What Is National CineMedia, Inc. (NCMI) Worth in 2026?
According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, National CineMedia, Inc.'s intrinsic value is estimated at $3.05, presenting a divided outlook at the current price of $3.99. With an average implied return of -23.7% across a split 2–7 (bull–bear) consensus, the model spread of +147.5% underscores analytical uncertainty. Notably, First Chicago sees the most upside at +63.2% (fair value: $6.51), while ML-RIV is the most conservative at -84.3% ($0.63). The spread between these extremes — +147.5% — reveals how different analytical frameworks can reach starkly different conclusions.
What Do the Models Say About NCMI?
13 of 13 models are currently active for NCMI. Of these, 4 models suggest upside while 9 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates NCMI's intrinsic value at $0.93, implying -76.8% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →
How Does NCMI Rank in Services-Advertising?
Among 14 Services-Advertising stocks, NCMI ranks #6 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 6.3/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 6.3 indicates above-average quality.
National CineMedia, Inc. operates in a competitive landscape where fundamental quality metrics are key differentiators for long-term value creation.
Is NCMI a Value Trap?
CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns NCMI a score of 36/100 (LOW). This indicates low risk. The financial profile does not exhibit typical value trap warning signs. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →
Multi-Model Methodology
13 of 13 models are active for National CineMedia, Inc.. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →
According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, which evaluates 32 signals including margin stability, revenue growth trajectory, leverage, and free cash flow generation, National CineMedia, Inc. is rated at 6.3/10. This solid-tier score maintains reasonable quality metrics with some areas for improvement.
The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +147.5% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →
Data Sources & Confidence
Every NCMI valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →
Across NCMI's 13 active models, average confidence is 37%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.
CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →
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