Pangaea Logistics Solutions Ltd (PANL) Fair Value 2026

PANL · Deep Sea Foreign Transportation of Freight ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

8.9 /10

32 fundamental signals · 13 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (12/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-07-13, Pangaea Logistics Solutions Ltd (PANL) trades at $7.07, approximately 65% below CirclFi’s Bayesian DCF fair value of $20.41. QOC: 8.9/10. Value Trap Risk: 12/100 (SAFE). 13/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
PANL
Price
$7.07
Quality Score
8.9/10
Value Trap Risk
12/100
Models Active
13/13
Last Updated
Strength: Bayesian DCF suggests +188.7% upside with 61% confidence
Risk: Limited model coverage (13/13) may reduce confidence

Valuation Matrix

13 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($7.07)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Bayesian DCF
High Conviction
$20.41 +188.7%
Earnings Power Value
High Conviction
$4.53 -36.0%
CUCE Ensemble
Low Conviction
$9.08 +28.4%
First Chicago
High Conviction
$18.39 +160.1%

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What Is Pangaea Logistics Solutions Ltd (PANL) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Pangaea Logistics Solutions Ltd presents a highly debated valuation profile at its current price of $7.07. The composite intrinsic value is estimated at $8.96 (+26.7% average upside), masking a wide model spread between the 5 bullish models and 5 bearish models. Model dispersion is worth noting: Bayesian DCF targets $20.41 (+188.7%), versus Regime Cross at $3.51 (-50.4%). This +239.1% range highlights the importance of multi-model analysis rather than relying on any single methodology.

What Do the Models Say About PANL?

13 of 13 models are currently active for PANL. Of these, 6 models suggest upside while 7 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates PANL's intrinsic value at $20.41, implying +188.7% upside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does PANL Rank in Deep Sea Foreign Transportation of Freight?

Among 44 Deep Sea Foreign Transportation of Freight stocks, PANL ranks #9 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 8.9/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 8.9 places PANL in the top tier.

See all Most Undervalued Deep Sea Foreign Transportation of Freight Stocks →

As a transportation company, Pangaea Logistics Solutions Ltd operates in a sector where average transaction price (ATP) is a critical driver of valuation. Investors evaluating PANL should weigh these sector-specific dynamics alongside our model-derived fair values.

Is PANL a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns PANL a score of 12/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

13 of 13 models are active for Pangaea Logistics Solutions Ltd. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi 32-factor quality framework, Pangaea Logistics Solutions Ltd's fundamental quality profile registers 8.9/10. This robust score captures the company's profitability depth, growth consistency, balance sheet resilience, and shareholder return track record.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +239.1% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every PANL valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across PANL's 13 active models, average confidence is 44%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Pangaea Logistics Solutions Ltd Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Deep Sea Foreign Transportation of Freight Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

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Frequently Asked Questions About Pangaea Logistics Solutions Ltd

What is Pangaea Logistics Solutions Ltd's intrinsic value in 2026?

Based on CirclFi's 13-model analysis, Pangaea Logistics Solutions Ltd (PANL) has multiple fair value estimates. The Bayesian DCF model runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion to estimate intrinsic value at $20.41. The Quality of Company score is 8.9/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is PANL overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $7.07, 6 of 13 active models suggest PANL may be undervalued, while 7 indicate potential overvaluation. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Pangaea Logistics Solutions Ltd's business model in Deep Sea Foreign Transportation of Freight.

What does a Quality of Company score of 8.9 mean for PANL?

Pangaea Logistics Solutions Ltd's QOC of 8.9/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores above 7 indicate strong fundamentals and disciplined management.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on PANL?

CirclFi analyzes PANL with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 13 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Is PANL a value trap in 2026?

Pangaea Logistics Solutions Ltd's Value Trap score is 12/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

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