Thryv Holdings, Inc. (THRY) Fair Value 2026

THRY · Services-Advertising ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

6.9 /10

32 fundamental signals · 13 models active

Value Trap Risk

LOW (36/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-07-13, Thryv Holdings, Inc. (THRY) trades at $4.11, approximately 80% below CirclFi’s Bayesian DCF fair value of $20.82. QOC: 6.9/10. Value Trap Risk: 36/100 (LOW). 13/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
THRY
Price
$4.11
Quality Score
6.9/10
Value Trap Risk
36/100
Models Active
13/13
Last Updated
Strength: Bayesian DCF suggests +406.6% upside with 63% confidence
Risk: Limited model coverage (13/13) may reduce confidence

Valuation Matrix

13 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($4.11)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Bayesian DCF
High Conviction
 $20.82 +406.6%
Earnings Power Value
High Conviction
 $19.70 +379.2%
CUCE Ensemble
Low Conviction
 $12.28 +198.8%
First Chicago
High Conviction
 $3.23 -21.5%

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What Is Thryv Holdings, Inc. (THRY) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, the weight of evidence tilts decidedly bullish for Thryv Holdings, Inc.. Trading at $4.11 against an estimated intrinsic value of $10.19, 10 of 13 active models flag meaningful upside of +148.0% on average. The most optimistic model, Bayesian DCF, places fair value at $20.82 (+406.6%), while Markov DDM — the most conservative — estimates $2.25 (-45.2%). This +451.8% gap reflects genuine analytical uncertainty about Thryv Holdings, Inc.'s intrinsic worth.

What Do the Models Say About THRY?

13 of 13 models are currently active for THRY. Of these, 10 models suggest upside while 3 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates THRY's intrinsic value at $20.82, implying +406.6% upside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does THRY Rank in Services-Advertising?

Among 14 Services-Advertising stocks, THRY ranks #4 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 6.9/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 6.9 indicates above-average quality.

Thryv Holdings, Inc. operates in a competitive landscape where fundamental quality metrics are key differentiators for long-term value creation.

Is THRY a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns THRY a score of 36/100 (LOW). This indicates low risk. The financial profile does not exhibit typical value trap warning signs. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

13 of 13 models are active for Thryv Holdings, Inc.. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi 32-factor quality framework, Thryv Holdings, Inc.'s fundamental quality profile registers 6.9/10. This respectable score captures the company's profitability depth, growth consistency, balance sheet resilience, and shareholder return track record.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +451.8% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every THRY valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across THRY's 13 active models, average confidence is 44%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Thryv Holdings, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Services-Advertising Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

8 related Services-Advertising stocks with 13-model coverage

IBTAIbotta, Inc.QOC 8.1TZOOTravelzooQOC 8.0STFSStar Fashion Culture Holdings LQOC 7.6MNTNMNTN, Inc.QOC 6.6NCMINational CineMedia, Inc.QOC 6.3IZEAIZEA Worldwide, Inc.QOC 6.3INUVInuvo, Inc.QOC 5.6CCOClear Channel Outdoor Holdings,QOC 5.6

Read investment analysis: IBTA · TZOO · STFS · MNTN · NCMI

Frequently Asked Questions About Thryv Holdings, Inc.

What is Thryv Holdings, Inc.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

Based on CirclFi's 13-model analysis, Thryv Holdings, Inc. (THRY) has multiple fair value estimates. The Bayesian DCF model runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion to estimate intrinsic value at $20.82. The Quality of Company score is 6.9/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is THRY overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $4.11, 10 of 13 active models suggest THRY may be undervalued, while 3 indicate potential overvaluation. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Thryv Holdings, Inc.'s business model in Services-Advertising.

What does a Quality of Company score of 6.9 mean for THRY?

Thryv Holdings, Inc.'s QOC of 6.9/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores between 5-7 reflect moderate fundamentals with areas for improvement.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on THRY?

CirclFi analyzes THRY with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 13 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Is THRY a value trap in 2026?

Thryv Holdings, Inc.'s Value Trap score is 36/100 (LOW). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

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