Neonode Inc. (NEON) Fair Value 2026

NEON · Electronic Components ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

7.2 /10

32 fundamental signals · 5 models active

Value Trap Risk

LOW (38/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-27, Neonode Inc. (NEON) trades at $0.88, versus a $3.77 median fair value across its 5 active models — 328.7% above the current price. QOC: 7.2/10. Value Trap Risk: 38/100 (LOW). 5/13 models active. Within that set, the Bayesian DCF component alone returns $3.22.

Key Facts

Ticker
NEON
Price
$0.88
Quality Score
7.2/10
Value Trap Risk
38/100
Models Active
5/13
Last Updated
Strength: CUCE Ensemble suggests +328.7% upside with 1% confidence
Risk: Limited model coverage (5/13) may reduce confidence

Is Neonode Inc. (NEON) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 5-model valuation engine, Neonode Inc. (NEON) appears undervalued as of : the median of 5 independent fair value estimates is $3.77, 328.7% above the current price of $0.88. Estimates range from $1.84 to $4.26. NEON scores 7.2/10 on fundamental quality and 38/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -23.7% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,801 rated companies as of 2026-08-27. NEON’s +328.7% gap is wider than that market norm, and the Electronic Components sector median is -58.7%. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy Neonode Inc. Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give NEON?

5 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($0.88)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Intrinsic · Low Conviction
 $3.22 +265.8%
Ensemble · Low Conviction
 $3.77 +328.7%
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What Is NEON's Fair Value Range?

Spread across 5 independent models · $1.84 to $4.26

CirclFi's 5 active models place Neonode Inc. (NEON) between $1.84 and $4.26 per share, a spread of 64% of the median. The median of that range — $3.77 — is the fair value CirclFi publishes for NEON, against a current price of $0.88.

Low · Dynamic NAVHigh · RCMH-DCF
$1.84median $3.77$4.26
Where the range comes from
Most bearish modelDynamic NAV$1.84
Most bullish modelRCMH-DCF$4.26
Model agreement5 bullish · 0 bearishmoderate

A band of this width is typical. The methods agree on direction but weight growth, reinvestment and risk differently, so treat the median as a centre of gravity rather than a precise target.

Every figure above is one model's standalone output on NEON, not a CirclFi price target. How each model works →

What Is Neonode Inc. (NEON) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Neonode Inc.'s intrinsic value is estimated at a median fair value of $3.77. At a current market price of $0.88, 5 of 5 active valuation models identify upside potential, projecting a median implied return of +328.7%. Notably, RCMH-DCF sees the most upside at +384.0% (fair value: $4.26), while Dynamic NAV is the most conservative at +109.2% ($1.84). The spread between these extremes — +274.8% — reveals how different analytical frameworks can reach starkly different conclusions.

What Do the Models Say About NEON?

5 of 13 models are currently active for NEON. All 5 active models suggest the stock trades below fair value. Taken together, their median fair value for NEON is $3.77 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, returns $3.22 on its own, implying +265.8% upside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does NEON Rank in Electronic Components?

Among 46 Electronic Components stocks, NEON ranks #26 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 7.2/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 7.2 indicates above-average quality.

Neonode Inc. operates in a competitive landscape where fundamental quality metrics are key differentiators for long-term value creation.

Is NEON a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns NEON a score of 38/100 (LOW). This indicates low risk. The financial profile does not exhibit typical value trap warning signs. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

5 of 13 models are active for Neonode Inc.. Limited activation may indicate insufficient history. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Neonode Inc. scores 7.2 out of 10 on our 32-signal quality assessment, a solid rating that maintains reasonable quality metrics with some areas for improvement. The QOC score synthesizes profitability margins, revenue growth reliability, debt management, and capital allocation into a single metric designed to separate durable businesses from statistically cheap ones.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +274.8% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every NEON valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across NEON's 5 active models, average confidence is 20%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Neonode Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Electronic Components Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

11 related Electronic Components stocks with 13-model coverage

ROGRogers CorporationQOC 7.4CPSHCPS Technologies CorporationQOC 7.2RELLRichardson Electronics, Ltd.QOC 7.5MEIMethode Electronics, Inc.QOC 7.0DSWLDeswell Industries, Inc.QOC 7.6DAIOData I/O CorporationQOC 6.9OPTXSyntec Optics Holdings, Inc.QOC 6.0VICRVicor CorporationQOC 9.2PLXSPlexus Corp.QOC 8.5CLSCelestica Inc.QOC 9.4APHAmphenol CorporationQOC 9.3

Read investment analysis: ROG · CPSH · RELL · MEI · DSWL · DAIO · OPTX · VICR · PLXS · CLS · APH

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to NEON?

7 companies across all industries closest to NEON’s Quality of Company score of 7.2/10.

CHCTCommunity Healthcare Trust IncorporatedQOC 7.2MOJOEQUATOR Beverage CompanyQOC 7.2AZTAAzenta, Inc.QOC 7.2TRTXTPG RE Finance Trust, Inc.QOC 7.2UBCPUnited Bancorp, Inc.QOC 7.2AGNCAGNC Investment Corp.QOC 7.2NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: CHCT · MOJO · AZTA · TRTX · UBCP · AGNC · NVDA

What Else Do Investors Ask About Neonode Inc.’s Valuation?

What is Neonode Inc.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts Neonode Inc. (NEON)'s intrinsic value at $3.77 — the median of 5 independent model estimates as of 2026-08-27, ranging from $1.84 to $4.26. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion and returns $3.22 on its own. The Quality of Company score is 7.2/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is NEON overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $0.88, 5 of 5 active models suggest NEON may be undervalued, while 0 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 5 fair value estimates is $3.77, 328.7% above the current price of $0.88 — a consensus view that NEON is undervalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Neonode Inc.'s business model in Electronic Components.

What does a Quality of Company score of 7.2 mean for NEON?

Neonode Inc.'s QOC of 7.2/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores above 7 indicate strong fundamentals and disciplined management.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on NEON?

CirclFi analyzes NEON with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 5 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Which valuation models are most bullish and most bearish on NEON?

Of the 5 models currently active on NEON, RCMH-DCF is the most bullish at $4.26 per share, and Dynamic NAV is the most bearish at $1.84. CirclFi's published fair value for NEON is the median of that range, $3.77, not either extreme. The gap between the two ends equals 64% of the median — a normal spread for a company of this profile. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Is NEON a value trap in 2026?

Neonode Inc.'s Value Trap score is 38/100 (LOW). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap.

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 5-model valuation engine, Neonode Inc. (NEON) has a median fair value of $3.77 — 328.7% above the current price of $0.88 — as of 2026-08-27.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/NEON/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this NEON valuation
  • Financial statements: Neonode Inc. 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0000087050) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for NEON as of ; valuations recomputed .

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