OKLO) Fair Value 2026

OKLO · Utilities - Independent Power Producers ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

5.2 /10

32 fundamental signals · 2 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (9/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-28, Oklo Inc. (OKLO) trades at $40.14, versus a $7.17 median fair value across its 2 active models — 82.1% below the current price. QOC: 5.2/10. Value Trap Risk: 9/100 (SAFE). 2/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
OKLO
Price
$40.14
Quality Score
5.2/10
Value Trap Risk
9/100
Models Active
2/13
Last Updated
Strength: 2 independent models provide multi-angle coverage
Risk: Majority of models suggest overvaluation

Is Oklo Inc. (OKLO) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 2-model valuation engine, Oklo Inc. (OKLO) appears overvalued as of : the median of 2 independent fair value estimates is $7.17, 82.1% below the current price of $40.14. Estimates range from $1.27 to $13.08. OKLO scores 5.2/10 on fundamental quality and 9/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -23.4% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,809 rated companies as of 2026-08-28. OKLO’s -82.1% gap is wider than that market norm. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy Oklo Inc. Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give OKLO?

2 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($40.14)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $1.27 -96.8%
Asset-Based · High Conviction
 $13.08 -67.4%

All Models Active

All 2 models are displayed above.

What Is Oklo Inc. (OKLO) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Oklo Inc.'s intrinsic value is estimated at $7.17, suggesting the stock is overvalued at its current price of $40.14. With 2 out of 2 models flagging downside (-82.1% vs price), the market may be pricing in unsustainable growth.

What Do the Models Say About OKLO?

2 of 13 models are currently active for OKLO. All 2 active models suggest the stock trades above fair value. Taken together, their median fair value for OKLO is $7.17 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does OKLO Rank in Utilities - Independent Power Producers?

Among 9 Utilities - Independent Power Producers stocks, OKLO ranks #8 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 5.2/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 5.2 reflects mixed fundamentals.

As a utility sector, Oklo Inc. operates in a sector where customer growth rate is a critical driver of valuation. Investors evaluating OKLO should weigh these sector-specific dynamics alongside our model-derived fair values.

Is OKLO a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns OKLO a score of 9/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

2 of 13 models are active for Oklo Inc.. Limited activation may indicate insufficient history. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi 32-factor quality framework, Oklo Inc.'s fundamental quality profile registers 5.2/10. This mixed score captures the company's profitability depth, growth consistency, balance sheet resilience, and shareholder return track record.

Models cluster within a tight range (+29.4% spread), increasing conviction. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every OKLO valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across OKLO's 2 active models, average confidence is 55%. Moderate confidence indicates reasonable fit.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Oklo Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Utilities - Independent Power Producers Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

8 related Utilities - Independent Power Producers stocks with 13-model coverage

HNRGHallador Energy CompanyQOC 8.4CEGConstellation Energy CorporationQOC 7.9VSTVistra Corp.QOC 7.6NRGNRG Energy, Inc.QOC 7.2TACTransAlta CorporationQOC 6.2DGXXDigi Power X Inc.QOC 6.0TLNTalen Energy CorporationQOC 5.6KENKenon Holdings Ltd.QOC 2.0

Read investment analysis: HNRG · CEG · VST · NRG · TAC · DGXX · TLN · KEN

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to OKLO?

7 companies across all industries closest to OKLO’s Quality of Company score of 5.2/10.

SERVServe Robotics Inc.QOC 5.2MOBMobilicom LimitedQOC 5.2BOFBranchOut Food Inc.QOC 5.2ENGSEnergys Group LimitedQOC 5.2RYDERyde Group Ltd.QOC 5.2COYACoya Therapeutics, Inc.QOC 5.2NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: SERV · MOB · BOF · ENGS · RYDE · COYA · NVDA

What Else Do Investors Ask About Oklo Inc.’s Valuation?

What is Oklo Inc.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts Oklo Inc. (OKLO)'s intrinsic value at $7.17 — the median of 2 independent model estimates as of 2026-08-28, ranging from $1.27 to $13.08. The Quality of Company score is 5.2/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is OKLO overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $40.14, 0 of 2 active models suggest OKLO may be undervalued, while 2 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 2 fair value estimates is $7.17, 82.1% below the current price of $40.14 — a consensus view that OKLO is overvalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Oklo Inc.'s business model in Utilities - Independent Power Producers.

What does a Quality of Company score of 5.2 mean for OKLO?

Oklo Inc.'s QOC of 5.2/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores between 5-7 reflect moderate fundamentals with areas for improvement.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on OKLO?

CirclFi analyzes OKLO with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 2 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Is OKLO a value trap in 2026?

Oklo Inc.'s Value Trap score is 9/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 2-model valuation engine, Oklo Inc. (OKLO) has a median fair value of $7.17 — 82.1% below the current price of $40.14 — as of 2026-08-28.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/OKLO/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this OKLO valuation
  • Financial statements: Oklo Inc. 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0001849056) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for OKLO as of ; valuations recomputed .