Pangaea Logistics Solutions Ltd. (PANL) Fair Value 2026

PANL · Marine Shipping ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

8.2 /10

32 fundamental signals · 13 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (18/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-10-07, Pangaea Logistics Solutions Ltd. (PANL) trades at $8.41, versus a $7.51 median fair value across its 13 active models — 10.7% below the current price. QOC: 8.2/10. Value Trap Risk: 18/100 (SAFE). 13/13 models active. Within that set, the Bayesian DCF component alone returns $14.74.

Key Facts

Ticker
PANL
Price
$8.41
Quality Score
8.2/10
Value Trap Risk
18/100
Models Active
13/13
Last Updated
Strength: First Chicago suggests +116.4% upside with 56% confidence
Risk: Limited model coverage (13/13) may reduce confidence

Is Pangaea Logistics Solutions Ltd. (PANL) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 13-model valuation engine, Pangaea Logistics Solutions Ltd. (PANL) appears overvalued as of : the median of 13 independent fair value estimates is $7.51, 10.7% below the current price of $8.41. Estimates range from $3.70 to $18.20. PANL scores 8.2/10 on fundamental quality and 18/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -20.1% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,777 rated companies as of 2026-10-07. PANL’s -10.7% gap is narrower than that market norm, and the Marine Shipping sector median is -10.0%. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy Pangaea Logistics Solutions Ltd. Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give PANL?

13 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($8.41)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $14.74 +75.2%
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $4.30 -48.8%
Ensemble · Low Conviction
 $8.16 -2.9%
Scenario · High Conviction
 $18.20 +116.4%
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What Is PANL's Fair Value Range?

Spread across 13 independent models · $3.70 to $18.20

CirclFi's 13 active models place Pangaea Logistics Solutions Ltd. (PANL) between $3.70 and $18.20 per share, a spread of 193% of the median. The median of that range — $7.51 — is the fair value CirclFi publishes for PANL, against a current price of $8.41.

Low · Markov DDMHigh · First Chicago
$3.70median $7.51$18.20
Where the range comes from
Most bearish modelMarkov DDM$3.70
Most bullish modelFirst Chicago$18.20
Model agreement5 bullish · 7 bearishwide

A band this wide is itself the finding. When independent methods land far apart, they are reading a business whose value depends heavily on which lens you apply — volatile earnings, heavy reinvestment, or an asset base that cash-flow and asset-based methods score differently. That disagreement is information: it says the choice of method matters more than usual for PANL. Treat the median as one reading among several and compare the individual models below before acting.

Every figure above is one model's standalone output on PANL, not a CirclFi price target. How each model works →

What Is Pangaea Logistics Solutions Ltd. (PANL) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Pangaea Logistics Solutions Ltd. presents a highly debated valuation profile at its current price of $8.41. The median intrinsic value is estimated at $7.51 (-10.7% median upside), masking a wide model spread between the 5 bullish models and 7 bearish models. Model dispersion is worth noting: First Chicago targets $18.20 (+116.4%), versus Markov DDM at $3.70 (-56.0%). This +172.5% range highlights the importance of multi-model analysis rather than relying on any single methodology.

What Do the Models Say About PANL?

13 of 13 models are currently active for PANL. Of these, 5 models suggest upside while 8 models suggest overvaluation. Taken together, their median fair value for PANL is $7.51 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, returns $14.74 on its own, implying +75.2% upside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does PANL Rank in Marine Shipping?

Among 37 Marine Shipping stocks, PANL ranks #8 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 8.2/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 8.2 places PANL in the top tier.

As a transportation company, Pangaea Logistics Solutions Ltd. operates in a sector where average transaction price (ATP) is a critical driver of valuation. Investors evaluating PANL should weigh these sector-specific dynamics alongside our model-derived fair values.

Is PANL a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns PANL a score of 18/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

13 of 13 models are active for Pangaea Logistics Solutions Ltd.. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi 32-factor quality framework, Pangaea Logistics Solutions Ltd.'s fundamental quality profile registers 8.2/10. This robust score captures the company's profitability depth, growth consistency, balance sheet resilience, and shareholder return track record.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +172.5% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every PANL valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across PANL's 13 active models, average confidence is 48%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Pangaea Logistics Solutions Ltd. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Marine Shipping Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

11 related Marine Shipping stocks with 13-model coverage

ASCArdmore Shipping CorporationQOC 8.2SBLKStar Bulk Carriers Corp.QOC 8.1MATXMatson, Inc.QOC 8.4NCTIntercont (Cayman) LimitedQOC 7.7KEXKirby CorporationQOC 8.4NMMNavios Maritime Partners L.P.QOC 7.7PSHGPerformance Shipping Inc.QOC 7.2RUBIRubico Inc.QOC 5.5UFGUni-Fuels Holdings LimitedQOC 2.7GSLGlobal Ship Lease, Inc.QOC 9.3CMRECostamare Inc.QOC 9.1

Read investment analysis: ASC · SBLK · MATX · NCT · KEX · NMM · PSHG · RUBI · UFG · GSL · CMRE

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to PANL?

7 companies across all industries closest to PANL’s Quality of Company score of 8.2/10.

CCLCarnival Corporation Ltd.QOC 8.2ROADConstruction Partners, Inc.QOC 8.2ITGRInteger Holdings CorporationQOC 8.2BCALCalifornia BanCorpQOC 8.2PSAPublic StorageQOC 8.2ORCLOracle CorporationQOC 8.2NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: CCL · ROAD · ITGR · BCAL · PSA · ORCL · NVDA

What Else Do Investors Ask About Pangaea Logistics Solutions Ltd.’s Valuation?

What is Pangaea Logistics Solutions Ltd.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts Pangaea Logistics Solutions Ltd. (PANL)'s intrinsic value at $7.51 — the median of 13 independent model estimates as of 2026-10-07, ranging from $3.70 to $18.20. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion and returns $14.74 on its own. The Quality of Company score is 8.2/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is PANL overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $8.41, 5 of 13 active models suggest PANL may be undervalued, while 8 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 13 fair value estimates is $7.51, 10.7% below the current price of $8.41 — a consensus view that PANL is overvalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Pangaea Logistics Solutions Ltd.'s business model in Marine Shipping.

What does a Quality of Company score of 8.2 mean for PANL?

Pangaea Logistics Solutions Ltd.'s QOC of 8.2/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores above 7 indicate strong fundamentals and disciplined management.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on PANL?

CirclFi analyzes PANL with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 13 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Which valuation models are most bullish and most bearish on PANL?

Of the 13 models currently active on PANL, First Chicago is the most bullish at $18.20 per share, and Markov DDM is the most bearish at $3.70. CirclFi's published fair value for PANL is the median of that range, $7.51, not either extreme. The gap between the two ends equals 193% of the median — a wide spread, meaning the methods genuinely disagree and the median should carry less weight. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Is PANL a value trap in 2026?

Pangaea Logistics Solutions Ltd.'s Value Trap score is 18/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap.

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 13-model valuation engine, Pangaea Logistics Solutions Ltd. (PANL) has a median fair value of $7.51 — 10.7% below the current price of $8.41 — as of 2026-10-07.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/PANL/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this PANL valuation
  • Financial statements: Pangaea Logistics Solutions Ltd. 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0001606909) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for PANL as of ; valuations recomputed .

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