M-tron Industries, Inc. (MPTI) Fair Value 2026

MPTI · Electronic Components, NEC ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

10.0 /10

32 fundamental signals · 12 models active

Value Trap Risk

— (—/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-07-13, M-tron Industries, Inc. (MPTI) trades at $82.19, approximately 205% above CirclFi’s Bayesian DCF fair value of $26.99. QOC: 10.0/10. 12/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
MPTI
Price
$82.19
Quality Score
10.0/10
Value Trap Risk
—/100
Models Active
12/13
Last Updated
Strength: Quality Score of 10.0/10 indicates strong fundamentals
Risk: Majority of models suggest overvaluation

Valuation Matrix

12 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($82.19)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Bayesian DCF
High Conviction
 $26.99 -67.2%
Earnings Power Value
High Conviction
 $13.96 -83.0%
CUCE Ensemble
Low Conviction
 $34.39 -58.2%
First Chicago
High Conviction
 $56.62 -31.1%

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What Is M-tron Industries, Inc. (MPTI) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, M-tron Industries, Inc.'s intrinsic value is estimated at $40.37. Trading at its current price of $82.19, the valuation engine raises significant caution: 11 of 12 models flag downside risk, projecting an average implied return of -50.9%. Model dispersion is worth noting: PWERM targets $93.76 (+14.1%), versus EPV at $13.96 (-83.0%). This +97.1% range highlights the importance of multi-model analysis rather than relying on any single methodology.

What Do the Models Say About MPTI?

12 of 13 models are currently active for MPTI. Of these, 1 model suggests upside while 11 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates MPTI's intrinsic value at $26.99, implying -67.2% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does MPTI Rank in Electronic Components, NEC?

Among 12 Electronic Components, NEC stocks, MPTI ranks #1 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 10.0/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 10.0 places MPTI in the top tier.

M-tron Industries, Inc. operates in a competitive landscape where fundamental quality metrics are key differentiators for long-term value creation.

Is MPTI a Value Trap?

The Value Trap algorithm is not active for MPTI. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

12 of 13 models are active for M-tron Industries, Inc.. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, M-tron Industries, Inc. earns a quality score of 10.0/10. This exceptional rating reflects the company's standing across 32 fundamental signals spanning profitability, growth consistency, balance sheet strength, and capital allocation efficiency.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +97.1% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every MPTI valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across MPTI's 12 active models, average confidence is 46%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy M-tron Industries, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Electronic Components, NEC Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

8 related Electronic Components, NEC stocks with 13-model coverage

VRTVertiv Holdings, LLCQOC 9.8ESPEspey Mfg. & Electronics Corp.QOC 8.9PIImpinj, Inc.QOC 7.8LGLLGL Group, Inc. (The)QOC 7.6NEONNeonode Inc.QOC 7.1VREXVarex Imaging CorporationQOC 6.9NSYSNortech Systems IncorporatedQOC 6.8VICRVicor CorporationQOC 6.5

Read investment analysis: VRT · ESP · PI · LGL · NEON

Frequently Asked Questions About M-tron Industries, Inc.

What is M-tron Industries, Inc.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

Based on CirclFi's 13-model analysis, M-tron Industries, Inc. (MPTI) has multiple fair value estimates. The Bayesian DCF model runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion to estimate intrinsic value at $26.99. The Quality of Company score is 10.0/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is MPTI overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $82.19, 1 of 12 active models suggest MPTI may be undervalued, while 11 indicate potential overvaluation. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits M-tron Industries, Inc.'s business model in Electronic Components, NEC.

What does a Quality of Company score of 10.0 mean for MPTI?

M-tron Industries, Inc.'s QOC of 10.0/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores above 7 indicate strong fundamentals and disciplined management.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on MPTI?

CirclFi analyzes MPTI with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 12 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Is MPTI a value trap in 2026?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm does not have sufficient data for MPTI at this time. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

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