North American Construction Gro (NOA) Fair Value 2026

NOA · Oil & Gas Field Services, NEC ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

7.3 /10

32 fundamental signals · 11 models active

Value Trap Risk

(—/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-07-14, North American Construction Gro (NOA) trades at $13.45, approximately 41% below CirclFi’s Bayesian DCF fair value of $22.86. QOC: 7.3/10. 11/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
NOA
Price
$13.45
Quality Score
7.3/10
Value Trap Risk
—/100
Models Active
11/13
Last Updated
Strength: First Chicago suggests +224.4% upside with 53% confidence
Risk: Limited model coverage (11/13) may reduce confidence

Valuation Matrix

11 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($13.45)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Bayesian DCF
Medium Conviction
$22.86 +69.9%
Earnings Power Value
Low Conviction
$0.16 -98.8%
CUCE Ensemble
Low Conviction
$20.55 +52.8%
First Chicago
High Conviction
$43.63 +224.4%

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What Is North American Construction Gro (NOA) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, our multi-model framework produces a cautiously optimistic read on North American Construction Gro at $13.45. With an estimated intrinsic value of $20.26 and 7 of 11 models pointing higher, the average implied return is +50.6%. The most optimistic model, First Chicago, places fair value at $43.63 (+224.4%), while EPV — the most conservative — estimates $0.16 (-98.8%). This +323.2% gap reflects genuine analytical uncertainty about North American Construction Gro's intrinsic worth.

What Do the Models Say About NOA?

11 of 13 models are currently active for NOA. Of these, 9 models suggest upside while 2 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates NOA's intrinsic value at $22.86, implying +69.9% upside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does NOA Rank in Oil & Gas Field Services, NEC?

Among 20 Oil & Gas Field Services, NEC stocks, NOA ranks #14 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 7.3/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 7.3 indicates above-average quality.

The Oil & Gas Field Services, NEC sector introduces analytical considerations specific to energy businesses. For North American Construction Gro, metrics like reserve replacement ratio provide important context that general-purpose valuation models may underweight.

Is NOA a Value Trap?

The Value Trap algorithm is not active for NOA. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

11 of 13 models are active for North American Construction Gro. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, North American Construction Gro earns a quality score of 7.3/10. This respectable rating reflects the company's standing across 32 fundamental signals spanning profitability, growth consistency, balance sheet strength, and capital allocation efficiency.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +323.2% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every NOA valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across NOA's 11 active models, average confidence is 37%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy North American Construction Gro Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Oil & Gas Field Services, NEC Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

8 related Oil & Gas Field Services, NEC stocks with 13-model coverage

Read investment analysis: CLB · LBRT · NESR · OII · HAL

Frequently Asked Questions About North American Construction Gro

What is North American Construction Gro's intrinsic value in 2026?

Based on CirclFi's 13-model analysis, North American Construction Gro (NOA) has multiple fair value estimates. The Bayesian DCF model runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion to estimate intrinsic value at $22.86. The Quality of Company score is 7.3/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is NOA overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $13.45, 9 of 11 active models suggest NOA may be undervalued, while 2 indicate potential overvaluation. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits North American Construction Gro's business model in Oil & Gas Field Services, NEC.

What does a Quality of Company score of 7.3 mean for NOA?

North American Construction Gro's QOC of 7.3/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores above 7 indicate strong fundamentals and disciplined management.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on NOA?

CirclFi analyzes NOA with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 11 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Is NOA a value trap in 2026?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm does not have sufficient data for NOA at this time. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

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