What Is Northwest Natural Holding Compa (NWN) Worth in 2026?
According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, the balance of valuation evidence tilts cautious on Northwest Natural Holding Compa at its current price of $50.38. The composite intrinsic value is estimated at $36.48 (-27.6% average return), with 9 models flagging overvaluation risk. The most optimistic model, ML-RIV, places fair value at $125.69 (+149.5%), while EROIC — the most conservative — estimates $7.73 (-84.6%). This +234.1% gap reflects genuine analytical uncertainty about Northwest Natural Holding Compa's intrinsic worth.
What Do the Models Say About NWN?
13 of 13 models are currently active for NWN. Of these, 2 models suggest upside while 11 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates NWN's intrinsic value at $11.01, implying -78.1% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →
How Does NWN Rank in Natural Gas Distribution?
Among 13 Natural Gas Distribution stocks, NWN ranks #12 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 6.1/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 6.1 indicates above-average quality.
As a energy sector, Northwest Natural Holding Compa operates in a sector where production decline rate is a critical driver of valuation. Investors evaluating NWN should weigh these sector-specific dynamics alongside our model-derived fair values.
Is NWN a Value Trap?
CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns NWN a score of 12/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →
Multi-Model Methodology
13 of 13 models are active for Northwest Natural Holding Compa. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →
According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, which evaluates 32 signals including margin stability, revenue growth trajectory, leverage, and free cash flow generation, Northwest Natural Holding Compa is rated at 6.1/10. This solid-tier score maintains reasonable quality metrics with some areas for improvement.
The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +234.1% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →
Data Sources & Confidence
Every NWN valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →
Across NWN's 13 active models, average confidence is 39%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.
CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →
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