Key Tronic Corporation (KTCC) Fair Value 2026

KTCC · Computer Hardware ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

6.7 /10

32 fundamental signals · 2 models active

Value Trap Risk

WARN (47/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-28, Key Tronic Corporation (KTCC) trades at $2.76, versus a $5.09 median fair value across its 2 active models — 84.4% above the current price. QOC: 6.7/10. Value Trap Risk: 47/100 (WARN). 2/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
KTCC
Price
$2.76
Quality Score
6.7/10
Value Trap Risk
47/100
Models Active
2/13
Last Updated
Strength: RCMH-DCF suggests +219.9% upside with 55% confidence
Risk: Value Trap score of 47 suggests caution despite apparent undervaluation

Is Key Tronic Corporation (KTCC) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 2-model valuation engine, Key Tronic Corporation (KTCC) appears undervalued as of : the median of 2 independent fair value estimates is $5.09, 84.4% above the current price of $2.76. Estimates range from $1.35 to $8.83. KTCC scores 6.7/10 on fundamental quality and 47/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -23.4% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,809 rated companies as of 2026-08-28. KTCC’s +84.4% gap is wider than that market norm, and the Computer Hardware sector median is -62.1%. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy Key Tronic Corporation Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give KTCC?

2 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($2.76)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $1.35 -51.1%
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $8.83 +219.9%

All Models Active

All 2 models are displayed above.

What Is Key Tronic Corporation (KTCC) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Key Tronic Corporation presents a highly debated valuation profile at its current price of $2.76. The median intrinsic value is estimated at $5.09 (+84.4% median upside), masking a wide model spread between the 1 bullish models and 1 bearish models. Model dispersion is worth noting: RCMH-DCF targets $8.83 (+219.9%), versus EROIC at $1.35 (-51.1%). This +271.0% range highlights the importance of multi-model analysis rather than relying on any single methodology.

What Do the Models Say About KTCC?

2 of 13 models are currently active for KTCC. Of these, 1 model suggests upside while 1 model suggests overvaluation. Taken together, their median fair value for KTCC is $5.09 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does KTCC Rank in Computer Hardware?

Among 44 Computer Hardware stocks, KTCC ranks #17 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 6.7/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 6.7 indicates above-average quality.

Key Tronic Corporation operates in a competitive landscape where fundamental quality metrics are key differentiators for long-term value creation.

Is KTCC a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns KTCC a score of 47/100 (WARN). This is a warning signal. Additional research into recent 10-Q filings is recommended. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

2 of 13 models are active for Key Tronic Corporation. Limited activation may indicate insufficient history. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, which evaluates 32 signals including margin stability, revenue growth trajectory, leverage, and free cash flow generation, Key Tronic Corporation is rated at 6.7/10. This solid-tier score maintains reasonable quality metrics with some areas for improvement.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +271.0% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every KTCC valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across KTCC's 2 active models, average confidence is 59%. Moderate confidence indicates reasonable fit.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Key Tronic Corporation Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Computer Hardware Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

11 related Computer Hardware stocks with 13-model coverage

QBTSD-Wave Quantum Inc.QOC 6.7NNDMNano Dimension Ltd.QOC 6.3DDD3D Systems CorporationQOC 6.8OSSOne Stop Systems, Inc.QOC 6.3CRSRCorsair Gaming, Inc.QOC 6.9IONQIonQ, Inc.QOC 6.1ZSPCzSpace, Inc.QOC 5.4DDDX3DX Industries, Inc.QOC 3.3WDCWestern Digital CorporationQOC 8.8ANETArista Networks, Inc.QOC 9.8STXSeagate Technology Holdings plcQOC 9.5

Read investment analysis: QBTS · NNDM · DDD · OSS · CRSR · IONQ · ZSPC · DDDX · WDC · ANET · STX

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to KTCC?

7 companies across all industries closest to KTCC’s Quality of Company score of 6.7/10.

ANGOAngioDynamics, Inc.QOC 6.7GAIAGaia, Inc.QOC 6.7RDWRedwire CorporationQOC 6.7CCOClear Channel Outdoor Holdings, Inc.QOC 6.7AXTIAXT, Inc.QOC 6.7JACKJack in the Box Inc.QOC 6.7NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: ANGO · GAIA · RDW · CCO · AXTI · JACK · NVDA

What Else Do Investors Ask About Key Tronic Corporation’s Valuation?

What is Key Tronic Corporation's intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts Key Tronic Corporation (KTCC)'s intrinsic value at $5.09 — the median of 2 independent model estimates as of 2026-08-28, ranging from $1.35 to $8.83. The Quality of Company score is 6.7/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is KTCC overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $2.76, 1 of 2 active models suggest KTCC may be undervalued, while 1 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 2 fair value estimates is $5.09, 84.4% above the current price of $2.76 — a consensus view that KTCC is undervalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Key Tronic Corporation's business model in Computer Hardware.

What does a Quality of Company score of 6.7 mean for KTCC?

Key Tronic Corporation's QOC of 6.7/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores between 5-7 reflect moderate fundamentals with areas for improvement.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on KTCC?

CirclFi analyzes KTCC with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 2 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Is KTCC a value trap in 2026?

Key Tronic Corporation's Value Trap score is 47/100 (WARN). This elevated score suggests the stock may look undervalued but faces deteriorating fundamentals — declining margins, rising debt, or shrinking revenue could make the apparent discount deceptive. Browse our ranked stock lists to compare value-trap scores across industries. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 2-model valuation engine, Key Tronic Corporation (KTCC) has a median fair value of $5.09 — 84.4% above the current price of $2.76 — as of 2026-08-28.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/KTCC/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this KTCC valuation
  • Financial statements: Key Tronic Corporation 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0000719733) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for KTCC as of ; valuations recomputed .